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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybeans Market News and Commentary

Soybean futures are currently 4 cents higher after seeing 4 to 5 cent gains in the front months on Monday. Nearby soy meal was up $1.80/ton, with soy oil 32 points lower. Shipments of soybeans in the week that ended on 12/13 totaled 974,876 MT, per the Export Inspections report. That was 5.21% larger than last week but 45.72% below the same week in 2017. NOPA crush for November was 166.959 mbu. That was 2.09% above last year (and a new November record) but down 3.13% from last month due to one less calendar day. Soy oil stocks were tighter than expectations at 1.484 billion lbs. USDA Secretary Perdue announced the second round of MFP checks will be issued, with the payment on the other 50% of soybean production @ $1.65/bu. Producers have until January 15 to apply if they have not already done so. All harvesting must be complete before filing, which has been a problem in several areas. --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
398,947 (+13,633)
368,389 (+5,254)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
144,809 (-10,077)
138,878 (-7,057)
Producers - Long / Short
261,739 (+11,283)
325,559 (+500)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
112,694 (-680)
18,316 (+1,724)
Managed Money - Long / Short
84,880 (-4,083)
85,563 (-15,976)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
59,929 (-5,994)
53,315 (+8,919)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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