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Grains Futures Prices

Fri, Dec 9th, 2016
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Fri, Dec 9th, 2016.
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes, based on [[ timeframe ]] data.
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Brugler report

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Wheat futures ended Friday with moderate gains in all three markets. For the week, the front months were up 12 3/4 cents in CBT and 5 1/2 cents in KC, but Dec16 MPLS was 7 cents lower week/week. USDA left projected US wheat ending stocks UNCH at 1.143 billion bushels. They typically wait for the Grain Stocks report in January to modify domestic use. Exports are running ahead of the expected pace, but with a hike in Aussie production to 33 MMT (and world production revised 6.5 MMT higher) there are legitimate questions about US export volumes in calendar 2017. The average of pre-report trade estimates for 16/17 global ending stocks was 250.3 MMT, based on a Bloomberg survey. The WAOB put it at 252.1 MMT. Managed money accounts were net 2,589 contracts less short in CBT wheat and 13,987 contracts less long in KC wheat than a week earlier, per CFTC data from Tuesday's close. Dec 16 CBOT Wheat settled at $4.00 1/4, up 9 1/2 cents, Dec 16 KCBT Wheat settled at $3.95 1/2, up 8 1/2 cents, Dec 16 MGEX Wheat settled at $5.36, up 1/4 cent
Soybean futures ended Friday at least a dime higher on the session, and January 17 was up a dime/bushel from a week earlier. Dec16 bean meal was up 2.16% and Dec16 bean oil was down 2.05% on the week. USDA put soybean ending stocks at 480 million bushels, with no change in crush or exports. The average price estimate for the year was increased 25 cents/bushel to a $9.45 midpoint. Expected world stocks were hiked from 81.5 to 82.9 MMT. CONAB tightened their official estimate for Brazilian soybean production to 102.45 MMT yesterday. USDA put Brazil at 102 MMT and left Argentina at 57.0 MMT. USDA announced that a sale of 132,000 MT of soybeans was made to unknown destinations overnight, keeping up the drum beat of sales bookings this week. Weekly CFTC data had the managed money net position in soybeans 12,057 contracts less-long, and the commercial accounts were shown with a net position 12,880 contracts less-short vs. a week earlier. Jan 17 Soybeans settled at $10.37 1/2, up 10 1/2 cents, Mar 17 Soybeans settled at $10.48 1/2, up 10 3/4 cents, May 17 Soybeans settled at $10.56 1/4, up 11 cents, Jul 17 Soybeans settled at $10.61 3/4, up 11 1/4 cents, Dec 16 Soybean Meal settled at $317.40, up $5.00, Dec 16 Soybean Oil settled at $36.74, down $0.31
Corn futures settled mostly 6 cents higher on Friday, and the December 16 contract logged a 15 cent gain for the week. USDA left projected US corn ending stocks UNCH at 2.403 MMT. The average cash price midpoint was increased 5 cents. A Bloomberg News survey of trade analysts had the average pre-report expectation for world corn ending stocks at 219.2 MMT, which would be 1 MMT larger than the November report. Some industry estimates were as high as 224.8 MMT. The WASDE team went with 222.3 MMT, with most of the hike coming because of a 3.0 MMT increase in expected Brazilian corn production compared to last month. The weekly Commitment of Traders report showing positions as of last Tuesday had managed money continuing to increase their net short position in corn futures and options, adding a net 3,331 contracts from a week earlier. Dec 16 Corn settled at $3.52 1/2, up 6 cents, Mar 17 Corn settled at $3.59 1/2, up 6 cents, May 17 Corn settled at $3.66 1/4, up 6 cents Jul 17 Corn settled at $3.73 1/2, up 5 3/4 cents
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