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30-Day Fed Funds Feb '20 (ZQG20)

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30-Day Fed Funds Futures Market News and Commentary

T-notes Close Lower on Strong U.S. Economic Data and a Rally in Stocks

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Friday closed down -3.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +2.2 bp to 1.829%.

Mar T-note prices fell back Friday, and T-note yields rose on a rally in global equity markets along with better-than-expected U.S. economic data.

An easing of global trade tensions has propelled world stocks higher Friday, which reduced the safe-haven demand for T-notes. The U.S. and China signed a phase-one trade deal on Wednesday and the U.S. Senate on Thursday approved the USMCA agreement, which could spark new business investment now that the long-term rules are set for North American trade.

Positive Chinese economic data is also supportive for global growth prospects and is bearish for T-notes as Friday's data showed China Dec retail sales rose +8.0% y/y, stronger than expectations of +7.9% y/y, and after China Dec industrial production rose +6.9% y/y, the fastest pace of increase in 9 months.

Friday's U.S. economic data was mostly hawkish for Fed... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
30-Day Fed Funds
Contract Size
$5,000,000
Tick Size
0.0025 points ($10.4175 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$4,167
Margin/Maintenance
$407/370
First Notice Date
02/28/20 (41 days)
Expiration Date
02/28/20 (41 days)

Seasonal Chart

30-Day Fed Funds Feb '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 14, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
875,927 (+9,394)
1,288,833 (+47,418)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
556,750 (+43,435)
159,700 (+11,998)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
395,064 (+22,076)
427,758 (-1,113)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
14,894 (+1,511)
32,370 (+16,689)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
533,432 (+26,683)
513,727 (+40,446)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
42,109 (+4,165)
27,500 (+5,000)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
98.4150 +0.01%
on 01/17/20
98.4450 -0.03%
on 01/03/20
-0.0200 (-0.02%)
since 12/17/19
3-Month
98.4150 +0.01%
on 01/17/20
98.5850 -0.17%
on 10/31/19
-0.1000 (-0.10%)
since 10/17/19
52-Week
97.5450 +0.90%
on 01/18/19
98.7400 -0.32%
on 08/07/19
+0.8150 (+0.83%)
since 01/17/19

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Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Friday closed down -3.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +2.2 bp to 1.829%. Mar T-note prices fell back Friday, and T-note yields rose on a rally in global equity markets along...

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Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Thursday closed down -6 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +2.3 bp to 1.806%. Mar T-note prices were under pressure the entire day Thursday and closed lower on a rally in stocks...

TREASURY BOND OPTION STRATEGY

TREASURY YIELDS WILL RISE AS BOND PRICES MOVE LOWER

US/China "phase one" deal signing passes without much fanfare

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 98.4233
1st Resistance Point 98.4217
Last Price 98.4200s
1st Support Level 98.4167
2nd Support Level 98.4133

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52-Week High 98.7400
Last Price 98.4200s
Fibonacci 61.8% 98.2835
Fibonacci 50% 98.1425
Fibonacci 38.2% 98.0015
52-Week Low 97.5450

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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