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10-Year T-Note Sep '16 (ZNU16)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

T-Note Prices Close Lower as Stocks Stabilize

June 10-year T-notes on Friday settled down -10 ticks and the 10-year T-note yield rose up by +1.7 bp to 2.320%. A rebound in stock prices Friday reduced safe-haven demand for government debt and pushed T-note prices lower. Stocks rebounded from Thursday's sharp losses as short-covering emerged in technology stocks when President Trump said after Thursday's close that Huawei Technologies, the Chinese firm that was put on a U.S. blacklist, could be part of any trade pact with China. T-note prices found some support on Friday's U.S. Apr core capital goods report of -0.9%, weaker than expectations of -0.3%. Also, T-notes found support after the 10-year British gilt yield fell to a 1-3/4 year low of 0.945% on Friday when Boris Johnson, the front runner to replace outgoing UK Prime Minister May, said the UK must prepare for a no-deal Brexit. Jun 10-year T-notes on Thursday rallied to a contract and 1-1/2 year nearest-futures high after a sell-off in global equity markets sparked safe-haven demand for T-notes. Also, signs of a slowdown in U.S. manufacturing activity boosted T-note prices after Thursday's U.S. May Markit manufacturing PMI report of -2.0 to 50.6, weaker than expectations of unchanged at 52.6 and the slowest pace of expansion in more than 8 years. U.S. inflation expectations moved higher Friday as the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation expectations rate rose by +0.9 bp to 1.773%, recovering mildly from Thursday's 4-1/2 month low of 1.750%.

Contract Specifications

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10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
09/21/16 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Sep '16
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Sep Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 14, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
2,800,696 (+80,760)
2,499,721 (+71,975)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
616,402 (+38,795)
969,219 (+61,050)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
203,574 (+5,978)
207,084 (+33,101)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,781,827 (+74,481)
905,132 (-49,037)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
387,151 (+30,747)
1,368,982 (+108,993)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
306,348 (-11,638)
249,544 (+19,981)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
130-260 +0.43%
on 09/13/16
132-155 -0.84%
on 09/07/16
-0-185 (-0.44%)
since 08/19/16
130-215 +0.54%
on 06/24/16
134-075 -2.13%
on 07/06/16
+0-040 (+0.10%)
since 06/21/16
123-215 +6.23%
on 11/09/15
134-075 -2.13%
on 07/06/16
+6-050 (+4.92%)
since 09/21/15

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T-Note Prices Surge on Global Economic Concerns and a Decline in Inflation Expectations

June 10-year T-notes on Thursday closed up +24.5 ticks and the 10-year T-note yield sank by -8.8 bp to a 1-1/2 year low off 2.294%. Jun 10-year T-note prices rallied to a contract and 1-1/2 year nearest-futures...

Midday Market Minute

There was tremendous volatility in the currencies today due to dismal PMI data from both Europe and the U.S.

Panic Sends 10 Year Note To New Highs

Strong demand...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 131-255
1st Resistance Point 131-190
Last Price 131-120s
1st Support Level 131-045
2nd Support Level 130-285

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52-Week High 134-075
Last Price 131-120s
Fibonacci 61.8% 130-065
Fibonacci 50% 128-305
Fibonacci 38.2% 127-225
52-Week Low 123-215

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InsideFutures Commentary

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