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10-Year T-Note Dec '25 (ZNZ25)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks End Slightly Lower as T-note Yields Rise

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Tuesday fell -0.21%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) fell -0.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) fell -0.04%.  March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26) fell -0.11%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26) rose +0.08%.

Bearish factors for stocks included Tuesday’s rise of more than +5 bp in the 10-year T-note yield and continued jitters about the war in Iran. The Pentagon said the US military conducted its most intensive day of bombing yet on Tuesday.  Also, the largest refinery in the UAE was forced to close due to a drone attack, and there was a report of an explosion involving a tanker near the UAE. 

Stocks had underlying support from Tuesday’s -12% plunge in oil prices, which was positive for the US economy and dovish for Fed policy.  Stocks also received support from the stronger-than-expected US Feb existing home sales report, which rose +1.7% m/m to 4.09 million, versus expectations of a decline to 3.88 million.

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,062/1,875
First Notice Date
11/28/25
Expiration Date
12/19/25 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Dec '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 3, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
4,244,872 (-178,832)
3,624,567 (-32,318)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
611,965 (+29,554)
1,266,472 (-89,959)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
400,042 (+14,178)
634,808 (-3,267)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
3,068,736 (-10,623)
970,200 (+51,567)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
514,356 (-19,304)
2,436,925 (-84,515)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
184,428 (-63,005)
159,831 (-15,538)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
112-015 +0.59%
on 12/10/25
113-240 -0.92%
on 11/25/25
+0-005 (+0.01%)
since 11/19/25
3-Month
112-015 +0.59%
on 12/10/25
114-020 -1.19%
on 10/17/25
-0-015 (-0.04%)
since 09/19/25

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Stocks End Slightly Lower as T-note Yields Rise

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Tuesday fell -0.21%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) fell -0.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) fell -0.04%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

MSTR : 141.97 (+2.54%)
NVDA : 185.56 (+0.43%)
META : 657.63 (+0.54%)
AMAT : 347.11 (+0.36%)
COP : 114.52 (+0.32%)
$SPX : 6,781.48 (-0.21%)
MU : 410.46 (+1.82%)
$IUXX : 24,956.47 (-0.04%)
NQH26 : 25,001.50 (+0.08%)
ASST : 9.25 (+3.01%)
QQQ : 610.08 (+0.38%)
ZNM26 : 112-040 (-0.29%)
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Stocks Move Higher as Oil Prices Plunge

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up +0.28%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.39%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.49%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26 ) are...

MSTR : 141.97 (+2.54%)
NVDA : 185.56 (+0.43%)
META : 657.63 (+0.54%)
AMAT : 347.11 (+0.36%)
COP : 114.52 (+0.32%)
$SPX : 6,781.48 (-0.21%)
MU : 410.46 (+1.82%)
$IUXX : 24,956.47 (-0.04%)
NQH26 : 25,001.50 (+0.08%)
ASST : 9.25 (+3.01%)
QQQ : 610.08 (+0.38%)
ZNM26 : 112-040 (-0.29%)
Stocks Pressured By Higher Bond Yields and Persian Gulf Strikes

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is down -0.04%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.13%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.13%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

MSTR : 141.97 (+2.54%)
META : 657.63 (+0.54%)
COP : 114.52 (+0.32%)
$SPX : 6,781.48 (-0.21%)
$IUXX : 24,956.47 (-0.04%)
NQH26 : 25,001.50 (+0.08%)
ASST : 9.25 (+3.01%)
QQQ : 610.08 (+0.38%)
ZNM26 : 112-040 (-0.29%)
MSFT : 407.00 (+0.31%)
OXY : 53.91 (+1.49%)
TSLA : 408.44 (+2.31%)
Stock Index Futures Turn Lower as Bond Yields Climb

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GOOGL : 307.10 (+0.02%)
NVDA : 185.56 (+0.43%)
SNDK : 624.70 (+0.94%)
HIMS : 23.80 (+1.41%)
MU : 410.46 (+1.82%)
ORCL : 168.59 (+12.84%)
ESH26 : 6,784.00 (-0.05%)
TSM : 351.11 (+1.16%)
VOW3.D.DX : 90.900 (+0.66%)
OXY : 53.91 (+1.49%)
TSLA : 408.44 (+2.31%)
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NVDA : 185.56 (+0.43%)
GOOGL : 307.10 (+0.02%)
MPC : 222.50 (+3.38%)
UAL : 91.00 (-0.11%)
NOC : 732.63 (-0.32%)
CVX : 187.24 (+0.51%)
$SPX : 6,781.48 (-0.21%)
HIMS : 23.80 (+1.41%)
LYV : 165.20 (-0.20%)
AAL : 11.18 (+0.63%)
$IUXX : 24,956.47 (-0.04%)
NQH26 : 25,001.50 (+0.08%)
Stocks Fall as Oil Prices Spike up to $100 Per Barrel

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -1.0%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.4%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26...

ALK : 41.83 (-1.20%)
UAL : 91.00 (-0.11%)
CVX : 187.24 (+0.51%)
HIMS : 23.80 (+1.41%)
$IUXX : 24,956.47 (-0.04%)
ZNM26 : 112-040 (-0.29%)
OXY : 53.91 (+1.49%)
TSLA : 408.44 (+2.31%)
ESH26 : 6,784.00 (-0.05%)
FANG : 173.74 (-2.60%)
$DOWI : 47,706.51 (-0.07%)
SPY : 678.03 (+0.13%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 113-035
2nd Resistance Point 113-000
1st Resistance Point 112-270
Last Price 112-225s
1st Support Level 112-185
2nd Support Level 112-150
3rd Support Level 112-100

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52-Week High 114-020
Last Price 112-225s
Fibonacci 61.8% 112-085
Fibonacci 50% 111-230
Fibonacci 38.2% 111-050
52-Week Low 109-115

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