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Ultra T-Bond Mar '20 (UDH20)

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Ultra T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

T-notes Surge to a 2-3/4 Month High as Stocks Plunge on China-Virus Concern

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Friday closed up +16 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -4.2 bp to 1.691%.

Mar T-note prices on Friday rallied to a 2-3/4 month high and the 10-year T-note yield slid to a 2-1/2 month low of 1.668% on increased safe-haven demand tied to the sharp sell-off in stocks and concern about the spreading China virus. Also, a rally in global government bond markets gave T-notes a boost.

The S&P 500 sold off to a 1-week low Friday on concern about the spreading China coronavirus. France reported the first 2 cases in Europe Friday and the U.S. reported that 2 more people were infected by the virus. More than 900 cases of the coronavirus have been reported thus far with 26 deaths. The spread of the virus throughout the world may crimp global economic growth and prompt the Fed to boost stimulus measures.

The 10-year German bund yield fell -2.7 bp Friday and posted a new 1-1/2 month low of -0.337% on dovish comments from ECB Governing Council member R... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra Treasury Bond
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,950/4,500
First Notice Date
02/28/20 (33 days)
Expiration Date
03/20/20 (54 days)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra T-Bond Mar '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 21, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
1,024,173 (-4,236)
646,248 (-5,056)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
51,774 (-5,187)
505,733 (+4,462)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
37,946 (-7,956)
130,715 (+5,284)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
732,976 (-10,120)
104,295 (-5,741)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
34,730 (-5,289)
694,849 (-7,008)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,850 (+5,205)
3,677 (-1,866)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
180-13 +5.72%
on 01/02/20
192-01 -0.68%
on 01/27/20
+6-28 (+3.74%)
since 12/27/19
3-Month
179-23 +6.12%
on 11/07/19
192-01 -0.68%
on 01/27/20
+5-22 (+3.07%)
since 10/25/19

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Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Friday closed up +16 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -4.2 bp to 1.691%. Mar T-note prices on Friday rallied to a 2-3/4 month high and the 10-year T-note yield slid to a 2-1/2...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.



Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 191-30
1st Resistance Point 190-27
Last Price 190-21
1st Support Level 187-27
2nd Support Level 185-30

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52-Week High 198-22
Last Price 190-21
Fibonacci 61.8% 189-14
Fibonacci 50% 186-19
Fibonacci 38.2% 183-24
52-Week Low 174-16

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