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E-Mini S&P 500 Dec '15 (ESZ15)

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E-Mini S&P 500 Futures Market News and Commentary

U.S. Stock Indexes Recover and Close Higher on Dovish Fed Comments

The S&P 500 ($SPX) on Thursday closed up +10.69 (+0.36%), the Dow Jones Industrials index ($DOWI) closed up +3.12 (+0.01%), and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) closed up +15.37 (+0.19%). Key U.S. stock indexes settled higher Thursday on the outlook for a Fed rate cut later this month. New York Fed President Williams said Thursday "when you only have so much stimulus at your disposal, it pays to act quickly to lower rates at the first sign of economic distress." The dovish comments from Williams, an FOMC voter, suggest he will support at least a 25 bp rate cut at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting. Comments on Thursday afternoon from Fed Vice Chair Clarida echoed New York Fed President Williams' comments when Clarida said the Fed shouldn't wait for the economy to falter before cutting interest rates in an effort to "keep the economy on an even keel." Losses in technology stocks were a negative factor for the overall market on Thursday after Netflix plunged -10% to a 6-month low when the company late Wednesday reported that it had Q2 paid net customers of only 2.70 million, well below consensus of 5.06 million due to recent price increases. Energy stocks were weaker as well as crude oil prices slid more than -2% to a 4-week low on Thursday. Thursday's U.S. economic data was mixed after the July Philadelphia Fed business outlook index jumped by +21.5 points to a 1-year high of 21.8, stronger than expectations of +4.7 to 5.0. However, June leading indicators unexpectedly fell -0.3%, weaker than expectations of +0.1% and the biggest decline in nearly 3-1/2 years. The VIX volatility index ($VIX) jumped to a 1-week high Thursday at 14.50%, but then fell back and settled down -0.44 at 13.53%. The VIX remains moderately above the 2-3/4 month low of 12.04% (July 5) and April's 11-month low of 11.03%.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
E-Mini S&P 500 Index
Contract Size
$50 times Index
Tick Size
0.25 points ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 3:15p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$6,930/6,300
First Notice Date
12/18/15
Expiration Date
12/18/15 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

E-Mini S&P 500 Dec '15
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 9, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,886,472 (+51,508)
1,871,846 (+17,309)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
354,442 (-17,160)
337,205 (+18,722)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
197,833 (-1,577)
557,961 (-11,856)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,526,024 (+24,017)
618,702 (+17,601)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
165,988 (-15,383)
439,264 (+8,605)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
92,515 (+19,299)
334,570 (+13,689)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1,992.25 +1.88%
on 12/14/15
2,105.00 -3.58%
on 12/02/15
-50.03 (-2.41%)
since 11/18/15
3-Month
1,861.00 +9.07%
on 09/29/15
2,110.25 -3.82%
on 11/03/15
+79.22 (+4.06%)
since 09/18/15
52-Week
1,823.00 +11.34%
on 08/24/15
2,118.75 -4.20%
on 05/19/15
-10.53 (-0.52%)
since 12/18/14

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Opinion rating is a Hold. Short term, the outlook is Steady.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2,048.91
1st Resistance Point 2,039.31
Last Price 2,029.72s
1st Support Level 2,021.06
2nd Support Level 2,012.41

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52-Week High 2,118.75
Last Price 2,029.72s
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,005.77
Fibonacci 50% 1,970.88
Fibonacci 38.2% 1,935.98
52-Week Low 1,823.00

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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