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Hard Red Wheat Jul '22 (KEN22)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Red Close for Friday Wheat Market

Wheat prices ended the last trade day of the week with losses. Chicago wheat futures gave back 2 1/2 to 4 1/4 cents across the front months on Friday. KC HRW prices settled with 7 1/2 to 8 cent losses on the day. Spring wheat futures went into the weekend with losses of 2 3/4 to 4 cents. 

Commitment of Traders data will be delayed as announced. 

Russia’s IKAR reduced their outlook from 87 MMT to 84 MMT for the 2023 wheat crop citing a cold and dry winter. 

Traders estimate StatsCan will report wheat stocks at 22.3 MMT as of Dec 31. The lowest estimate is for 21.2 MMT, and the highest estimate is for 23.2 MMT, compared to last year’s 16.798 wheat stock. 

 

Mar 23 CBOT Wheat  closed at $7.56 3/4, down 4 1/4 cents,

May 23 CBOT Wheat  closed at $7.68 1/4, down 3 3/4 cents,

Cash SRW Wheat  was $6.96 5/8, down 4 1/2 cents,

Mar 23 KCBT Wheat  closed at $8.73, down 7 3/4 cents,

Cash HRW Wheat  was $8.40 3/4, down 7 1/8 cents,

Mar 2... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$3,740/3,400
First Notice Date
06/30/22
Expiration Date
07/14/22 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Jul '22
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 24, 2023

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
83,539 (+4,819)
72,369 (+4,967)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
39,575 (+2,903)
47,863 (+2,460)
Producers - Long / Short
40,881 (+3,586)
64,037 (+3,351)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
36,381 (-275)
2,055 (+108)
Managed Money - Long / Short
31,843 (+2,800)
39,669 (+2,753)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
7,732 (+103)
8,194 (-293)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
836-4 +3.68%
on 07/06/22
1159-4 -25.20%
on 06/16/22
-275-0 (-24.08%)
since 06/14/22
3-Month
836-4 +3.68%
on 07/06/22
1379-2 -37.12%
on 05/17/22
-290-0 (-25.06%)
since 04/14/22
52-Week
642-2 +35.03%
on 07/15/21
1379-2 -37.12%
on 05/17/22
+222-6 (+34.56%)
since 07/14/21

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Red Close for Friday Wheat Market

Wheat prices ended the last trade day of the week with losses. Chicago wheat futures gave back 2 1/2 to 4 1/4 cents across the front months on Friday. KC HRW prices settled with 7 1/2 to 8 cent losses...

ZWH23 : 756-6s (-0.56%)
ZWK23 : 768-2s (-0.49%)
ZWPAES.CM : 6.9568 (-0.65%)
KEH23 : 873-0s (-0.88%)
KEPAWS.CM : 8.3979 (-0.85%)
MWH23 : 921-4s (-0.35%)
Soymeal Rallies into Weekend

The soymeal market rallied to new contract highs again on Friday, as the beans and soy oil dropped into the weekend. Soybean futures closed fractionally in the red for new crop, but 1 1/2 to 2 1/4 cents...

ZSH23 : 1532-0s (-0.15%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 14.9070 (-0.19%)
ZSK23 : 1525-4s (-0.15%)
ZSN23 : 1516-4s (-0.13%)
Corn Prices Close with Gains

Friday corn futures ended the day with fractional to 2 1/4 cent gains. For the week, March corn was 5 1/2 cents lower but Dec corn was up by 8 3/4 cents. That has the discount to new crop at 81 1/2 cents...

ZCH23 : 677-4s (+0.33%)
ZCPAUS.CM : 6.8043 (+0.33%)
ZCK23 : 675-4s (+0.26%)
ZCN23 : 664-6s (+0.26%)
Shootin' the Bull about employment

In my opinion, the divide between reality and optimism continues to grow.  Optimism leading the way this week as futures pushed higher in both fats and feeders.  Reality seemingly just sitting still....

No Bull | Seeing Double

Tripp got to dress up like a literary character at school yesterday. He decided to repurpose the (gigantic) Case IH combine Valentine’s Day box he constructed last year and throw on some bibs and a flannel...

ZCH23 : 677-4s (+0.33%)
Wheat Prices Fading on Friday

The midday wheat market is working in the red so far but prices are off their lows. CBT SRW futures are down 4 to 5 cents at midday. KC prices are working 7 cents in the red so far. Spring wheat futures...

ZWH23 : 756-6s (-0.56%)
ZWK23 : 768-2s (-0.49%)
ZWPAES.CM : 6.9568 (-0.65%)
KEH23 : 873-0s (-0.88%)
KEPAWS.CM : 8.3979 (-0.85%)
MWH23 : 921-4s (-0.35%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 867-2
2nd Resistance Point 867-2
1st Resistance Point 867-2
Last Price 867-2s
1st Support Level 867-2
2nd Support Level 867-2
3rd Support Level 867-2

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52-Week High 1379-2
Fibonacci 61.8% 1097-6
Fibonacci 50% 1010-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 923-6
Last Price 867-2s
52-Week Low 642-2

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