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Ultra T-Bond Mar '24 (UDH24)

125-04s +0-17 (+0.43%) 03/19/24 [CBOT]
N/A x N/A N/A x N/A
underlying price ()
Quote Overview for Tue, Mar 19th, 2024
Day Low
124-26
Day High
125-05
Open 124-26
Previous Close 124-19 124-19
Volume 138 138
Open Interest 6,744 6,744
Relative Strength 43.87% 43.87%
Weighted Alpha -7.89 -7.89
5-Day Change -2-15 (-1.93%) -2-15 (-1.93%)
52-Week Range 110-05 - 139-21 110-05 - 139-21
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Ultra T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks Rally on Higher Odds for Fed Rate Cut after CPI Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Tuesday rose by +1.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) rose by +1.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) rose by +1.33%.  September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25) rose by +1.06%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU25) rose by +1.25%. 

Stocks rallied after Tuesday's CPI report was largely in line with market expectations, thus strengthening expectations for a Fed rate cut at the September meeting.  On a year-on-year basis, the July headline CPI of +2.7% y/y was slightly weaker than expected, but the core CPI of +3.1% y/y was slightly stronger than expected.  The chances for a Fed rate cut at its Sep 16-17 meeting improved to 94% after Tuesday's CPI report from 88% on Monday.

The 2-year T-note yield fell -4.0 bp to 3.729% on the CPI news.  However, the 10-year T-note yield closed the day little changed and saw upward pressure after a new attack by President Trump on Fed Chair Powell. Mr. Trump said in a Truth Social po... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra 30-Year Treasury-Bond
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$5,665/5,150
First Notice Date
02/29/24
Expiration Date
03/19/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra T-Bond Mar '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 5, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,633,599 (+38,201)
1,390,512 (+24,306)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
134,510 (-13,601)
362,877 (-2,047)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
9,599 (-7,487)
122,584 (-6,558)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,281,097 (+41,537)
598,292 (-287)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
75,668 (-23,275)
635,098 (+22,028)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
22,156 (-4,112)
17,826 (-10,861)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
123-03 +1.65%
on 02/22/24
Period Open: 124-10
130-02 -3.80%
on 03/07/24
+0-26 (+0.65%)
since 02/16/24
3-Month
123-03 +1.65%
on 02/22/24
Period Open: 133-01
135-12 -7.57%
on 12/27/23
-7-29 (-5.94%)
since 12/19/23

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Most Recent Stories

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Stocks Rally on Higher Odds for Fed Rate Cut after CPI Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Tuesday rose by +1.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) rose by +1.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) rose by +1.33%. September E-mini S&P...

META : 790.00 (+3.15%)
NVDA : 183.16 (+0.60%)
UAL : 98.47 (+10.23%)
GETY : 1.6700 (-2.34%)
$SPX : 6,445.76 (+1.13%)
FLYY : 2.10 (-40.68%)
NXPI : 220.05 (+7.26%)
TXN : 192.97 (+5.04%)
CAH : 146.30 (-7.21%)
AAL : 12.98 (+12.09%)
$IUXX : 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
NQU25 : 23,953.75 (+0.07%)
Dollar Falls as CPI Report Boosts Chances of a Fed Rate Cut

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Tuesday fell by -0.43% due to the increased chances of a Fed rate cut after the CPI report. The market boosted the chances for a Fed rate cut at the September meeting to 96%...

DXY00 : 98.038 (-0.06%)
GCZ25 : 3,400.4 (+0.04%)
SIU25 : 38.260 (+0.68%)
^USDJPY : 147.976 (+0.09%)
^EURUSD : 1.16817 (+0.06%)
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Stocks Rally on Increased Odds for Fed Rate Cut after CPI Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.72%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +1.13%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.64%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25...

