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Sun, Jul 5th, 2026

Don Dawson

Sun, Jul 5th, 2026

Don Dawson

Don Dawson

Don Dawson is an independent commodity futures and spread trader with 38-plus years of experience. He has authored hundreds of articles on commodity markets and trading education. He had previously taught futures classes at an international trading school for 15 years, during which he received multiple awards. In addition, Don is a weekly columnist and Futures Market Analyst for Barchart.

Most Recent Stories

Real Money Flows + Fed Pause + Seasonal Timing: The AUD Setup Traders Are Watching!

The AUD seasonal setup into the June futures expiry is one of the cleanest in months. EOFY repatriation and hedging flows are hitting as Aussie firms square books ahead of June 30, while winter wheat and...

A6M26 : 0.70745s (+0.38%)
^AUDUSD : 0.69387 (+0.24%)
Can November Soybeans Challenge Contract Highs? Strong Crush Demand and Seasonal Strength Say It's Possible

November soybeans may be setting up one of the better seasonal opportunities in ag markets right now. Record crush demand, bullish technicals, and a weather market season are all lining up at the same...

XKX26 : 1147-6s (-0.13%)
SOYB : 24.44 (-0.33%)
ZSX26 : 1147-6s (-0.13%)
Seasonal Tailwinds Are Aligning for 30 & 10-Year Treasuries – Here's the Setup

There's a historically bullish seasonal window for longer-dated interest rates from now through early August. Lower liquidity in summer often leads to a "search for yield," big coupon reinvestment flows...

VGLT : 54.69 (+0.05%)
ZBU26 : 112-10 (-0.11%)
SPTL : 25.99 (unch)
ZNU26 : 109-175 (-0.03%)
TLT : 85.51 (-0.01%)
GOVZ : 36.06 (-0.14%)
SCHQ : 31.03 (+0.03%)
Oil Shock + Hawkish Fed = Major EUR/USD Downside? Don't Miss These Trading Opportunities

Pressure is building fast on EUR/USD — and two powerful macro forces could send it lower in May. Higher oil prices from Strait of Hormuz disruptions are hammering European growth… while a potentially...

UUP : 28.34 (-0.53%)
FXE : 105.47 (+0.50%)
E6M26 : 1.16145s (+0.34%)
MFM26 : 1.16145s (+0.34%)
DXM26 : 99.474s (-0.27%)
^EURUSD : 1.14366 (+0.04%)
"Sell in May" Could Be Bad News for the Kiwi Dollar

"Sell in May" isn't just an old saying — it has teeth in NZD/USD. Risk gets dumped, money runs to the US dollar, and the Kiwi often takes the hit. Add slowing global growth and RBNZ seasonal weakness,...

^NZDUSD : 0.57107 (+0.23%)
N6M26 : 0.58420s (+0.15%)
Copper at the Edge: Why $6.00 Feels Like a Trap

Copper's sitting right around $6.00 after that wild ride from the January highs near $6.58 down to $5.24. Volume from specs and commercials is holding steady, but you can feel the tension. Long-term supply...

HGN26 : 6.1715 (+0.93%)
QLN26 : 6.1440s (+1.15%)
The Overlooked Trade: How Market Alignment Could Drive the Russell 2000 Index Move

Did you know? The Russell 2000 Index may be getting quiet support from something most traders overlook—steady earnings growth inside the S&P 500. Strong large caps often set the stage for small-cap outperformance....

RXM26 : 2,960.73s (+1.41%)
QRM26 : 2,960.73s (+1.41%)
IWM : 297.58 (-0.58%)
DJIA Index: Macro Meets Technicals at a Turning Point

The DJIA Index in 2026 isn’t a simple trend—it’s a complex puzzle. Interest rates, Fed policy, global growth, and geopolitics are all pulling in different directions at once. If you’re not looking...

YRM26 : 51,962s (+0.86%)
YMM26 : 51,962s (+0.86%)
DIA : 527.88 (+1.05%)
While Other Markets Panic, Corn Just Got a Constructive Edge – Here's Why

While stocks, crypto, metals, & bonds are getting whipsawed by tariffs and Middle East headlines, corn just quietly rallied 59¢ off the low $4.30s. July '26 futures are now near $4.87. Not a blow-off...

XNN26 : 425-0s (+0.95%)
CEN26 : 412.8s (-0.48%)
CORN : 16.86 (-0.53%)
ZCN26 : 425-0s (+0.95%)
Traders Beware: The Canadian Dollar's Relationship with Oil Isn't What You Think

Takeaway for Canadian dollar traders: don't rely on a single narrative. Oil, interest rates, and risk sentiment are all pulling USD/CAD in different directions. That's where opportunity—and risk—live....

WKM26 : 0.71445s (unch)
D6M26 : 0.71445s (unch)
^USDCAD : 1.41987 (+0.12%)

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Foreign Private Investors now own more U.S. Treasuries than Foreign Central Banks for the first time in history 🚨🚨 https://t.co/8CUCXDEfQu
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Investors dumped Stocks last week at the fastest pace since March 📉 🤯 👀 https://t.co/pN8nEJjRgW
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Brent Oil could fall to $60 by Christmas, forecasts Citi 📉 📉 https://t.co/dRO9B7H3ez
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If the S&P 500 finishes the year with a 10%+ gain, it will be only the 2nd time in the history of the $SPX that it has had 4 straight years of double-digit returns. The other time was 1995-1999, just before the Dot Com Bubble burst 🤯 👀 https://t.co/Bf5KeuuNVx
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The U.S. is now spending more on interest payments than on national defense for the first time in history 🚨 🚨 https://t.co/QUz3XsEsQM
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Semiconductor Stocks are very, very expensive 🤯 👀 Probably Fine? https://t.co/kkVswox0yx
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Energy Stocks just saw an outflow of $3.2 Billion over the last week, the largest in 2 years 🚨 🚨 https://t.co/uf3d3XemrZ
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WARNING 🚨: The end is near for the stock market, warns Michael Burry 🤯👀 https://t.co/uE3Zv0WZf8
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Tech Stocks on track for their largest annual inflow in history 📈 📈 https://t.co/ZtoQWquyEp
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Red, White & Boom - U.S. Stocks since Independence 📈📈 https://t.co/f40slybvc8
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