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2-Year T-Note Mar '20 (ZTH20)

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2-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

T-Notes Close at a 3-1/2 Month High as the Chinese Virus Spreads

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Monday closed up +19.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -8.1 bp to 1.603%.

Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high Monday and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled to a 3-1/2 month low of 1.601%. U.S. T-note prices, and the global bond market in general, saw support from expectations for weaker global economic growth due to the spreading Chinese coronavirus and due to safe-haven demand with Monday's sharp sell-off in stocks. The latest data show 2,744 confirmed cases of the virus and at least 80 deaths. Mainland China accounts for 98% of confirmed global infections but the virus has spread to more than 12 other countries.

The 10-year German bund yield fell -5.0 bp Monday and posted a 1-3/4 month low of -0.390%. Bund yields fell on equity market weakness and on Monday's economic data that showed German Jan IFO business climate unexpectedly fell -0.4 to 95.9, weaker than expectations of +0.7 to 97.0. Bund yields also saw downward pressure fr... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
2-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$200,000
Tick Size
One eighth of 1/32 of a point ($7.8125 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$2,000
Margin/Maintenance
$594/540
First Notice Date
02/28/20 (32 days)
Expiration Date
03/31/20 (64 days)

Seasonal Chart

2-Year T-Note Mar '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 21, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
2,589,413 (+65,912)
2,351,490 (+31,732)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
821,598 (-13,574)
1,142,975 (+26,111)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
98,736 (+6,269)
236,194 (+11,096)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,710,081 (-7,659)
924,038 (+58,342)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
919,607 (+11,408)
1,819,409 (-43,782)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
308,922 (+8,135)
141,159 (-1,998)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
107-211 +0.32%
on 12/30/19
108-006 -0.02%
on 01/27/20
+0-092 (+0.27%)
since 12/27/19
3-Month
107-172 +0.43%
on 12/13/19
108-007 -0.02%
on 10/31/19
+0-073 (+0.21%)
since 10/28/19

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Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Monday closed up +19.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -8.1 bp to 1.603%. Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high Monday and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled to a 3-1/2...

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Global Bond Markets Surge On China-Virus Concerns

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) this morning are up +21 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -7.8 bp to 1.606%. Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high this morning and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled...

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Global Bond Markets Surge On Chinese-Virus Concerns

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) this morning are up +21 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -7.8 bp to 1.606%. Mar T-note prices rallied to a 3-1/2 month high this morning and the 10-year T-note yield tumbled...

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Flight to quality

Treasury futures intraday

Bond futures have rallied. Here is our intraday trade idea.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.



Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 108-018
1st Resistance Point 108-010
Last Price 108-000
1st Support Level 107-307
2nd Support Level 107-293

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52-Week High 108-136
Fibonacci 61.8% 108-011
Last Price 108-000
Fibonacci 50% 107-292
Fibonacci 38.2% 107-253
52-Week Low 107-128

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InsideFutures Commentary

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