NVDA : 183.16 (+0.60%)
META : 790.00 (+3.15%)
GETY : 1.6700 (-2.34%)
$SPX : 6,445.76 (+1.13%)
NXPI : 220.05 (+7.26%)
TXN : 192.97 (+5.04%)
CAH : 146.30 (-7.21%)
GS : 743.38 (+3.36%)
$IUXX : 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
NQU25 : 23,953.75 (+0.07%)
UNH : 261.57 (+3.65%)
HBI : 6.18 (+27.95%)
With a September Rate Cut on the Table, Buy T-Bond Futures Here

December U.S. Treasury bond futures present a buying opportunity on more price strength.

ZBZ25 : 114-15 (+0.16%)
Stocks See Support from Increased Odds for Fed Rate Cut after CPI Report

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.44%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.36%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.52%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25...

NVDA : 183.16 (+0.60%)
META : 790.00 (+3.15%)
GETY : 1.6700 (-2.34%)
$SPX : 6,445.76 (+1.13%)
CAH : 146.30 (-7.21%)
$IUXX : 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
NQU25 : 23,953.75 (+0.07%)
HBI : 6.18 (+27.95%)
QQQ : 580.05 (+1.26%)
ZNU25 : 111-270 (+0.03%)
ESU25 : 6,468.50 (unch)
PSKY : 10.97 (+8.40%)
Inflation Report: Consumer Prices Up 2.7% Annually, Meeting Expectations

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are up +0.06%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are up +0.02% this morning as investors refrained from making big bets ahead of key U.S. inflation...

NVDA : 183.16 (+0.60%)
NQU25 : 23,953.75 (+0.07%)
SRT3.D.DX : 198.050 (+7.68%)
CRCL : 163.21 (+1.27%)
SPX.LN : 6,845.000 (+12.95%)
AI : 16.91 (+2.67%)
CAH : 146.30 (-7.21%)
CRWV : 148.75 (+6.42%)
MNDY : 172.15 (-1.14%)
SE : 174.12 (+19.07%)
ACHR : 10.25 (+7.44%)
SBUX : 93.37 (+1.78%)
Stocks Decline Ahead of US Inflation News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Monday closed down -0.25%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.45%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.36%. September E-mini...

MSTR : 394.39 (-1.46%)
SPNS : 29.50 (+2.54%)
$IUXX : 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
COIN : 322.62 (+0.94%)
ZNU25 : 111-270 (+0.03%)
MNDY : 172.15 (-1.14%)
ESU25 : 6,468.50 (unch)
PSKY : 10.97 (+8.40%)
$DOWI : 44,458.61 (+1.10%)
^BTCUSD : 119,369.09 (-0.68%)
UPST : 63.41 (-0.08%)
EA : 177.91 (+1.02%)
Stocks Turn Negative Ahead of This Week's Key Inflation Reports

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.16%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.40%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down - 0.26%. Stock indexes today are...

MSTR : 394.39 (-1.46%)
AMAT : 188.45 (+2.21%)
SPNS : 29.50 (+2.54%)
ADI : 232.04 (+3.56%)
$IUXX : 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
COIN : 322.62 (+0.94%)
ZNU25 : 111-270 (+0.03%)
MNDY : 172.15 (-1.14%)
QCOM : 153.73 (+3.89%)
AMD : 174.95 (+1.55%)
LRCX : 105.28 (+3.22%)
$DOWI : 44,458.61 (+1.10%)
Stocks Supported by Fed Rate Cut Speculation and Strength in Chip Makers

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.11%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.04%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25...

MSTR : 394.39 (-1.46%)
AMAT : 188.45 (+2.21%)
SPNS : 29.50 (+2.54%)
$IUXX : 23,839.20 (+1.33%)
COIN : 322.62 (+0.94%)
ZNU25 : 111-270 (+0.03%)
MNDY : 172.15 (-1.14%)
GDDY : 140.41 (+3.42%)
ESU25 : 6,468.50 (unch)
QCOM : 153.73 (+3.89%)
LRCX : 105.28 (+3.22%)
AMD : 174.95 (+1.55%)
Have Natural Gas Prices Bottomed?

