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Grains Futures Prices

Mon, Feb 27th, 2017
[[ timeframe ]] futures price quotes as of Mon, Feb 27th, 2017.
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Wheat futures are trading sharply lower in the nearby contracts ahead of FND. CHI is the weakest, down 11 1/4 cents for March 17. Both KC and MPLS are 9 1/4 lower. During the week of Feb 23, 537,877 MT of wheat was reported for export inspections. That is down just 6.12% wk/wk, but 38.8% above this time last year. Compared to the USDA estimate for yearly exports, wheat total commits are at 88%, behind the previous 5 years’ average of 90%. USDA did just hike the full year forecast in February, requiring the stronger sales pace to continue. Japan is looking for 113,167 MT of Australian and US wheat in their weekly wheat tender ending March 1, with 85,417 MT being US specific. Ukraine’s winter wheat crop is estimated at 81.7% good to satisfactory. Russia projects their grain exports at 37 MMT, vs. their previous estimate of 40 MMT. Mar 17 CBOT Wheat is at $4.20, down 11 1/4 cents, Mar 17 KCBT Wheat is at $4.44 1/2, down 9 1/4 cents, Mar 17 MGEX Wheat is at $5.35 1/2, down 9 1/4 cents
Soybean futures are mostly 5 1/2 to 6 1/4 cents lower at midday. Soy meal is down $1 and soy oil is 27 points lower. Export inspections for soybeans were at a disappointing 704,945 MT, down 35.6% from last week and 33.2% from this date a year ago. Soybean total export commitments for 16/17 are 93% of what the USDA has projected, vs. the five year average of 89%.Ina side note, The 8 crop acreage total from USDA on Friday was 249.8 million. That would be an 8 year low. This is partly a function of low overall prices, but also of prevented planting (PP) expectations. USDA must be using a larger number than the very low PP from 2016. The China National Grain and Oils Information Center stated that the country’s soybean imports may decrease due to low crush margins. Avian flu is a concern, with liquidation of flocks and bans on open air marketing of live poultry. Brazil’s soybean harvest is estimated at 34.3 % complete, vs. the average of 26%. Mar 17 Soybeans are at $10.07 3/4, down 5 3/4 cents, May 17 Soybeans are at $10.18 1/2, down 5 3/4 cents, Jul 17 Soybeans are at $10.27, down 6 1/4 cents, Aug 17 Soybeans are at $10.27 1/2, down 5 1/2 cents, Mar 17 Soybean Meal is at $330.30, down $1.00, Mar 17 Soybean Oil is at $32.12, down $0.27
Corn futures are currently 2 3/4 to 3 3/4 cents lower. Corn export inspections for the week ending 2/23, released this morning, were 1,461,396 MT. That is up 25% from last week, and nearly double for the same week in 2016. The CFTC commitment of traders report showed managed money adding 6,856 contracts to their net long position in corn futures and options during the week ending last Tuesday. Total US export commitments are 76% of what the USDA has estimated for full year 16/17 exports, which is above the five year average of 72%. That is an 8 MMT lead over the USDA forecast, or 315 million bushels. Brazilian safrinha corn crop planting is estimated to be 57% complete, lagging the 73% from last year despite a more rapid soybean harvesting pace. Mar 17 Corn is at $3.60 1/4, down 3 3/4 cents, May 17 Corn is at $3.67 3/4, down 3 cents, Jul 17 Corn is at $3.75 1/2, down 2 3/4 cents Sep 17 Corn is at $3.81 3/4, down 2 3/4 cents
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