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Corn Dec '18 (ZCZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Corn Market Commentary

Thu Oct 18, 5:10PM CDT
Corn futures saw losses of 2 to 3 1/2 cents in most contracts on Thursday, pressured by a disappointing export sales number. This morning’s USDA Export Sales report indicated that 18/19 sales in the week of 10/11 totaled just 382,534 MT. That was a drop of 62% from the week prior and 69.52% lower than the same time last year. There were net reductions of 326,500 MT for unknown destinations, with most of that being switched to defined locations. Export shipments in that week totaled 1.1 MMT, more than triple this time last year but down 31.4% wk/wk. There was 452,100 MT headed to Mexico. An auction of Chinese state reserves saw 3.221 MMT of corn sold, with was 81.12% of the total.Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.70 3/4, down 3 1/2 cents,Mar 19 Corn closed at $3.83, down 3 1/2 cents,May 19 Corn closed at $3.90 1/4, down 3 1/4 centsJul 19 Corn closed at $3.95 3/4, down 2 3/4 cents--Call Brugler Marketing & Management @ (402) 289-2330 with questions or news tips.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Corn
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$880/800
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (43 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (57 days)

Seasonal Chart

Corn Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
751,314 (-15,606)
797,957 (-11,851)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
441,122 (-12,212)
375,187 (-21,982)
Producers - Long / Short
465,517 (-17,555)
706,491 (-14,770)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
222,889 (+1,528)
28,558 (+2,498)
Managed Money - Long / Short
252,289 (+3,909)
291,688 (-24,079)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
188,833 (-16,121)
83,499 (+2,097)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
344-6 +7.18%
on 09/20/18
378-4 -2.38%
on 10/15/18
+23-6 (+6.87%)
since 09/19/18
3-Month
342-4 +7.88%
on 09/18/18
388-4 -4.89%
on 07/31/18
+4-4 (+1.23%)
since 07/19/18
52-Week
342-4 +7.88%
on 09/18/18
429-4 -13.97%
on 05/24/18
-25-0 (-6.34%)
since 10/19/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 24% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 374-7
1st Resistance Point 372-7
Last Price 369-4
1st Support Level 369-1
2nd Support Level 367-3

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52-Week High 429-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 396-2
Fibonacci 50% 386-0
Fibonacci 38.2% 375-6
Last Price 369-4
52-Week Low 342-4

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