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Soybeans Nov '18 (ZSX18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary

1 hour ago
Soybean futures posted gains of 19 to 20 1/4 cents in the front months on Thursday, supported by short covering and good export numbers. A Bloomberg report on Thursday showed that China is planning to trim their average tariff rate on imports from trading partners as soon as Oct. No word on if it includes the US. Soybean meal was up $5/ton, while soy oil was 35 points in the green. Showers over the next week or so could slow harvest. Export sales for 18/19 soybeans totaled 917,556 MT in the week that ended on 9/13, slightly above the range of trade estimates. That was well short of last year, but above the week prior. Sales to China were shown at a net reduction of 4,000 MT, with Mexico the lead buyer of 165,600 MT. Sales of 19/20 soybeans were reported at 80,000 MT. Actual exports were down from the week prior at 800,913 MT, with none of that to China. Soy meal sales totaled 137,356 MT, with 18,122 MT in soy oil sales.NOV 18 Soybeans closed at $8.50 1/4, up 20 1/4 cents,JAN 19 Soybeans closed at $8.64, up 20 1/4 cents,MAR 19 Soybeans closed at $8.77, up 19 3/4 cents,MAY 19 Soybeans closed at $8.89 3/4, up 19 1/2 cents,OCT 18 Soybean Meal closed at $311.40, up $5.00,OCT 18 Soybean Oil closed at $27.60, up $0.35

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,585/2,350
First Notice Date
10/30/18 (40 days)
Expiration Date
11/14/18 (55 days)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybeans Nov '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Nov contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 11, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
458,229 (+13,360)
361,704 (+3,434)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
154,029 (+516)
220,581 (+11,411)
Producers - Long / Short
294,544 (+16,673)
309,269 (+2,822)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
132,459 (-1,916)
21,209 (+2,009)
Managed Money - Long / Short
77,326 (-833)
156,221 (+8,263)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
76,703 (+1,349)
64,360 (+3,148)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
812-2 +4.68%
on 09/18/18
894-6 -4.97%
on 08/21/18
-43-0 (-4.81%)
since 08/20/18
3-Month
812-2 +4.68%
on 09/18/18
922-2 -7.81%
on 07/31/18
-60-2 (-6.62%)
since 06/20/18
52-Week
812-2 +4.68%
on 09/18/18
1060-4 -19.83%
on 05/29/18
-138-0 (-13.96%)
since 09/20/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 873-2
1st Resistance Point 861-6
Last Price 850-2s
1st Support Level 832-0
2nd Support Level 813-6

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52-Week High 1060-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 965-5
Fibonacci 50% 936-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 907-1
Last Price 850-2s
52-Week Low 812-2

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