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Soybeans May '18 (ZSK18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary

Tue Oct 16, 5:05PM CDT
Soybean futures gave back some of Monday’s gains on Turnaround Tuesday, down 6 to 7 cents. Nearby soy meal was down $4.70/ton, with soy oil 10 points lower. Forecasts for the next week are dry for most of the Corn Belt, helping to get things dried out and allowing harvest to progress. NASS reported harvest as of Sunday was well behind normal with WCB states making very little progress over the past week. Progress in IA and MN is lagging by 31% with NE down 16% and the Dakotas well below normal, while IL is 5% faster than normal and IN up 2%. Condition ratings saw significant declines in IA (-10%), MO (-11%), ND (10%), and OH (-9%), with NE down 5% and MN 3 points lower.Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.84 3/4, down 6 3/4 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.99 1/4, down 6 1/2 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.11 1/2, down 6 1/2 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $9.34 3/4, down 6 3/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $322.30, down $4.70,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $29.66, down $0.10--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
04/30/18
Expiration Date
05/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily chart Soybeans May '18
Average price for the 5 prior May contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 9, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
452,017 (-13,708)
380,834 (-15,580)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
156,086 (-6,218)
197,380 (-3,951)
Producers - Long / Short
283,926 (-12,371)
321,944 (-16,916)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
126,252 (-3,602)
17,051 (-929)
Managed Money - Long / Short
87,990 (-3,558)
127,681 (-6,745)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
68,096 (-2,660)
69,699 (+2,794)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
993-2 +1.99%
on 05/11/18
1058-6 -4.32%
on 04/16/18
-41-2 (-3.91%)
since 04/13/18
3-Month
983-4 +3.00%
on 04/04/18
1082-4 -6.42%
on 03/02/18
-22-0 (-2.13%)
since 02/15/18
52-Week
928-6 +9.07%
on 06/23/17
1082-4 -6.42%
on 03/02/18
+36-4 (+3.74%)
since 05/15/17

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Wheat futures closed the Tuesday session with most contracts steady to 4 1/4 cents in the red. NASS reported that KS is now lagging normal pace at 62% planted, most other HRW states are also behind average....

Soybeans Market Commentary

Soybean futures gave back some of Monday’s gains on Turnaround Tuesday, down 6 to 7 cents. Nearby soy meal was down $4.70/ton, with soy oil 10 points lower. Forecasts for the next week are dry for...

Corn Market Commentary

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Livestock Report

Sleepy

Harvest activity set to resume

Better weather, technical selling lean on grains.

Morning Grain Market Research

Obviously not every combine was parked last week as a little progress was made in harvest. During the week, 5% of the corn crop was knocked out bringing the total to 39% complete and 6% more in beans moving...

Soybeans Market Commentary

Soybean futures are showing 9 to 10 cent losses on Turnaround Tuesday. Nearby soy meal is down $6.10/ton, with soy oil 10 points lower. Forecasts for the next week are dry for most of the Corn Belt, helping...

Corn Market Commentary

Corn futures are giving back most of yesterday’s gains, down 3 to 4 cents at midday. Monday’s Crop Progress indicated most WCB states lagging harvest pace and only moving 2-3% on the week,...

Wheat Market Commentary

Wheat futures are mixed on Tuesday, with KS down 2 to 3 cents and CBT and MPLS within a penny on either side of UNCH. NASS reported that 65% of the winter wheat crop was planted as of the 14th, lagging...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1017-4
1st Resistance Point 1015-2
Last Price 1013-0s
1st Support Level 1009-0
2nd Support Level 1005-0

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52-Week High 1082-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 1023-6
Last Price 1013-0s
Fibonacci 50% 1005-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 987-4
52-Week Low 928-6

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