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Live Cattle Oct '21 (LEV21)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Market Ends Session in Red

At the close, front month fat cattle futures were 22 to 57 cents weaker. USDA confirmed cash trade from $120 to $124 on Thursday, with sales of $195 to $201 in the beef. The bulk of trade has remained $119-$120 for the South and from $122-$123 in the North. Feeder cattle futures ended the session with $1.22 to $1.67 cent losses. The 7/28 CME Feeder Cattle Index was $154.00, back down by 34 cents. 

The weekly FAS data release showed beef export bookings were 22,467 MT for the week that ended 7/22. That was down from 25k MT last week but still 43% above the same week last year. South Korea was the top buyer with an 8,200 MT purchase, followed by Japan and China at 6,100 and 4,500 MT respectively. South Korea was also the top destination for the week’s 19,135 MT of export shipments. 

Wholesale Boxed Beef prices continued upward through USDA’s Thursday afternoon quote. Choice boxes were seen another $2.06 stronger while Select gained 70 cents. Cattle slaughter for the week t... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,760/1,600
First Notice Date
10/04/21 (66 days)
Expiration Date
10/29/21 (91 days)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Oct '21
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jul 20, 2021

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
119,611 (+2,873)
172,639 (-1,175)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
107,466 (+1,206)
45,080 (+3,477)
Producers - Long / Short
25,565 (+1,903)
165,748 (-2,283)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
89,906 (+25)
2,751 (+163)
Managed Money - Long / Short
78,327 (+1,993)
28,084 (+2,438)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
29,139 (-787)
16,996 (+1,039)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
124.050 +3.31%
on 07/19/21
129.925 -1.37%
on 07/01/21
+0.400 (+0.31%)
since 06/29/21
3-Month
119.825 +6.95%
on 06/01/21
130.475 -1.78%
on 06/16/21
+6.600 (+5.43%)
since 04/29/21
52-Week
105.200 +21.82%
on 10/20/20
130.475 -1.78%
on 06/16/21
+18.150 (+16.50%)
since 07/29/20

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Most Recent Stories

More News
Lean Hogs Mixed to Mostly Higher at Close

After Wednesday’s triple digit losses, with a limit move in Oct, the Thursday session concluded with the board 22 to 60 cents higher for the gainers and 55 cents weaker in October. USDA confirmed the...

HEQ21 : 106.300s (+0.57%)
HEZ21 : 82.400s (+0.30%)
KMQ21 : 120.025s (+1.27%)
Cattle Market Ends Session in Red

At the close, front month fat cattle futures were 22 to 57 cents weaker. USDA confirmed cash trade from $120 to $124 on Thursday, with sales of $195 to $201 in the beef. The bulk of trade has remained...

LEQ21 : 122.500s (-0.47%)
LEZ21 : 133.275s (-0.17%)
GFQ21 : 158.500s (-1.05%)
GFU21 : 161.950s (-0.92%)
Shootin' the Bull

Regardless of revenue stream, alternative marketing agreements, or sweetheart deals, the cattle feeder is losing any source of margin availability, or are increasing losses at a steady pace.

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Cattle Complex Weakening

Strength for the feed components have the cattle board red through Thursday’s midday. Fats are trading 2 to 20 cents weaker. There were reports of scattered $119 and $120 trades in the South Thursday...

LEQ21 : 122.500s (-0.47%)
LEZ21 : 133.275s (-0.17%)
GFQ21 : 158.500s (-1.05%)
GFU21 : 161.950s (-0.92%)
Hogs Bouncing Back

After Wednesday’s triple digit losses, with a limit move in Oct, the Thursday session sees futures back in the black with gains of 7 to 82 cents so far. USDA confirmed the rumors of ASF present in the...

HEQ21 : 106.300s (+0.57%)
HEZ21 : 82.400s (+0.30%)
KMQ21 : 120.025s (+1.27%)
Cattle look to Thursday Trade

Yesterday’s cattle complex closed mixed after printing midday gains. 2021 delivery months added less than 15 cents to the upside on the day, while the deferred contracts closed less than a dime in the...

LEQ21 : 122.500s (-0.47%)
LEZ21 : 133.275s (-0.17%)
GFQ21 : 158.500s (-1.05%)
GFU21 : 161.950s (-0.92%)
Hog Traders to Digest ASF News

Hogs will trade with expanded limits for Thursday, $4.50, as October futures closed down by the limit yesterday. The other front months were also down triple digits, from $1.77 to $2.70 losses. USDA’s...

HEQ21 : 106.300s (+0.57%)
HEZ21 : 82.400s (+0.30%)
KMQ21 : 120.025s (+1.27%)
Shootin' The Bull

Recommendations made this week appear adequate for the time being.  The close proximity to the $130.00 area October and recommendations made will lead me to watch for a while to see if higher prices become...

Morning Comments; thursday, July 29th, 2021

Light Buying Develops

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 129.933
2nd Resistance Point 129.417
1st Resistance Point 128.783
Last Price 128.150s
1st Support Level 127.633
2nd Support Level 127.117
3rd Support Level 126.483

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52-Week High 130.475
Last Price 128.150s
Fibonacci 61.8% 120.820
Fibonacci 50% 117.838
Fibonacci 38.2% 114.855
52-Week Low 105.200

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