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Soybeans Mar '18 (ZSH18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary


Soybean futures closed Friday with 2 to 3 1/2 cent gains. Soy meal led the way on export sales news as Dec was up $5.50/ton, with soy oil down 32 points. There was a private export sale of 100,000 MT of 18/19 soybeans to unknown reported through the USDA’s daily reporting system this morning. The delayed weekly Export Sales report indicated that 470,362 MT of soybeans were sold during the week of 11/8, on the low side of estimates. There were 488,800 MT in net reductions reported for unknown, with China cancelling 195,000 MT. Shipments in that week totaled 1.358 MMT. Soy meal sales exceeded the rage of estimates at 432,352 MT, with soy oil sales of 14,999 MT reported. Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed spec traders adding 9,947 contracts to their net short position at -55,025 contracts on 11/13. AgRural estimates that the Brazil soybean crop is 82% planted, well above the 5-year average of 67%.Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $8.92 1/4, up 3 1/2 cents,Mar 19 Soybeans closed at $9.05 3/4, up 3 1/2 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.18 3/4, up 3 1/4 cents,Aug 19 Soybeans closed at $9.34 3/4, up 2 1/4 cents,Dec 18 Soybean Meal closed at $310.90, up $5.50,Dec 18 Soybean Oil closed at $27.37, down $0.32--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,255/2,050
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
408,010 (+13,648)
331,024 (+4,859)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
135,147 (-361)
177,105 (+7,584)
Producers - Long / Short
264,356 (+11,987)
291,324 (-273)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
119,486 (-534)
15,532 (+2,937)
Managed Money - Long / Short
74,434 (-518)
123,919 (+10,101)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
60,713 (+157)
53,186 (-2,517)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1012-0 +1.63%
on 02/16/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+11-2 (+1.11%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
944-4 +8.89%
on 01/12/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+49-6 (+5.08%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
922-2 +11.52%
on 06/23/17
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+26-6 (+2.67%)
since 03/14/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1047-4
1st Resistance Point 1038-0
Last Price 1028-4s
1st Support Level 1023-6
2nd Support Level 1019-0

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52-Week High 1071-0
Last Price 1028-4s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1014-1
Fibonacci 50% 996-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 979-1
52-Week Low 922-2

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