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Corn May '18 (ZCK18)

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cmdty Insider - Corn Market Commentary


Corn futures ended the Friday session with most contracts steady to 2 3/4 cents lower heading into the pre-Thanksgiving weekend. Nearby Dec was down a nickel on the week. Ethanol was slightly lower on the day. This morning’s Export Sales report showed net 18/19 sales on the high side of trade expectations at 892,529 MT. That lagged the same week last year by 6% but was 24.24% larger than the preceding week. Shipments were reported at 1.113 MMT in the week on 11/9, well above last year. Weekly CFTC data showed spec funds backing off their net long position in corn futures and options by 8,648 contracts as of Tuesday to a net position of 17,981 contracts. Two separate South Korean tenders saw a total of 198,000 MT of corn purchased on Friday, with 60,000 MT US origin and 138,000 MT optional origin.Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.64 3/4, down 2 3/4 cents,Mar 19 Corn closed at $3.75 3/4, down 2 1/2 cents,May 19 Corn closed at $3.83 1/2, down 2 1/4 centsJul 19 Corn closed at $3.90, down 2 1/2 cents

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Corn
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$880/800
First Notice Date
04/30/18
Expiration Date
05/14/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Corn May '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
804,443 (+41,516)
892,753 (+26,529)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
404,310 (-14,141)
287,318 (-793)
Producers - Long / Short
502,828 (+36,569)
777,982 (+17,230)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
224,817 (-2,399)
37,973 (+1,953)
Managed Money - Long / Short
240,283 (+2,515)
224,450 (+1,244)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
164,027 (-16,656)
62,868 (-2,037)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
376-2 +3.39%
on 04/23/18
400-0 -2.75%
on 05/04/18
+2-6 (+0.71%)
since 04/13/18
3-Month
369-2 +5.35%
on 03/23/18
400-0 -2.75%
on 05/04/18
+13-4 (+3.60%)
since 02/15/18
52-Week
353-6 +9.96%
on 01/12/18
430-0 -9.53%
on 07/11/17
-12-2 (-3.05%)
since 05/15/17

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 390-0
1st Resistance Point 389-4
Last Price 389-0s
1st Support Level 388-0
2nd Support Level 387-0

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52-Week High 430-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 400-7
Fibonacci 50% 391-7
Last Price 389-0s
Fibonacci 38.2% 382-7
52-Week Low 353-6

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