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Valero Energy Corp (VLO)

Valero Energy Corp (VLO)
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Market News and Commentary

Valero's Refining Windfall May Have Already Peaked Before These Numbers Were Printed

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) reports second-quarter 2026 earnings tomorrow, July 30, before market open, with analysts expecting a dramatic surge in profitability that would mark one of the strongest year-over-year comparisons in the refining sector. The consensus estimate of $9.87 per share represents a 332.89% increase from the $2.28 earned in the same quarter last year, raising the question of whether VLO can sustain this extraordinary momentum amid evolving refining margins and demand dynamics. With the stock trading at $301.32 and analysts projecting full-year earnings of $36.64—more than triple 2025's $10.61—this report will test whether the refining supercycle thesis remains intact.

Fundamentals

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  • Market Capitalization, $K 88,747,344
  • Shares Outstanding, K 296,933
  • Annual Sales, $ 122,687 M
  • Annual Income, $ 2,348 M
  • EBIT $ 5,876 M
  • EBITDA $ 9,034 M
  • 60-Month Beta 0.55
  • Price/Sales 0.74
  • Price/Cash Flow 14.13
  • Price/Book 3.36

Options Overview Details

View History
  • Implied Volatility 46.68% (-0.14%)
  • Historical Volatility 37.15%
  • IV Percentile 96%
  • IV Rank 93.19%
  • IV High 48.04% on 03/30/26
  • IV Low 28.07% on 09/02/25
  • Expected Move (DTE 1) 11.46 (3.80%)
  • Put/Call Vol Ratio 0.36
  • Today's Volume 10,778
  • Volume Avg (30-Day) 8,935
  • Put/Call OI Ratio 0.92
  • Today's Open Interest 129,272
  • Open Int (30-Day) 110,705
  • Expected Range 289.86 to 312.78

Analyst Rating / Earnings Estimates

Current Rating
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Moderate Buy
Based on 20 analysts offering recommendations.
Earnings Estimates - Current Qtr 06/30/26
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  • Average Estimate $9.87
  • Number of Estimates 5
  • High Estimate $10.50
  • Low Estimate $9.40
  • Prior Year $2.28
  • Growth Rate Est. (year over year) +332.89%

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
259.42 +16.15%
on 06/30/26
320.24 -5.91%
on 07/22/26
+35.00 (+13.14%)
since 06/29/26
3-Month
227.25 +32.59%
on 05/07/26
320.24 -5.91%
on 07/22/26
+50.02 (+19.90%)
since 04/29/26
52-Week
130.78 +130.40%
on 08/11/25
320.24 -5.91%
on 07/22/26
+156.59 (+108.19%)
since 07/29/25

Most Recent Stories

More News
Valero's Refining Windfall May Have Already Peaked Before These Numbers Were Printed

Barchart Research What to Expect from VLO Earnings VLO Generated July 29, 2026 Current Price $301.32 EPS Estimate $$9.87 Consensus Rating Moderate Buy Average Move 2.97% Valero's Refining Windfall May...

VLO : 301.32 (+0.82%)
Stocks Tumble as Chipmakers Plunge, Oil Spikes

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.71%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -1.53%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.98%. September E-mini S&P futures...

ALK : 45.84 (-5.70%)
TER : 319.41 (-0.39%)
SNDK : 1,015.89 (-7.32%)
FDXF : 144.36 (-4.39%)
OXY : 56.03 (+3.89%)
FANG : 199.13 (+4.64%)
AMD : 429.56 (-5.51%)
VRT : 223.04 (-17.26%)
SPY : 729.46 (-1.54%)
BKR : 58.72 (+0.44%)
AAL : 14.84 (-3.39%)
QQQ : 661.73 (-2.04%)
Stocks Pressured by Renewed US-Iran Hostilities

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.85%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.23%. September E-mini S&P futures...

ALK : 45.84 (-5.70%)
TER : 319.41 (-0.39%)
MPC : 308.72 (+0.87%)
SNDK : 1,015.89 (-7.32%)
SLB : 48.96 (-2.04%)
FDXF : 144.36 (-4.39%)
OXY : 56.03 (+3.89%)
FANG : 199.13 (+4.64%)
AMD : 429.56 (-5.51%)
VRT : 223.04 (-17.26%)
SPY : 729.46 (-1.54%)
MU : 739.00 (-9.94%)
Refiner Stocks Are Near Record Highs—Can Iran-Driven Margins Keep Them There?

