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10-Year T-Note Mar '19 (ZNH19)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

10-Year T-notes Fall to a 1-1/2 Month Low on a Jump in Bund Yields and Rising Inflation Expectations

Sep T-notes (ZNU20) this morning are down -11 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is up +6.4 bp at 0.810%.

Sep 10-year T-notes this morning are weaker as they dropped to a 1-1/2 month low. The 10-year T-note yield climbed to a 2-1/4 month high of 0.819%. A surge in German bund yields today is weighing on T-notes. Rising inflation expectations today are also undercutting T-note prices. Losses in T-note losses accelerated this morning on technical selling after T-notes fell below their current 1-1/2 month-long trading range.

T-notes this morning ignored the supportive U.S. labor market data. U.S. weekly initial unemployment claims fell -249,000 to 1.877 million, showing a weekly labor market than expectations of 1.833 million. Also, weekly continuing claims unexpectedly rose +649,000 to 21.487 million, showing a weaker labor market than expectations for a decline to 20.000 million.

U.S. Q1 non-farm productivity data today was mixed for T-notes. Q1 non-farm productivit... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,980/1,800
First Notice Date
02/28/19
Expiration Date
03/20/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 26, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
2,247,440 (-20,311)
2,254,234 (+39,855)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
658,626 (+4,822)
696,682 (-50,254)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
118,380 (-52,476)
164,883 (+1,143)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
1,443,893 (-18,361)
845,976 (+30,048)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
494,719 (+26,329)
1,085,290 (-60,813)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
121,611 (-5,534)
127,304 (-15,330)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
121-100 +1.13%
on 03/04/19
122-270 -0.13%
on 03/15/19
+0-170 (+0.43%)
since 02/20/19
3-Month
120-280 +1.50%
on 12/26/18
123-080 -0.46%
on 01/03/19
+1-200 (+1.34%)
since 12/20/18

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Sep T-notes (ZNU20) this morning are down -11 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is up +6.4 bp at 0.810%. Sep 10-year T-notes this morning are weaker as they dropped to a 1-1/2 month low. The 10-year T-note...

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Sep T-notes (ZNU20) on Wednesday closed down -21.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +7.6 bp at 0.761%. Sep 10-year T-notes on Wednesday tumbled to a 4-week low and the 10-year T-note yield jumped to...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 122-275
1st Resistance Point 122-250
Last Price 122-220s
1st Support Level 122-180
2nd Support Level 122-135

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52-Week High 123-080
Last Price 122-220s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120-295
Fibonacci 50% 120-070
Fibonacci 38.2% 119-160
52-Week Low 117-055

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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