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Soybeans Mar '18 (ZSH18)

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cmdty Insider - Soybeans Market Commentary

Mon Sep 24, 4:53PM CDT
Soybean futures ended the Monday session with most contracts 5 to 6 1/4 cents lower. Nearby soy meal was down $1.20/ton, while soy oil was up 17 points. USDA reported a private export sale of 162,000 MT of soybeans to unknown destinations for 18/19 delivery through their daily reporting system. The 7-day QPF shows rain for most of the Corn Belt over the next week, threatening to slow harvest. Higher amounts are shown as you move Eastward. As of Sunday, USDA reported that 71% of the US soybean crop had leaves dropping (avg. 57%), with harvest 14% complete (avg. 8%). Condition ratings were up 1% to 68% gd/ex, with the Brugler500 two points higher at 374. Export inspections of just 693,890 MT were reported by the USDA for the week ending 9/20 this morning. That was down 11.75% from the previous week and 33.07% lower than this time in 2017.NOV 18 Soybeans closed at $8.41, down 6 1/4 cents,JAN 19 Soybeans closed at $8.55 1/4, down 6 cents,MAR 19 Soybeans closed at $8.68 1/2, down 5 3/4 cents,MAY 19 Soybeans closed at $8.82, down 5 1/2 cents,OCT 18 Soybean Meal closed at $304.70, down $1.20,OCT 18 Soybean Oil closed at $28.26, up $0.17

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybeans
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,585/2,350
First Notice Date
02/27/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Daily price change for Soybeans Mar '18
Average price change for the 5 prior Mar contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 18, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
471,349 (+13,120)
372,262 (+10,558)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
163,103 (+9,074)
232,629 (+12,048)
Producers - Long / Short
306,808 (+12,264)
314,824 (+5,555)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
131,097 (-1,362)
23,994 (+2,785)
Managed Money - Long / Short
83,287 (+5,961)
165,504 (+9,283)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
79,816 (+3,113)
67,125 (+2,765)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1012-0 +1.63%
on 02/16/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+11-2 (+1.11%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
944-4 +8.89%
on 01/12/18
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+49-6 (+5.08%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
922-2 +11.52%
on 06/23/17
1071-0 -3.97%
on 03/02/18
+26-6 (+2.67%)
since 03/14/17

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Monday Market Moods - Soybeans

Monday Market Moods - Soybeans

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1047-4
1st Resistance Point 1038-0
Last Price 1028-4s
1st Support Level 1023-6
2nd Support Level 1019-0

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52-Week High 1071-0
Last Price 1028-4s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1014-1
Fibonacci 50% 996-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 979-1
52-Week Low 922-2

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