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Soybeans Mar '18 (ZSH18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Margin/Maintenance
$2,585/2,350
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 14, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
430,892 (+16,217)
368,526 (-2,133)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
155,177 (-11,745)
190,938 (+5,338)
Producers - Long / Short
255,122 (+17,989)
311,298 (+934)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
135,494 (+2,434)
16,952 (+1,139)
Managed Money - Long / Short
77,154 (+820)
139,388 (-12)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
78,023 (-12,565)
51,550 (+5,350)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1012-0 +1.63%
on 02/16/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+11-2 (+1.11%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
944-4 +8.89%
on 01/12/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+49-6 (+5.08%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
922-2 +11.52%
on 06/23/17
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+26-6 (+2.67%)
since 03/14/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Fri Aug 17, 4:21PM CDT
Soybean futures rallied into the close to end the day with 4 to 5 cent losses, roughly 10 cents off their lows. Traders were taking money from this week’s 3.61% gains off the table ahead of the weekend. A little buying came late in the day on reports that the US and China are planning a roadmap to end the trade dispute by mid-November. That, of course, presumes that they will agree with each other’s proposals! Nearby soy meal was down $4.50/ton, with soy oil up 8 points. The large spec funds in soybean futures and options added another 2,641 contracts to their net short position as of 8/14. That took their net position to -58,924 contracts. Soybean export commitments are now lagging last year by 4.3%, slipping a little from last week. Compared to the USDA full year projection, they are 102% complete vs. the 104% normal pace. Actual exports are 94% of that number lagging average by 3%, with 4.718 MMT in unshipped sales remaining.Sep 18 Soybeans closed at $8.81 1/2, down 4 cents,Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.92 3/4, down 4 1/4 cents,Jan 19 Soybeans closed at $9.05, down 4 1/4 cents,May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.26, down 4 1/2 cents,Sep 18 Soybean Meal closed at $330.10, down $4.50,Sep 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.23, up $0.08

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1047-4
1st Resistance Point 1038-0
Last Price 1028-4s
1st Support Level 1023-6
2nd Support Level 1019-0

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52-Week High 1071-0
Last Price 1028-4s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1014-1
Fibonacci 50% 996-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 979-1
52-Week Low 922-2

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