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Ultra T-Bond Mar '24 (UDH24)

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Ultra T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks Rebound Higher as Deflator Report Supports Fed Rate-Cut Expectations

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Friday rose +1.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) rose +1.58%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) rose +1.03%.

US stocks Friday rebounded higher on some bargain hunting after the rout seen on Wednesday and Thursday. Stocks also saw support from Friday’s US PCE deflator report, which was largely in line with dovish market expectations and supported the thesis for a Fed rate cut in September.

The Russell 2000 index on Friday rallied by +1.67%, besting the +1.14% rise in the S&P 500 index, as small-cap stocks extended this week’s rally.  The Russell 2000 rose by +3.35% on the week, much better than the comparable -0.95% performance of the S&P 500 index.  There was some rotation into small-cap stocks after the mega-cap tech stocks and chip stocks took a heavy hit this week and weighed down the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index.

Sep 10-year T-note prices rallied after the PCE deflator report and provided underlying... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra 30-Year Treasury-Bond
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$6,050/5,500
First Notice Date
02/29/24
Expiration Date
03/19/24 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra T-Bond Mar '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 23, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,324,375 (-33,120)
934,382 (-17,478)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
145,537 (-1,066)
556,734 (-9,267)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
9,832 (+1,404)
69,326 (+1,431)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,084,172 (-6,291)
334,058 (+8,478)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
53,677 (-5,018)
754,279 (-11,753)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
44,552 (-2,104)
55,774 (-2,724)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
123-03 +1.65%
on 02/22/24
130-02 -3.80%
on 03/07/24
+0-26 (+0.65%)
since 02/16/24
3-Month
123-03 +1.65%
on 02/22/24
135-12 -7.57%
on 12/27/23
-7-29 (-5.94%)
since 12/19/23

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Stocks Rebound Higher as Deflator Report Supports Fed Rate-Cut Expectations

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday rose +1.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) rose +1.58%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) rose +1.03%. US stocks Friday rebounded higher...

$SPX : 5,459.10 (+1.11%)
SPY : 544.44 (+1.12%)
$DOWI : 40,589.34 (+1.64%)
DIA : 405.97 (+1.62%)
$IUXX : 19,023.66 (+1.03%)
QQQ : 462.97 (+1.03%)
MSFT : 425.27 (+1.64%)
META : 465.70 (+2.71%)
SPOT : 321.88 (-2.15%)
AMZN : 182.50 (+1.47%)
NVDA : 113.06 (+0.69%)
TSLA : 219.80 (-0.20%)
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Grain Markets: Will the Positive Trend in the Soybean, Corn, and Wheat Market Continue?

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Did the Japanese Yen Cause the Tech Selloff?

Thanks to hedge funds piling in, the short position on the Japanese yen was near an all-time high. But now, that is unwinding... as are the bets these funds made with the proceeds of the short - buying...

TSLA : 219.80 (-0.20%)
GOOGL : 167.00 (-0.17%)
$SPX : 5,459.10 (+1.11%)
$NASX : 17,357.88 (+1.03%)
^JPYUSD : 0.0065050 (+0.12%)
^USDJPY : 153.763 (-0.11%)
FXY : 60.15 (+0.11%)
Stocks Rebound Higher as Deflator Report Supports Fed Rate-Cut Expectations

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.88%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +1.44%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.65%. US stocks today rebounded higher...

$SPX : 5,459.10 (+1.11%)
SPY : 544.44 (+1.12%)
$DOWI : 40,589.34 (+1.64%)
DIA : 405.97 (+1.62%)
$IUXX : 19,023.66 (+1.03%)
QQQ : 462.97 (+1.03%)
MSFT : 425.27 (+1.64%)
META : 465.70 (+2.71%)
SPOT : 321.88 (-2.15%)
AMZN : 182.50 (+1.47%)
NVDA : 113.06 (+0.69%)
TSLA : 219.80 (-0.20%)
GDP and Fed Cuts

Q2 GDP came in hotter than expected, will this derail the Fed's rate cut path?

Stocks Rebound Higher as Deflator Report Supports Fed Rate-Cut Expectations

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.87%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +1.13%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.82%. US stocks today rebounded higher...

$SPX : 5,459.10 (+1.11%)
SPY : 544.44 (+1.12%)
$DOWI : 40,589.34 (+1.64%)
DIA : 405.97 (+1.62%)
$IUXX : 19,023.66 (+1.03%)
QQQ : 462.97 (+1.03%)
MSFT : 425.27 (+1.64%)
META : 465.70 (+2.71%)
SPOT : 321.88 (-2.15%)
AMZN : 182.50 (+1.47%)
NVDA : 113.06 (+0.69%)
TSLA : 219.80 (-0.20%)
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BEN : 23.08 (-2.37%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 125-19
2nd Resistance Point 125-12
1st Resistance Point 125-08
Last Price 125-04s
1st Support Level 124-29
2nd Support Level 124-22
3rd Support Level 124-18

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52-Week High 139-21
Fibonacci 61.8% 128-12
Last Price 125-04s
Fibonacci 50% 124-29
Fibonacci 38.2% 121-14
52-Week Low 110-05

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