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Live Cattle Aug '22 (LEQ22)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Fade into the Weekend

Fat cattle prices ended the day with a 7 cent gain in June to 42 to 57 cent losses in the other nearbys. The spot futures price to Feb ’23 stayed near a $19 deferred premium at the close. Feeder cattle futures went into the weekend 62 cents to $1.27 weaker, led by the August contract. Cash cattle trades have seen a little action at $138 in the south this week, with sales in the north at $140-142. The CME Feeder Cattle Index was down $1.59 to $153.46 on 5/18.  

USDA’s NASS reported 11.967m head of cattle were on feed on May 1. That was up 2% yr/yr compared to the average 1.3% increase expected, though the inventory was a 6 month low. April placements were 1.809m head, or 0.88% fewer than April ’21. The trade was looking for a 4.6% lighter placement. Marketings were down 2.2% from April ’21, compared to the 1.3% drop expected, as NASS reported 1.983m head were marketed.

Wholesale Boxed Beef prices were mixed in the PM report, as Choice $0.47 higher to $262.17 and Select a... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,540/1,400
First Notice Date
08/08/22 (79 days)
Expiration Date
08/31/22 (102 days)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Aug '22
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 17, 2022

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
117,903 (+394)
149,320 (-3,972)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
107,168 (-4,020)
72,138 (+753)
Producers - Long / Short
44,909 (+492)
146,285 (-3,278)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
72,127 (+415)
2,168 (-181)
Managed Money - Long / Short
75,345 (-3,121)
51,918 (+1,225)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
31,823 (-899)
20,220 (-472)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
131.150 +0.31%
on 05/20/22
141.750 -7.20%
on 04/22/22
-8.600 (-6.14%)
since 04/20/22
3-Month
131.150 +0.31%
on 05/20/22
141.750 -7.20%
on 04/22/22
-8.950 (-6.37%)
since 02/18/22
52-Week
123.425 +6.58%
on 06/01/21
141.825 -7.24%
on 02/10/22
+5.450 (+4.32%)
since 05/20/21

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Most Recent Stories

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Cattle Fade into the Weekend

Fat cattle prices ended the day with a 7 cent gain in June to 42 to 57 cent losses in the other nearbys. The spot futures price to Feb ’23 stayed near a $19 deferred premium at the close. Feeder cattle...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEV22 : 137.425s (-0.42%)
GFK22 : 153.400s (-0.47%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
Triple Digit Friday for Lean Hog Rally

Following the mid/late April to mid May weakness, lean hogs have bounced back more than $10 with another $1.10 to $3.57 of that coming on Friday’s trade. The National Average Base Hog price for Friday...

HEM22 : 108.875s (+3.40%)
HEQ22 : 108.175s (+1.93%)
KMM22 : 114.350s (+2.63%)
Shootin' the Bull

In my opinion,  the fat market appears divided into two camps.  Those being, ample inventory to work through into August, and dwindling supplies afterwards.  The futures markets appear priced accordingly...

Cattle on Feed

Cattle on Feed - 2022-05-20

FCQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
LCQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
Cattle Futures Mixed Mostly Lower

Midday fat cattle prices are 20 cents firmer in June, now a 3 cent premium to August. The other nearbys are 35 to 42 cents in the red with trade cautious ahead of the monthly USDA COF report. Feeder cattle...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEV22 : 137.425s (-0.42%)
GFK22 : 153.400s (-0.47%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
Lean Hog Market Firm for Midday

Hogs have come off their early session losses with 22 to 55 cent gains through midday. The June contract is leading the Friday rally with a $2.25 gain. The National Average Base Hog price was $2.02 higher...

HEM22 : 108.875s (+3.40%)
HEQ22 : 108.175s (+1.93%)
KMM22 : 114.350s (+2.63%)
Cattle Spreads and the May 1 Cattle on Feed Report

Activity in cattle spreads during the month of April told us what was happening with placements and marketings, and ultimately the number of head on feed as of May 1. It doesn't matter if USDA agrees in...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
Cattle Look to Position Ahead of Cattle on Feed Report

Live cattle were up 2 to 32 cents in the nearby contracts on Thursday, with other contracts down 25 to 57 cents. Cash trade has seen a little action at $138 in the south this week, with sales in the north...

LEM22 : 131.575s (+0.06%)
LEQ22 : 131.550s (-0.36%)
LEV22 : 137.425s (-0.42%)
GFK22 : 153.400s (-0.47%)
GFQ22 : 163.925s (-0.77%)
Hogs Look to Close Out the Week

Lean hogs were down 27 cents to $1.72 in the front months on Thursday, with deferred contracts up 7 to 35 cents. The National Average Base Hog price for the Thursday PM report was $110.51 down $1.18 from...

HEM22 : 108.875s (+3.40%)
HEQ22 : 108.175s (+1.93%)
KMM22 : 114.350s (+2.63%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 134.042
2nd Resistance Point 133.383
1st Resistance Point 132.467
Last Price 131.550s
1st Support Level 130.892
2nd Support Level 130.233
3rd Support Level 129.317

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52-Week High 141.825
Fibonacci 61.8% 134.796
Fibonacci 50% 132.625
Last Price 131.550s
Fibonacci 38.2% 130.454
52-Week Low 123.425

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