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Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Cash (NQY00)

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Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Futures Market News and Commentary

U.S. Stock Indexes Settle Lower on Weakness in Energy Stocks and Comments from President Trump

The S&P 500 ($SPX) on Tuesday closed down -10.26 (-0.34%), the Dow Jones Industrials index ($DOWI) closed down -23.53 (-0.09%), and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) closed down -39.85 (-0.50%). Key U.S. stock indexes moved lower Tuesday as the Dow Jones Industrials Index retreated from a new record high. Stocks found early support Tuesday on stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data. June retail sales rose +0.4% and +0.4% ex-autos, stronger than expectations of +0.2% and +0.1% ex-autos, and June manufacturing production rose +0.4%, stronger than expectations of +0.3%. Also, the July NAHB housing market index unexpectedly rose +1 to 65, stronger than expectations of unchanged at 64. However, weakness in energy stocks took U.S. stock indexes off their best levels Tuesday after crude oil prices plunged more than -3% to a 1-week low. Stocks also fell back after President Trump on Tuesday said that he could impose additional tariffs on China if he wanted to. In addition, earnings results Tuesday were mixed as Johnson & Johnson fell -1.6% after it said currency fluctuations reduced profits from its overseas pharmaceutical operations, while Goldman Sachs rose more than +1.8% Tuesday after it reported Q2 EPS of $5.81, well above consensus of $4.93. The VIX volatility index ($VIX) on Tuesday rose +0.18 to 12.86% after it had matched Friday's 1-week low of 12.28%. The VIX remains modestly above the 2-3/4 month low of 12.04% from July 5 and moderately above the 11-month low from mid-April of 11.03%.
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
7,584.17 +4.35%
on 06/25/19
7,969.79 -0.70%
on 07/15/19
+387.52 (+5.15%)
since 06/17/19
3-Month
6,936.68 +14.09%
on 06/03/19
7,969.79 -0.70%
on 07/15/19
+233.32 (+3.04%)
since 04/17/19
52-Week
5,895.12 +34.25%
on 12/24/18
7,969.79 -0.70%
on 07/15/19
+510.15 (+6.89%)
since 07/17/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Good. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 7,993.41
1st Resistance Point 7,960.24
Last Price 7,918.15
1st Support Level 7,899.43
2nd Support Level 7,871.79

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52-Week High 7,969.79
Last Price 7,918.15
Fibonacci 61.8% 7,177.27
Fibonacci 50% 6,932.46
Fibonacci 38.2% 6,687.64
52-Week Low 5,895.12

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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