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Wheat Mar '18 (ZWH18)

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cmdty Insider - Wheat Market Commentary


Wheat futures saw gains of 2 to 3 cents in the KC contracts on Friday, with CBT higher in the front months and MPLS mostly 2 to 3 1/2 cents lower. CBT was the only exchange higher on the week and the others lower, widening the CBT-KC Dec spread to 24 cents. All wheat export sales in the week ending 11/8 totaled 438,256 MT, on the lower side of expectations. That was down 33.7% from the week prior and 10.4% lower than the same week in 2017. Exports were tallied at 263,003 MT for that week. The weekly Commitment of Traders report indicated the managed money net short position in CBT wheat futures and options was trimmed by 14,459 contracts as of Tuesday to -26,684. Spec traders went the other way in KC wheat futures and options, flipping their net position to short -1,271 contracts, a move of -12,414 contracts.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.06 3/4, up 1 1/4 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $4.82 3/4, up 2 3/4 cents,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.71 1/4, down 3 1/2 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Chicago Soft Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,375/1,250
First Notice Date
02/28/18
Expiration Date
03/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Wheat Mar '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
167,515 (-39,271)
179,078 (-29,972)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
158,298 (-1,052)
136,917 (-12,574)
Producers - Long / Short
51,874 (-14,719)
141,242 (-5,658)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
85,701 (-912)
7,896 (-674)
Managed Money - Long / Short
79,385 (+83)
107,910 (-13,357)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
78,913 (-1,135)
29,007 (+783)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
444-6 +11.47%
on 02/22/18
506-2 -2.07%
on 03/02/18
+40-0 (+8.78%)
since 02/14/18
3-Month
413-2 +19.96%
on 01/16/18
506-2 -2.07%
on 03/02/18
+77-4 (+18.53%)
since 12/14/17
52-Week
410-4 +20.77%
on 12/12/17
604-6 -18.02%
on 07/05/17
+2-2 (+0.46%)
since 03/14/17

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Wheat Market Commentary

Wheat futures are showing 2 to 3 cent gains in the winter wheat contracts at midday, with MPLS down 1 to 2 cents. All wheat export sales in the week ending 11/8 totaled 438.256 MT, on the lower side of...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 88% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 503-7
1st Resistance Point 499-7
Last Price 495-6
1st Support Level 488-3
2nd Support Level 480-7

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52-Week High 604-6
Fibonacci 61.8% 530-4
Fibonacci 50% 507-5
Last Price 495-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 484-6
52-Week Low 410-4

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