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Hard Red Wheat Dec '19 (KEZ19)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Markets Steady to 3 Lower

Wheat markets start the week UNCH (MPLS) to 3 cents lower (CHI). Wheat futures traded in both directions on Friday. KC HRW futures closed with 3 to 4 3/4 cent losses. HRS wheat was fractionally mixed to 1 1/4 cents lower. SRW wheat was higher on the day, with 8 to 9 1/2 cent gains in the front months. The SRW to corn premium was at a monthly high. September SRW to Sept HRS premium was the highest since April 28, and the Chi to KC spread was the highest premium since December 10. The NASS wheat production numbers were bullish relative to June, and exceeded trade expectations. USDA’s July estimate for winter wheat production is 1.218 bbu, down by 48 mbu, while the trade was looking for an 18 mbu cut. That came via a 33 mbu cut to HRW and a 17 mbu cut for SRW production. Spring wheat production was estimated at 550 mbu. In total 2020/21 U.S. wheat production is forecasted at 1.824 bbu. U.S. ending stocks for 2020/21 are forecasted at 942 mbu, that is up 17 mbu from June. Globally, USDA... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,375/1,250
First Notice Date
11/29/19
Expiration Date
12/13/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 7, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
122,977 (-101)
94,043 (+5,552)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
55,399 (+6,633)
84,401 (+308)
Producers - Long / Short
69,422 (+794)
82,483 (+4,766)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
49,516 (-1,116)
7,521 (+565)
Managed Money - Long / Short
38,411 (+3,195)
72,414 (+456)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
16,988 (+3,438)
11,987 (-148)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
411-4 +3.89%
on 12/09/19
445-4 -4.04%
on 12/02/19
+2-6 (+0.65%)
since 11/13/19
3-Month
398-6 +7.21%
on 10/08/19
445-4 -4.04%
on 12/02/19
+27-6 (+6.94%)
since 09/13/19
52-Week
381-0 +12.20%
on 09/03/19
572-4 -25.33%
on 12/18/18
-140-0 (-24.67%)
since 12/13/18

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Wheat Markets Steady to 3 Lower

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Wheat Closed Mixed

Wheat traded in both directions on Friday. KC HRW futures closed with 3 to 4 3/4 cent losses. HRS wheat was fractionally mixed to 1 1/4 cents lower. SRW wheat was higher on the day, with 8 to 9 1/2 cent...

Beans Close in Red

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Corn traders sold the fact and took profits ahead of the weekend. Futures closed the Friday session 10 to 12 1/4 cents deep in the red. From the mandatory reporting system, USDA announced a huge 1.365...

Livestock Report

Cattle markets creep higher while Hogs sag

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 48% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 427-4
1st Resistance Point 427-4
Last Price 427-4s
1st Support Level 427-4
2nd Support Level 427-4

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52-Week High 572-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 499-3
Fibonacci 50% 476-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 454-1
Last Price 427-4s
52-Week Low 381-0

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