Jim's forecast program (and other tools of the trade) have led him to surmise that being short natgas at these levels may be too risky

NGU25 : 2.797 (-0.39%)
TGU25 : 32.409s (-1.79%)
TGV25 : 32.822s (-1.80%)
NGV25 : 2.899 (-0.41%)
UNG : 12.28 (-6.04%)
BOIL : 29.62 (-10.08%)
KOLD : 36.51 (+10.70%)
Crude Prices Supported by Doubts About Ukrainian Peace Plan

September WTI crude oil (CLU25 ) on Friday closed unchanged, and September RBOB gasoline (RBU25 ) closed up +0.086 (+0.41%). Crude oil and gasoline prices on Friday settled mixed. Crude finished the session...

CLU25 : 63.19 (+0.03%)
RBU25 : 2.0729 (-0.07%)
Cooler US Summer Temps Undercut Nat-Gas Prices

September Nymex natural gas (NGU25 ) on Friday closed down -0.077 (-2.51%). Sep nat-gas prices settled lower Friday due to expectations for cooler summer weather that would reduce demand from electricity...

NGU25 : 2.797 (-0.39%)
Crude Prices Pressured on Possible End to Russian-Ukraine War

September WTI crude oil (CLU25 ) today is down -0.30 (-0.47%), and September RBOB gasoline (RBU25 ) is down -0.014 (-0.07%). Crude oil and gasoline prices dropped to 2-month lows today after Bloomberg...

CLU25 : 63.19 (+0.03%)
RBU25 : 2.0729 (-0.07%)
Eversource Energy Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Eversource Energy has underperformed the broader market over the past year, but analysts are moderately optimistic about the stock’s prospects.

XLU : 86.28 (+0.43%)
$SPX : 6,445.76 (+1.13%)
ES : 65.82 (+0.20%)
Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Sempra Stock Will Climb or Sink?

Sempra has underperformed the broader market over the past year, but analysts are moderately optimistic about the stock’s prospects.

XLU : 86.28 (+0.43%)
C : 95.74 (+3.72%)
$SPX : 6,445.76 (+1.13%)
SRE : 82.09 (+1.47%)
Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Constellation Energy Stock?

Constellation Energy has outperformed the broader market over the past year, and analysts are moderately optimistic about the stock’s prospects.

XLU : 86.28 (+0.43%)
META : 790.00 (+3.15%)
CEG : 338.57 (+2.14%)
$SPX : 6,445.76 (+1.13%)
JPM : 292.85 (+1.14%)
Clean Energy Fuels: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

Clean Energy Fuels: Q2 Earnings Snapshot

CLNE : 2.30 (+11.65%)
Possible End to the Russian-Ukraine War Weighs on Crude Prices

September WTI crude oil (CLU25 ) on Thursday closed down -0.47 (-0.73%), and September RBOB gasoline (RBU25 ) closed down -0.129 (-0.62%). Crude oil and gasoline prices settled lower on Thursday, but crude...

CLU25 : 63.19 (+0.03%)
RBU25 : 2.0729 (-0.07%)
Nat-Gas Prices Erase Early Gains as US Weather Forecasts Cool

September Nymex natural gas (NGU25 ) on Thursday closed down -0.010 (-0.32%). Sep nat-gas prices on Thursday fell from a 1-week high and settled slightly lower after US weather forecasts cooled, which...

NGU25 : 2.797 (-0.39%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 125-19
2nd Resistance Point 125-12
1st Resistance Point 125-08
Last Price 125-04s
1st Support Level 124-29
2nd Support Level 124-22
3rd Support Level 124-18

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52-Week High 139-21
Fibonacci 61.8% 128-12
Last Price 125-04s
Fibonacci 50% 124-29
Fibonacci 38.2% 121-14
52-Week Low 110-05

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