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T-Bond Jun '20 (ZBM20)

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T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

10-Year T-notes Settle at a 2-1/4 Month Low on Unexpected Strength in U.S. May Payrolls

Sep T-notes (ZNU20) on Friday closed down -22.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +8.1 bp at 0.904%.

Sep 10-year T-notes on Friday tumbled to a 2-1/4 month low and the 10-year T-note yield climbed to a 2-1/4 month high of 0.956%. T-note prices sold off Friday on an unexpectedly strong U.S. May payroll report.

U.S. May non-farm payrolls unexpectedly rose +2.509 million, much stronger than expectations for a decline of -7.5 million. Also, the May unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -1.4 to 13.3%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations for an increase to 19.0%.

Another negative for T-notes was Friday's announcement from the Fed that it will cut its pace of Treasury buying to $4 billion a day from $4.5 billion a day starting Monday, June 8.

Friday's U.S. wage data was bullish for T-notes after the May avg hourly earnings report of -1.0% m/m and +6.7% y/y was weaker than expectations of +1.0% m/m and +8.5% y/y.

Friday's U.S. consumer credi... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
U.S. Treasury Bond Futures
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$6,050/5,500
First Notice Date
05/29/20
Expiration Date
06/19/20 (13 days)

Seasonal Chart

T-Bond Jun '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jun Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 2, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
740,170 (-35,787)
685,048 (-33,254)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
103,125 (-1,823)
177,929 (-21,500)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
5,447 (-560)
138,714 (+1,991)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
534,621 (+5,507)
220,590 (-10,543)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
56,669 (-5,471)
292,649 (-14,980)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
58,184 (-7,355)
22,650 (-1,491)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
172-17 +0.92%
on 06/05/20
182-15 -4.57%
on 05/15/20
-6-05 (-3.41%)
since 05/05/20
3-Month
167-05 +4.17%
on 03/18/20
191-22 -9.16%
on 03/09/20
+0-15 (+0.27%)
since 03/05/20

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10-Year T-notes Plunge to a 2-1/4 Month Low on Unexpected Strength in U.S. May Payrolls

Sep T-notes (ZNU20) this morning are down -22 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is up +10.1 bp at 0.924%. Sep 10-year T-notes this morning tumbled to a 2-1/4 month low. The 10-year T-note yield climbed to...

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Sep T-notes (ZNU20) on Thursday closed down -12.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +6.4 bp at 0.810%. Sep 10-year T-notes on Thursday sold off to a 1-1/2 month low. The 10-year T-note yield climbed...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.



Long term indicators are in flux.

The market is in highly oversold territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 177-25
1st Resistance Point 175-30
Last Price 174-04s
1st Support Level 172-13
2nd Support Level 170-23

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52-Week High 191-22
Fibonacci 61.8% 177-16
Last Price 174-04s
Fibonacci 50% 173-04
Fibonacci 38.2% 168-24
52-Week Low 154-18

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InsideFutures Commentary

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