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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary


Soybean futures closed Friday with 6 to 7 1/4 cent gains in the front months, as Jan was 2.46% higher on the week. Nearby soy meal was down 90 cents/ton, with soy oil 3 points higher. Friday morning’s delayed export sales report showed that 890,932 MT of 18/19 soybeans were sold in the week of 11/29, with 4,095 MT for 19/20. Old crop sales (on the top end of estimates) were 41.7% larger than the week prior but still lagging the same week in 2017 by 54.2%. Bean shipments were reported at 1.252 MMT for the last full week of November, 22.3% larger than the prior week but still behind year ago. Soy meal sales were tallied at 287,250 MT, with bean oil at 21,048 MT. Brazilian production is estimated in trade surveys to be updated to 120.88 MMT by the USDA on Tuesday, with Argentina at 55.72 MMT. BAGE put the Argentina soybean planting 54% done, behind the 58.4% normal pace.Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $9.16 3/4, up 7 1/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.29, up 7 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.41 3/4, up 7 1/4 cents,Aug 19 Soybeans closed at $9.57, up 6 3/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $309.10, down $0.90,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.50, up $0.03--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
10/31/18
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Nov '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Nov Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 27, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
407,217 (+4,154)
335,214 (+5,629)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
139,055 (+3,526)
178,901 (+1,025)
Producers - Long / Short
268,142 (+5,176)
298,470 (+6,118)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
118,168 (+416)
15,837 (+949)
Managed Money - Long / Short
73,241 (-537)
132,544 (+5,587)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
65,814 (+4,063)
46,357 (-4,562)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
831-6 +4.66%
on 10/31/18
892-0 -2.41%
on 10/15/18
+3-0 (+0.35%)
since 10/12/18
3-Month
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
907-0 -4.02%
on 08/20/18
-9-2 (-1.05%)
since 08/14/18
52-Week
812-2 +7.17%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -17.92%
on 05/29/18
-110-4 (-11.26%)
since 11/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 877-5
1st Resistance Point 874-1
Last Price 870-4s
1st Support Level 868-1
2nd Support Level 865-5

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 870-4s
52-Week Low 812-2

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