Amid intensifying Iran war disruptions and record crack spreads, Valero, Marathon Petroleum, and Phillips 66 shares have surged to all-time highs, backed by strong earnings, buybacks, and dividends.

MPC : 308.72 (+0.87%)
PSX : 206.81 (+0.47%)
VLO : 301.32 (+0.82%)
MPLX : 57.79 (-2.38%)
Oil Prices Are Surging and These 4 Stocks Are Cashing In

Rising oil prices tied to Iran tensions and surging AI-driven power demand are boosting Valero, Marathon Petroleum, GE Vernova and Ecovyst, analysts say, as refiners and grid suppliers convert scarcity...

MPC : 308.72 (+0.87%)
VLO : 301.32 (+0.82%)
GEV : 900.28 (-4.57%)
ECVT : 12.03 (-2.35%)
Global Refiners Are Cutting Out Oil Traders To Buy Venezuelan Crude Directly

Commodity traders are having the rug pulled out from under one of their biggest paydays yet as refiners ...

PSX : 206.81 (+0.47%)
CVX : 191.86 (+2.28%)
E : 53.81 (+7.13%)
VLO : 301.32 (+0.82%)
REPYY : 30.1800 (+4.97%)
Stocks Finish Sharply Lower as Tech Stocks Slump

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed down -1.01%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.77%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -1.49%. September...

AMAT : 436.45 (-8.40%)
GOOGL : 336.71 (+0.90%)
MPC : 308.72 (+0.87%)
AAPL : 338.19 (-0.56%)
SNDK : 1,015.89 (-7.32%)
CVX : 191.86 (+2.28%)
ROAD : 104.03 (-2.47%)
TXN : 271.30 (-2.08%)
ALV : 124.77 (+0.53%)
$IUXX : 27,192.31 (-2.06%)
ASML : 1,550.69 (-2.04%)
ZNU26 : 108-110 (-0.40%)
Valero Energy Corporation Declares Regular Cash Dividend on Common Stock

The Board of Directors of Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO, “Valero”) has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.20 per share on its common stock. The dividend will be payable on August...

VLO : 301.32 (+0.82%)
Stocks Settle Lower as Chipmakers Routed and US-Iran Tensions Escalate

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Monday closed down -0.79%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.26%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -1.88%. September...

ALK : 45.84 (-5.70%)
MSTR : 93.33 (-2.94%)
MPC : 308.72 (+0.87%)
APP : 399.46 (-4.49%)
SNDK : 1,015.89 (-7.32%)
GLXY : 18.26 (-12.80%)
TRI : 106.34 (+2.95%)
COIN : 160.09 (-4.65%)
OXY : 56.03 (+3.89%)
FANG : 199.13 (+4.64%)
STX : 764.43 (+2.29%)
WDC : 462.04 (-0.32%)
Stocks Retreat on Chipmaker Weakness and US-Iran Standoff

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.33%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.16%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.12%. September E-mini S&P futures...

MSTR : 93.33 (-2.94%)
MPC : 308.72 (+0.87%)
SNDK : 1,015.89 (-7.32%)
GLXY : 18.26 (-12.80%)
SLB : 48.96 (-2.04%)
COIN : 160.09 (-4.65%)
OXY : 56.03 (+3.89%)
FANG : 199.13 (+4.64%)
STX : 764.43 (+2.29%)
WDC : 462.04 (-0.32%)
AMD : 429.56 (-5.51%)
^BTCUSD : 64,140.02 (+1.14%)

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Business Summary

Valero Energy Corporation is the largest independent refiner and marketer of petroleum products in the United States. It has refineries located throughout the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. Moreover, Valero is a leading ethanol producer with ethanol plants in the Midwest. The products...

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 315.75
2nd Resistance Point 312.87
1st Resistance Point 307.09
Last Price 301.32
1st Support Level 298.43
2nd Support Level 295.55
3rd Support Level 289.77

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52-Week High 320.24
Last Price 301.32
Fibonacci 61.8% 247.87
Fibonacci 50% 225.51
Fibonacci 38.2% 203.15
52-Week Low 130.78

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