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Tue, Mar 24th, 2026

Don Dawson

Tue, Mar 24th, 2026

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don is an independent commodity futures trader with 36-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He had previously instructed futures classes for an international trading school for 15 years, for which he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is an author and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart, where he discusses the futures markets as a regular guest on various domestic and international podcasts.

Most Recent Stories

Traders Beware: The Canadian Dollar's Relationship with Oil Isn't What You Think

Takeaway for Canadian dollar traders: don't rely on a single narrative. Oil, interest rates, and risk sentiment are all pulling USD/CAD in different directions. That's where opportunity—and risk—live....

WKM26 : 0.73010 (-0.21%)
D6M26 : 0.73015 (-0.21%)
^USDCAD : 1.37450 (+0.14%)
From AI Mega-Spend to Tax Cash Flood—Nasdaq's Hidden Tailwinds

Nasdaq's done riding pure hype. We're shifting to real, durable fundamentals. Fed policy is in that sweet neutral zone—liquid enough, not overheating. Fiscal juice from OBBBA is flooding corps & consumers...

QQQ : 588.00 (+1.02%)
MSFT : 383.00 (+0.30%)
NVDA : 175.64 (+1.70%)
META : 604.06 (+1.75%)
AAPL : 251.49 (+1.41%)
TQQQ : 44.57 (+3.46%)
SPY : 655.38 (+1.05%)
NMM26 : 24,337.50 (-0.29%)
RSP : 191.69 (+0.64%)
AMZN : 210.14 (+2.32%)
NQM26 : 24,337.50 (-0.29%)
PSQ : 31.76 (-1.18%)
WTI Crude Oil May Futures — Geopolitical Turmoil Meets Seasonal Demand

Front-month WTI rallied back into the mid-$70s — the highest since mid-2025. Meanwhile, the May26/June26 calendar spread flipped from parity to a $2.22 premium to May. That’s structural tightening,...

CYK26 : 91.07 (+3.34%)
USO : 110.56 (-8.95%)
CLK26 : 91.05 (+3.31%)
QMK26 : 91.075 (+3.34%)
Chicago Board of Trade Wheat Futures: Is a Sustained Rally Brewing?

Geopolitics alert: The 2026 US-Israel-Iran conflict has disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, spiking oil & freight costs. Higher energy = pricier fertilizer/transport → potential floor under wheat prices....

XWK26 : 589-6 (+0.34%)
WTK26 : 590.5 (+0.46%)
WEAT : 22.68 (-0.74%)
ZWK26 : 589-4 (+0.30%)
Why Do Lean Hog Prices Cool Off After February?

Lean Hog prices have a rhythm. Every year, supply peaks Oct–Dec as hog marketing hits full stride. More slaughter = more pork = seasonal pressure on wholesale prices. For speculators & hedgers, this...

DBA : 26.84 (-0.04%)
HEM26 : 104.400s (-0.07%)
DBC : 27.75 (-4.11%)
Speculators Fell in Love—The Market Didn’t: Silver After Valentine’s Day

Historically, post–Valentine’s Day seasonals haven’t shown much love for silver. A short-term dip wouldn’t be surprising. The bigger trend? Still open for debate.

SIVR : 65.61 (+1.50%)
SOK26 : 69.610 (+0.37%)
SIK26 : 69.610 (+0.37%)
SLV : 62.47 (+1.54%)
Crude Oil Breakout Backed by Seasonals, Technicals, and COT Report

Crude Oil fun fact: Crude Oil doesn't need bullish headlines to rally.It needs seasonals + structure + smart money alignment. Those boxes are getting checked.

CYK26 : 91.07 (+3.34%)
USO : 110.56 (-8.95%)
CLK26 : 91.05 (+3.31%)
QMK26 : 91.075 (+3.34%)
Groundhog Day Gloom? Why the Nasdaq Is Shaking Off Phil's Shadow and Facing Reality

Punxsutawney Phil says six more weeks of winter. Traders say, "That explains the mood." Jokes aside, a key seasonal pattern is lining up for the Nasdaq—and it matters more than the weather!

NVDA : 175.64 (+1.70%)
META : 604.06 (+1.75%)
NMH26 : 24,291.78s (-0.30%)
AAPL : 251.49 (+1.41%)
ESH26 : 6,594.63s (-0.22%)
ETH26 : 6,594.63s (-0.22%)
QQQ : 588.00 (+1.02%)
MSFT : 383.00 (+0.30%)
YMH26 : 45,897s (-0.31%)
NQH26 : 24,291.78s (-0.30%)
TQQQ : 44.57 (+3.46%)
AMZN : 210.14 (+2.32%)
Copper Shortage Isn't a Blip! It's the New Reality for Traders

Historical pattern alert: Copper loves to correct hard right after new ATHs. We're in that window now! Could see more chop into end-Jan before the seasonal spring higher. But the macro? Demand outrunning...

QLH26 : 5.9855s (+0.93%)
HGH26 : 5.3800 (-1.09%)
Quota Panic Fades as Live Cattle Eyes New Highs

Live Cattle Seasonal patterns are lining up like clockwork for another leg higher.Drought legacy + minimal heifer retention = no quick relief in sight.Tight supply still king in 2026!

LEJ26 : 235.300s (+0.53%)

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First-Time Home Buyer Median Age hits 40, a new all-time high 🏡📈 https://t.co/3XXtmIXM8H
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JUST IN 🚨: Silver on track for its 10th consecutive red day, its longest losing streak since April/May 2022 📉📉 https://t.co/ek87XvIbNM
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BREAKING 🚨: Housing Market30-Year Mortgage Rate jumps back to 7% for the first time since August 🏡😱😭🫂 https://t.co/Ry7IDe17tD
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Gold with a beautiful bounce off the 200-day moving average 🚨🚨 Last time it got that close to the 200D was late 2023 before it ripped more than 100% 📈👀 https://t.co/k0Z6I6Jc4c
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Silver Break Down 📉📉 Uh Oh 👻😱 https://t.co/bnGCAFJmRa
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Michael Burry will no longer post on X after leaving an ominous message "Lights Out" 🚨 The last time he did this was right before the massive 2022 stock market dump 👻😱 https://t.co/ZkTAwGO5IH
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BREAKING 🚨: GoldGold enters Bear Market after falling more than 20% from its all-time high 📉👻😱👀 https://t.co/IZCTK5rAd4
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Bears Have Returned Home https://t.co/7EzrfDXtru
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The Evolution of Trading https://t.co/O6V6AXUSFv
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JUST IN 🚨: S&P 500 $SPY God Candle 📈📈📈 https://t.co/zdJ3uZQwb6
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