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Tue, Feb 24th, 2026

Don Dawson

Tue, Feb 24th, 2026

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don is an independent commodity futures trader with 36-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He had previously instructed futures classes for an international trading school for 15 years, for which he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is an author and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart, where he discusses the futures markets as a regular guest on various domestic and international podcasts.

Most Recent Stories

Why Do Lean Hog Prices Cool Off After February?

Lean Hog prices have a rhythm. Every year, supply peaks Oct–Dec as hog marketing hits full stride. More slaughter = more pork = seasonal pressure on wholesale prices. For speculators & hedgers, this...

DBA : 25.97 (-0.23%)
HEM26 : 108.325s (+0.46%)
DBC : 24.75 (+0.61%)
Speculators Fell in Love—The Market Didn’t: Silver After Valentine’s Day

Historically, post–Valentine’s Day seasonals haven’t shown much love for silver. A short-term dip wouldn’t be surprising. The bigger trend? Still open for debate.

SIVR : 84.60 (+5.18%)
SOK26 : 88.100 (+1.01%)
SIK26 : 88.055 (+0.96%)
SLV : 80.57 (+5.16%)
Crude Oil Breakout Backed by Seasonals, Technicals, and COT Report

Crude Oil fun fact: Crude Oil doesn't need bullish headlines to rally.It needs seasonals + structure + smart money alignment. Those boxes are getting checked.

CYK26 : 66.43 (+0.45%)
USO : 80.90 (+0.06%)
CLK26 : 66.43 (+0.45%)
QMK26 : 66.450 (+0.48%)
Groundhog Day Gloom? Why the Nasdaq Is Shaking Off Phil's Shadow and Facing Reality

Punxsutawney Phil says six more weeks of winter. Traders say, "That explains the mood." Jokes aside, a key seasonal pattern is lining up for the Nasdaq—and it matters more than the weather!

NVDA : 191.55 (+0.91%)
META : 637.25 (-2.81%)
NMH26 : 24,802.50 (+0.16%)
AAPL : 266.18 (+0.60%)
ESH26 : 6,846.50 (-0.07%)
ETH26 : 6,846.50 (-0.07%)
QQQ : 601.41 (-1.22%)
MSFT : 384.47 (-3.21%)
YMH26 : 48,879 (+0.06%)
NQH26 : 24,802.00 (+0.16%)
TQQQ : 48.24 (-3.64%)
AMZN : 205.27 (-2.30%)
Copper Shortage Isn't a Blip! It's the New Reality for Traders

Historical pattern alert: Copper loves to correct hard right after new ATHs. We're in that window now! Could see more chop into end-Jan before the seasonal spring higher. But the macro? Demand outrunning...

QLH26 : 5.8705 (+1.56%)
HGH26 : 5.8725 (+1.59%)
Quota Panic Fades as Live Cattle Eyes New Highs

Live Cattle Seasonal patterns are lining up like clockwork for another leg higher.Drought legacy + minimal heifer retention = no quick relief in sight.Tight supply still king in 2026!

LEJ26 : 239.250s (-1.14%)
Why Venezuela's Oil Comeback Won't Move Natural Gas Prices in 2026

January Nat Gas seasonal softness is showing up right on cue, thanks to those stuffed late-fall storage levels acting as a price cushion during peak winter demand. Charts + fundamentals lining up perfectly....

CNJ26 : 2.857 (-2.19%)
NGJ26 : 2.860 (-2.09%)
RBJ26 : 2.2441 (-0.12%)
QGJ26 : 2.860 (-2.09%)
UNG : 11.74 (-2.25%)
Why the Mexican Peso Could Keep Crushing the U.S. Dollar in 2026

The Mexican Peso crushed it in 2025 – up over 20% vs the USD! Higher rates in Mexico, a nearshoring boom from U.S. and Canadian companies, and a softer dollar made it happen. Peso is heading into 2026...

M6H26 : 0.057710 (-0.12%)
^USDMXN : 17.2893 (+0.08%)
2025 Commodity Markets: A Wild Ride Wraps Up, All Eyes on 2026

Man, 2025 was a wild ride in commodities. Prices were down 7% overall per the World Bank, thanks to weak growth, oversupply, and all those tariff/election headaches. But hey, not total doom... precious...

Platinum Hits $2,128! Time to Chase or Wait for the Dip?

The metals sector is overextended after months of gains driven by tariffs, rate jitters, industrial demand & geopolitics. Early buyers are smiling big, but new entries at these levels? Caution advised:...

PLJ26 : 2,189.1 (+1.70%)
PPLT : 197.36 (+0.44%)

Tweets @Barchart

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Note 🚨: S&P 500 had a small gain of about 1.5% one month after the last time there were 5 triggers in a single month H/T: @SubuTrade
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@Barchart
Stock Market Crash "Hindenburg Omen" Triggered 🚨The Hindenburg Omen, an indicator that correctly detected the 1987 and 2008 stock market crashes, has been triggered for the 5th time over the last month 👻😱 https://t.co/K2PHfnI8KU
Barchart
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And so it begins 🚨🤯👀 https://t.co/xJMM8gQ96K
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Netflix $NFLX is trading below its 200-day moving average by 31%, the most in more than 3 years 📉🤯👀 https://t.co/iiTpLbZgsZ
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BREAKING 🚨: International Business Machines$IBM plunges more than 13%, its biggest loss this century 📉📉 https://t.co/E5eetp56g0
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Software Stocks are now underperforming the Nasdaq by the largest margin this century 🚨🚨 https://t.co/dvwoJH4AOf
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@Barchart
BREAKING 🚨: Bitcoin $BTC hit an Extreme Fear reading of 5 yesterday, the most amount of Fear it has ever recorded 👻😱👀 https://t.co/Mhr6EpVtaO
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10-Year Treasury Yield fell to 4.03%, its lowest closing level since November 📉👀 https://t.co/wsOv83CxsV
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Roughly 2/3 of S&P 500 stocks are outperforming the index this year, the broadest market strength in history 🚨🚨 https://t.co/jrmsOj19Hx
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