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10-Year T-Note Dec '25 (ZNZ25)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks Turn Mixed as Bond Yields Climb

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is down -0.07%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is down -0.10%.  March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26) are down -0.05%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26) are down -0.09%.

Stock indexes gave up an early advance today and turned mixed amid higher bond yields.  The 10-year T-note yield is up +4 bp at a 4.25-month high of 4.21%.  Rising inflation expectations are pushing T-note yields higher as the 10-year breakeven inflation rate climbed to a 2.25-month high of 2.321% today. 

Stocks initially moved higher today, led by strength in chipmakers.  Confidence that spending on artificial intelligence will continue is underpinning chip makers and data storage companies after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), the world’s largest dedicated contract chipmaker, boosted its 2026 capital expenditure forecast on Thursday. 

Today’s US economic news was mixed for sto... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,062/1,875
First Notice Date
11/28/25
Expiration Date
12/19/25 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Dec '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 6, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
4,312,768 (+50,024)
3,502,037 (+46,873)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
640,744 (-1,229)
1,556,296 (-25,335)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
418,498 (+3,736)
544,325 (+40,638)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
3,129,213 (-20,119)
909,530 (-40,597)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
431,405 (-15,814)
2,767,144 (-38,212)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
294,182 (+30,821)
157,120 (+9,538)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
112-015 +0.59%
on 12/10/25
113-240 -0.92%
on 11/25/25
+0-005 (+0.01%)
since 11/19/25
3-Month
112-015 +0.59%
on 12/10/25
114-020 -1.19%
on 10/17/25
-0-015 (-0.04%)
since 09/19/25

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Stocks Turn Mixed as Bond Yields Climb

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.07%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.10%. March E-mini S&P futures...

AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
TAP : 48.91 (-3.42%)
AVGO : 346.19 (+0.92%)
PNC : 223.27 (+3.83%)
ADI : 300.20 (-0.63%)
BF.B : 26.43 (-3.61%)
KHC : 23.66 (-2.39%)
QXO : 23.99 (-4.12%)
RKLB : 97.35 (+7.26%)
$IUXX : 25,571.15 (+0.09%)
ASML : 1,355.21 (+1.77%)
ZNH26 : 111-270 (-0.33%)
Billionaire Bill Ackman Says the Best Way to Lower Credit Card Rates Is to ‘Make It More Competitive,’ Not a 10% Cap: ‘This Is a Mistake’

President Donald Trump has joined calls to implement a 10% cap on credit card interest rates. But according to Wall Street veteran Bill Ackman, limiting interest rates would only backfire and make credit...

Stocks Climb on Renewed Optimism for AI Spending

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.27%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.06%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.46%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
TAP : 48.91 (-3.42%)
AVGO : 346.19 (+0.92%)
PNC : 223.27 (+3.83%)
ADI : 300.20 (-0.63%)
KHC : 23.66 (-2.39%)
HPQ : 20.57 (-0.19%)
RKLB : 97.35 (+7.26%)
QXO : 23.99 (-4.12%)
$IUXX : 25,571.15 (+0.09%)
ASML : 1,355.21 (+1.77%)
ZNH26 : 111-270 (-0.33%)
Nasdaq Futures Climb on AI Optimism

March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH26) are trending up +0.59% this morning, signaling that a tech rally fueled by strong earnings from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which revived optimism around...

KLAC : 1,560.30 (+0.99%)
BLK : 1,173.35 (+1.44%)
AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
SNDK : 405.10 (-1.01%)
PNC : 223.27 (+3.83%)
KCO.D.DX : 11.010 (+27.36%)
HON : 219.86 (+2.25%)
JBHT : 204.26 (-1.09%)
MU : 354.11 (+5.19%)
HPQ : 20.57 (-0.19%)
COIN : 241.90 (+1.09%)
TSM : 342.11 (+0.14%)
What Was "In" Market Discussions Friday Morning?

Much of Friday morning, the discussion of global financial markets had to do with words starting with "In": Independence, Interest (rates), Increasing, etc.

$DXY : 99.41 (+0.09%)
ZCH26 : 425-2 (+1.19%)
ZWH26 : 518-4 (+1.57%)
ZSH26 : 1057-0 (+0.38%)
ZQF26 : 96.3625 (unch)
Stocks Boosted by Chip Demand Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.26%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.60%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.32%. March E-mini...

MSTR : 171.73 (+0.48%)
BLK : 1,173.35 (+1.44%)
AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
MPC : 175.87 (-0.97%)
SNDK : 405.10 (-1.01%)
ADI : 300.20 (-0.63%)
MLTX : 16.57 (+1.35%)
$IUXX : 25,571.15 (+0.09%)
COIN : 241.90 (+1.09%)
ASML : 1,355.21 (+1.77%)
ZNH26 : 111-270 (-0.33%)
OXY : 42.69 (-1.11%)
Stocks Supported by Strength in Chip Makers and US Economic News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.49%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.75%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.07%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

BLK : 1,173.35 (+1.44%)
MSTR : 171.73 (+0.48%)
AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
MPC : 175.87 (-0.97%)
SNDK : 405.10 (-1.01%)
ADI : 300.20 (-0.63%)
MLTX : 16.57 (+1.35%)
$IUXX : 25,571.15 (+0.09%)
ASML : 1,355.21 (+1.77%)
ZNH26 : 111-270 (-0.33%)
OXY : 42.69 (-1.11%)
ESH26 : 6,990.25 (+0.12%)
Is ‘Sell Canada’ the New Trade of the Day?

March Canada dollar futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

D6H26 : 0.71990 (-0.24%)
Stock Indexes Rally on Chip Demand Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.55%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.20%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.00%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

BLK : 1,173.35 (+1.44%)
MSTR : 171.73 (+0.48%)
AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
MPC : 175.87 (-0.97%)
AVGO : 346.19 (+0.92%)
SNDK : 405.10 (-1.01%)
MLTX : 16.57 (+1.35%)
$IUXX : 25,571.15 (+0.09%)
ZNH26 : 111-270 (-0.33%)
OXY : 42.69 (-1.11%)
ESH26 : 6,990.25 (+0.12%)
FANG : 150.13 (-0.46%)
Stocks Climb Before the Open as TSMC Reignites AI Optimism, U.S. Economic Data and Earnings in Focus

March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH26) are up +0.37%, and March Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH26) are up +0.74% this morning after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. renewed confidence in the sustainability...

BLK : 1,173.35 (+1.44%)
NVDA : 187.97 (+0.49%)
AMAT : 325.90 (+2.14%)
META : 626.78 (+0.96%)
AVGO : 346.19 (+0.92%)
MS : 191.55 (+0.17%)
JBHT : 204.26 (-1.09%)
ASML.NA : 1,167.200 (+1.55%)
RKLB : 97.35 (+7.26%)
GS : 966.34 (-0.98%)
ESH26 : 6,990.25 (+0.12%)
TSM : 342.11 (+0.14%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 113-035
2nd Resistance Point 113-000
1st Resistance Point 112-270
Last Price 112-225s
1st Support Level 112-185
2nd Support Level 112-150
3rd Support Level 112-100

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52-Week High 114-020
Last Price 112-225s
Fibonacci 61.8% 112-085
Fibonacci 50% 111-230
Fibonacci 38.2% 111-050
52-Week Low 109-115

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