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Cocoa May '20 (CCK20)

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Cocoa Futures Market News and Commentary

London Cocoa Falls to a New 3-Month low on Strong Ghana Cocoa Output

May ICE NY cocoa this morning is down -12 (-0.53%), and May ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK20) is down -10 (-0.57%).

Cocoa prices this morning are lower with London cocoa at a new 3-month low on ample cocoa output in Ghana, the world's second-largest cocoa producer. The Ghana Cocoa Board reported today that it purchased 685,032 MT of cocoa from farmers during Oct 1-Mar 12, up +1.0% y/y.

The coronavirus pandemic is undercutting cocoa demand as the global pandemic-lockdown of millions of people curbs demand for chocolate and other cocoa products. Also, cocoa processing demand in Q1 may decline as many cocoa grinders see pandemic-related business disruptions.

Cocoa supplies are ample after Monday's news that Ivory Coast farmers sent 1.754 MMT of cocoa to ports during Oct 1-Mar 29, up +5.9% y/y.

Another bearish factor for cocoa prices is abundant rainfall in West Africa that may boost cocoa yields. Monday's data from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center showed above-a... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Cocoa
Contract Size
10 metric tonnes (22,046 pounds)
Tick Size
$1.00 per metric tonne ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
3:45a.m. - 12:30p.m. (Settles 10:50a.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$10
Margin/Maintenance
$2,090/1,900
First Notice Date
04/17/20 (16 days)
Expiration Date
05/13/20 (42 days)

Seasonal Chart

Cocoa May '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 24, 2020

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
125,122 (+5,823)
144,406 (-8,870)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
56,037 (-14,757)
40,071 (+78)
Producers - Long / Short
99,013 (+6,713)
136,900 (-6,307)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
20,638 (+1,443)
2,035 (-230)
Managed Money - Long / Short
34,130 (-17,588)
33,735 (-778)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
21,907 (+2,831)
6,336 (+856)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2,183 +2.02%
on 03/20/20
2,690 -17.21%
on 03/02/20
-445 (-16.65%)
since 02/28/20
3-Month
2,183 +2.02%
on 03/20/20
2,935 -24.12%
on 02/07/20
-314 (-12.36%)
since 12/31/19
52-Week
2,183 +2.02%
on 03/20/20
2,935 -24.12%
on 02/07/20
-114 (-4.87%)
since 04/01/19

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London Cocoa Closes at a 3-Month low on Demand Concerns and Ample Supplies

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.



Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2,263
1st Resistance Point 2,245
Last Price 2,227s
1st Support Level 2,212
2nd Support Level 2,197

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52-Week High 2,935
Fibonacci 61.8% 2,648
Fibonacci 50% 2,559
Fibonacci 38.2% 2,470
Last Price 2,227s
52-Week Low 2,183

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InsideFutures Commentary

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