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T-Bond Mar '20 (ZBH20)

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T-Bond Futures Market News and Commentary

T-notes Close Lower on Strong U.S. Economic Data and a Rally in Stocks

Mar T-notes (ZNH20) on Friday closed down -3.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose +2.2 bp to 1.829%.

Mar T-note prices fell back Friday, and T-note yields rose on a rally in global equity markets along with better-than-expected U.S. economic data.

An easing of global trade tensions has propelled world stocks higher Friday, which reduced the safe-haven demand for T-notes. The U.S. and China signed a phase-one trade deal on Wednesday and the U.S. Senate on Thursday approved the USMCA agreement, which could spark new business investment now that the long-term rules are set for North American trade.

Positive Chinese economic data is also supportive for global growth prospects and is bearish for T-notes as Friday's data showed China Dec retail sales rose +8.0% y/y, stronger than expectations of +7.9% y/y, and after China Dec industrial production rose +6.9% y/y, the fastest pace of increase in 9 months.

Friday's U.S. economic data was mostly hawkish for Fed... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
U.S. Treasury Bond Futures
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
32nds of a point ($31.25 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,080/2,800
First Notice Date
02/28/20 (41 days)
Expiration Date
03/20/20 (62 days)

Seasonal Chart

T-Bond Mar '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 14, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
730,279 (+13,593)
708,060 (+38,543)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
128,338 (+13,371)
185,515 (-28,140)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
8,100 (+3,316)
148,839 (+29,292)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
516,607 (+9,137)
295,325 (-158)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
71,903 (+18,170)
228,679 (-27,625)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
80,832 (-2,124)
39,557 (+10,429)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
155-05 +1.37%
on 01/02/20
159-19 -1.45%
on 01/08/20
+0-15 (+0.30%)
since 12/17/19
3-Month
155-00 +1.47%
on 11/07/19
160-26 -2.20%
on 11/01/19
-2-03 (-1.31%)
since 10/17/19

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TREASURY YIELDS WILL RISE AS BOND PRICES MOVE LOWER

US/China "phase one" deal signing passes without much fanfare

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 158-14
1st Resistance Point 157-27
Last Price 157-09s
1st Support Level 156-25
2nd Support Level 156-10

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52-Week High 165-23
Fibonacci 61.8% 160-12
Fibonacci 50% 158-23
Last Price 157-09s
Fibonacci 38.2% 157-02
52-Week Low 151-23

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InsideFutures Commentary

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