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Hard Red Wheat Dec '19 (KEZ19)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Markets Fade Tuesday Trade

Wheat is trading 1 to 2 1/2 cents lower in the Chicago and KC futures this morning, a fade of Tuesday gains. MPLS spring wheat is fractionally mixed. Wheat futures were mostly higher Tuesday with Kansas City HRW futures leading the way. Chicago wheat futures were up 3 1/4 to 4 3/4 cents, and KC wheat made gains by as much as 7 1/4 cents in nearby contracts. MPLS HRS ended Tuesday steady to 1 cent lower. The lower winter wheat crop condition ratings from USDA this week were in HRW country, with winter white ratings higher. TX was rated 30% good/ex, OK 46, KS 47 and CO 64%. Nebraska got a 70 pct good/ex, while WA was 74 and 73.Japan’s lower house has passed the trade deal signed by President Trump and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on October 7th, and it should cut tariffs on wheat, beef, pork, among other US ag goods by an estimated $7 billion. Japan’s upper house has yet to sign off, but is expected to before December 9th. Japan has tendered for 119,998 MT of wheat.

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Contract Specifications

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KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
11/29/19 (9 days)
Expiration Date
12/13/19 (23 days)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Dec '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 12, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
112,814 (-5,996)
117,905 (+3,664)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
85,285 (+5,413)
87,761 (-6,098)
Producers - Long / Short
64,342 (-1,539)
105,883 (+9,644)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
43,610 (+1,587)
7,160 (+64)
Managed Money - Long / Short
56,496 (+4,633)
80,340 (-6,440)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
28,789 (+780)
7,421 (+342)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
410-0 +3.72%
on 10/31/19
439-2 -3.19%
on 11/12/19
-8-4 (-1.96%)
since 10/18/19
381-0 +11.61%
on 09/03/19
439-2 -3.19%
on 11/12/19
+23-2 (+5.78%)
since 08/20/19
381-0 +11.61%
on 09/03/19
572-4 -25.72%
on 12/18/18
-128-6 (-23.24%)
since 11/20/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 433-7
1st Resistance Point 429-7
Last Price 426-6
1st Support Level 419-5
2nd Support Level 413-3

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52-Week High 572-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 499-3
Fibonacci 50% 476-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 454-1
Last Price 426-6
52-Week Low 381-0

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