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Ultra 10-Year T-Note Mar '21 (TNH21)

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Ultra 10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

10-Year T-Notes Close at a 1-Year Low on a Better-Than-Expected U.S. Payroll Report

Jun 10-year T-notes (ZNM21) on Friday closed down -1.5 ticks, and the 10-year T-note yield fell -0.8 bp at 1.556%.

June 10-year T-note prices (ZNM21) on Friday dropped to a contract low, and the nearest-futures March contract tumbled to a 1-year low. The 10-year T-note yield climbed to a new 1-year high of 1.624%. A stronger-than-expected U.S. Feb payroll report on Friday undercut T-note prices. T-notes were already on the defensive from Thursday when Fed Chair Powell did not express concern over the recent jump in T-note yields to 1-year highs and said that only "disorderly" market conditions would concern him.

Friday's monthly U.S. Feb unemployment report was bearish for T-note prices. U.S. Feb nonfarm payrolls rose +379,000, stronger than expectations of +200,000 and the biggest increase in 4 months. Also, The Feb unemployment rate unexpectedly fell -0.1 to an 11-month low of 6.2%, showing a stronger labor market than expectations of unchanged at 6.... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Ultra 10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,420/2,200
First Notice Date
02/26/21
Expiration Date
03/22/21 (15 days)

Seasonal Chart

Ultra 10-Year T-Note Mar '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 2, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
863,870 (-76,702)
917,752 (-68,977)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
284,102 (+25,805)
101,867 (+16,758)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
113,494 (+23,349)
14,793 (-12,691)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
365,356 (-23,254)
462,931 (+34,948)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
441,471 (+52,411)
277,185 (+3,206)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
39,461 (-17,440)
76,520 (+8,281)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
146-275 +0.33%
on 03/05/21
153-190 -4.07%
on 02/11/21
-5-175 (-3.63%)
since 02/08/21
3-Month
146-275 +0.33%
on 03/05/21
156-255 -6.03%
on 12/11/20
-8-265 (-5.65%)
since 12/08/20

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The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 149-130
2nd Resistance Point 148-230
1st Resistance Point 148-080
Last Price 147-110
1st Support Level 147-030
2nd Support Level 146-130
3rd Support Level 145-300

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52-Week High 161-285
Fibonacci 61.8% 156-050
Fibonacci 50% 154-120
Fibonacci 38.2% 152-190
Last Price 147-110
52-Week Low 146-275

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Barchart Futures Commentary

Barchart Futures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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