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5-Year T-Note Mar '20 (ZFH20)

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5-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

T-Notes Close at a 3-1/2 Month High as the Chinese Virus Spreads

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Monday closed up +19.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -8.1 bp to 1.603%.

Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high Monday and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled to a 3-1/2 month low of 1.601%. U.S. T-note prices, and the global bond market in general, saw support from expectations for weaker global economic growth due to the spreading Chinese coronavirus and due to safe-haven demand with Monday's sharp sell-off in stocks. The latest data show 2,744 confirmed cases of the virus and at least 80 deaths. Mainland China accounts for 98% of confirmed global infections but the virus has spread to more than 12 other countries.

The 10-year German bund yield fell -5.0 bp Monday and posted a 1-3/4 month low of -0.390%. Bund yields fell on equity market weakness and on Monday's economic data that showed German Jan IFO business climate unexpectedly fell -0.4 to 95.9, weaker than expectations of +0.7 to 97.0. Bund yields also saw downward pressure fr... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
5-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One quarter of 1/32 of a point ($7.8125 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$770/700
First Notice Date
02/28/20 (31 days)
Expiration Date
03/31/20 (63 days)

Seasonal Chart

5-Year T-Note Mar '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 21, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
3,415,192 (-7,241)
3,172,303 (+34,880)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
456,239 (+29,965)
722,671 (-3,044)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
54,819 (+11,590)
507,975 (-16,678)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
2,214,249 (+33,667)
877,003 (+50,165)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
528,454 (-18,901)
1,490,665 (-4,835)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
284,258 (-3,261)
229,680 (+3,555)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
118-130 +1.11%
on 12/30/19
119-310 -0.21%
on 01/28/20
+1-020 (+0.90%)
since 12/27/19
3-Month
118-035 +1.36%
on 12/13/19
119-310 -0.21%
on 01/28/20
+0-287 (+0.76%)
since 10/28/19

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T-Notes Close at a 3-1/2 Month High as the Chinese Virus Spreads

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Monday closed up +19.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -8.1 bp to 1.603%. Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high Monday and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled to a 3-1/2...

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Global Bond Markets Surge On China-Virus Concerns

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) this morning are up +21 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -7.8 bp to 1.606%. Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high this morning and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.



Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 120-000
1st Resistance Point 119-287
Last Price 119-232
1st Support Level 119-212
2nd Support Level 119-170

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52-Week High 120-167
Last Price 119-232
Fibonacci 61.8% 119-132
Fibonacci 50% 119-025
Fibonacci 38.2% 118-235
52-Week Low 117-200

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