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Sat, Dec 20th, 2025

Don Dawson

Sat, Dec 20th, 2025

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don is an independent commodity futures trader with 36-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He had previously instructed futures classes for an international trading school for 15 years, for which he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is an author and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart, where he discusses the futures markets as a regular guest on various domestic and international podcasts.

Most Recent Stories

Small Caps Strike Back: See Why the Russell 2000 Futures Are Heating Up for 2026

Small caps are closing out 2025 strong—Russell 2000 flirting with all-time highs, cheaper valuations, better earnings growth ahead, and that seasonal (87% hit rate into mid-Feb, avg 60+ points) lining...

QRH26 : 2,545.90s (+0.68%)
RXH26 : 2,545.90s (+0.68%)
IWM : 250.79 (+0.84%)
Everyone's Bored of Gold Right Now – That's Exactly Why You Should Care

Strong dollar, no more Diwali buying, Fed confusion — all the brakes got slammed. Gold didn't crash, it just went sideways! That's healthy. The real move is still in front of us.

GSG26 : 4,387.25s (+0.52%)
GCG26 : 4,387.3s (+0.52%)
GRG26 : 4,387.3s (+0.52%)
GLD : 399.02 (+0.11%)
Copper Bull Case 2026: Fundamentals, Trend, Correlation, and a Proven Nov-Feb Seasonal Play

Don’t just retweet and forget—pull up the seasonal copper chart, check the correlation years, run the numbers. If you’ve never traded copper before, this is the setup that turns heads. Do your homework....

QLH26 : 5.5100s (+1.33%)
HGH26 : 5.5100s (+1.33%)
Argentina Beef Quota Just Opened — Why Your Grocery Bill Won't Budge, and Live Cattle Is Still Setting Up for a Monster Move

Bottom line: U.S. cattle supply is still critically tight; imports are a rounding error; the chart is broken; and the trend is down. Watch the Dec seasonal window and three correlated years, but demand...

LEG26 : 230.800s (+1.05%)
Nasdaq Year-End Playbook Decode 5-Year Correlations and Seasonal Q4

Valuations high? Yes. Concentration risk real? Absolutely. But history shows that Q4 Nasdaq loves to run—especially in years like '97, '10, '14, '18, '21. Supplement your trading with Seasonality and...

NVDA : 180.99 (+3.93%)
META : 658.77 (-0.85%)
NMH26 : 25,574.75s (+1.24%)
AAPL : 273.67 (+0.54%)
RXH26 : 2,545.90s (+0.68%)
ESH26 : 6,887.25s (+0.83%)
ETH26 : 6,887.25s (+0.83%)
PSQ : 30.44 (-1.27%)
QQQ : 617.05 (+1.30%)
MSFT : 485.92 (+0.40%)
QRH26 : 2,545.90s (+0.68%)
YMH26 : 48,465s (+0.30%)
Global Sugar Supply Peaks Near Mid-October: SB Drops 14/15 Years. Are You Trading the Macro or the Noise?

Sugar supply's coming! SMA's loaded! Correlation's screaming! 93% edge on the table!. Are you fading the seasonal sell or letting the big three sugar producers fade you? Clock's ticking—Nov 11 is the...

CANE : 9.62 (+2.18%)
SBH26 : 14.82s (+2.35%)
5-Year Deficit, October Bottoms, Q4 Rockets: Silver's Calendar Is Laughing at Bears

5-Year seasonal & correlations: 95% to 1979, 85% to 2009, 84% to 2010—article reveals 30-day upside possible. You fading three bull-market ghosts? Study the chart or pay the tuition.

SIZ25 : 66.845s (+3.49%)
SIVR : 63.98 (+2.78%)
SOV25 : 47.721s (+1.26%)
SLV : 60.93 (+2.71%)
SPY : 680.59 (+0.91%)
Post-Diwali Demand Drop: How Fundamentals Shape Gold's 2025 Outlook

Seasonal & correlation patterns suggest gold could be a steal in November or December. Post-Diwali demand drops, and a stronger dollar plays a role. Are you tracking these cycles to time your trades? Check...

$DXY : 98.59 (+0.17%)
GCZ25 : 4,361.4s (+0.50%)
GRZ25 : 4,361.4s (+0.50%)
GLD : 399.02 (+0.11%)
GSZ25 : 4,140.00s (+1.12%)
Riding the Fourth Quarter Wave: Tools to Trade Stock Indices

Q4 offers opportunity but demands caution—volatility spikes around earnings. Use seasonal lows to buy SPY or QQQ ETFs. The Dow's 1,063-point hypothetical average gain in the Oct-Dec window is calling....

XLU : 42.63 (-1.27%)
QQQ : 617.05 (+1.30%)
XLV : 154.94 (+0.67%)
YMZ25 : 48,090s (+0.21%)
VDC : 212.94 (-0.52%)
R2US.LN : 73.460 (+0.27%)
NQZ25 : 25,132.79s (+0.42%)
ESZ25 : 6,796.54s (+0.27%)
SPY : 680.59 (+0.91%)
U.S. Dollar Dominance Unleashed: Are You In or Out?

Geopolitical storms in Europe and Asia make the U.S. dollar a safe bet. But can you navigate the risks with inflation above 2% and a trade deficit looming? Dive into DXY or EUR/USD now!

$DXY : 98.59 (+0.17%)
E6Z25 : 1.17650s (+0.20%)
SPY : 680.59 (+0.91%)
DXZ25 : 98.168s (-0.23%)
^EURUSD : 1.17091 (-0.13%)

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