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Wheat Mar '25 (ZWH25)

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Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Fails to See Strength on Bull Friendly USDA Report

The wheat market posted losses across the three exchanges on Tuesday, failing to see any follow-through buying on bull friendly USDA data. Chicago SRW futures were down 1 to 2 ½ cents on the day despite midday gains. KC HRW futures faced some pressure, as contracts were 4 to 5 in the red on the session. MPLS spring wheat was 5 to 7 cents lower in the nearbys at the close.

USDA’s WASDE report from this morning showed a cut of 4 mbu to the US carryout projection at 794 mbu. That was due to a 4 mbu increase in the food use category.  On the world side, the WAOB trimmed the world stocks total by 1.26 MMT to 257.56 MMT.  

The French farm ministry raised their acreage estimate for the 2025/26 French wheat crop by 1.3% to 4.57 million hectares (11.3 million acres), an increase of 10% from last year. The European Commission shows the EU exports at 13 MMT from July 1 to February 9. That lags the 20.37 MMT from the same week last year. 

Mar 25 CBOT Wheat  closed at $5.77, do... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Chicago Soft Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
02/28/25 (17 days)
Expiration Date
03/14/25 (31 days)

Seasonal Chart

Wheat Mar '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Feb 4, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
159,160 (-16,594)
95,479 (+6,014)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
130,876 (-2,996)
198,231 (-26,752)
Producers - Long / Short
58,584 (-16,193)
63,432 (+5,681)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
77,127 (+410)
8,598 (+1,144)
Managed Money - Long / Short
78,957 (-840)
160,987 (-25,201)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,919 (-2,156)
37,244 (-1,551)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
528-4 +9.22%
on 01/13/25
592-4 -2.57%
on 02/07/25
+46-4 (+8.76%)
since 01/10/25
3-Month
526-0 +9.74%
on 01/10/25
592-4 -2.57%
on 02/07/25
+10-2 (+1.81%)
since 11/12/24
52-Week
526-0 +9.74%
on 01/10/25
772-6 -25.30%
on 05/28/24
-55-0 (-8.70%)
since 02/12/24

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Most Recent Stories

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A parade of storms: Implications for energy trading & How it will help the U.S. wheat crop

Jim’s Video gives his take on how the storms will play out for certain markets

CLH25 : 73.03 (-0.40%)
ZWN25 : 601-4 (-0.04%)
WEAT : 5.10 (unch)
RBH25 : 2.1473 (unch)
ZWK25 : 590-2 (+0.04%)
NGH25 : 3.508 (-0.31%)
UNG : 18.58 (+2.03%)
BOIL : 67.37 (+4.00%)
KOLD : 29.16 (-4.08%)
HOH25 : 2.5093 (-0.21%)
Wheat Fails to See Strength on Bull Friendly USDA Report

The wheat market posted losses across the three exchanges on Tuesday, failing to see any follow-through buying on bull friendly USDA data. Chicago SRW futures were down 1 to 2 ½ cents on the day despite...

KEK25 : 602-4 (-0.04%)
MWH25 : 618-0 (-0.04%)
KEH25 : 592-0 (-0.13%)
ZWH25 : 577-0 (unch)
ZWK25 : 590-2 (+0.04%)
Corn Falls into the Close Despite Smaller South American Crops

Corn futures failed to see much positive reaction post-USDA report on Tuesday, despite a cut to both the Argentina and Brazilian crops. Contracts closed with losses of 6 to 8 cents in the front months...

ZCZ25 : 470-2 (unch)
ZCPAUS.CM : 4.4982 (-1.58%)
ZCPZ25US.CM : 4.3402 (-0.21%)
ZCH25 : 485-0 (+0.21%)
ZCK25 : 498-6 (+0.15%)
Soybeans Fall on Tuesday, Despite Tightening World Stocks

Soybeans slipped lower on Tuesday despite tightening world supplies per USDA data, as contracts closed with 2 to 6 cent losses, led by the front months. CmdtyView’s national front month Cash Bean price...

ZSPX25US.CM : 9.9132 (-0.20%)
ZLH25 : 46.22 (+0.20%)
ZMH25 : 296.9 (+0.10%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 9.8174 (-0.60%)
ZSH25 : 1044-6 (+0.12%)
ZSX25 : 1056-4 (+0.09%)
ZSK25 : 1061-6 (+0.14%)
Grain Spreads: USDA Punts

Ending Stocks for Corn and Soybeans Unchanged from January

February WASDE Recap

Global balance sheets provide silver linings in a largely uneventful USDA report.

"Shootin' the Bull" about digging the trap deeper

The tiger trap was dug deeper today.  Cattlemen hedging now will face greater probability of loss due to width of positive basis.

Corn Slipping as USDA Leaves US Stocks Unchanged

Corn futures are showing some selling post-USDA report on Tuesday, with contracts down fractionally in the new crop months to 3 cents lower in some of the nearbys. The national average Cash Corn price...

ZCZ25 : 470-2 (unch)
ZCPAUS.CM : 4.4982 (-1.58%)
ZCPZ25US.CM : 4.3402 (-0.21%)
ZCH25 : 485-0 (+0.21%)
ZCK25 : 498-6 (+0.15%)
Soybeans Post Mixed Reaction to USDA Data

Soybeans are holding steady on Tuesday’s midday, with the nearbys down 1 to 2 cents and new crop November up a penny at midday. CmdtyView’s national front month Cash Bean price is down 1 1/4 cent at...

ZSPX25US.CM : 9.9132 (-0.20%)
ZLH25 : 46.22 (+0.20%)
ZMH25 : 296.9 (+0.10%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 9.8174 (-0.60%)
ZSH25 : 1044-6 (+0.12%)
ZSX25 : 1056-4 (+0.09%)
ZSK25 : 1061-6 (+0.14%)
Wheat Showing Mixed Midday Trade, Following Friendlier USDA Report

The wheat market is trading with mixed action across the three exchanges so far on Tuesday, as USDA presented the bulls with friendlier data today. Chicago SRW futures are up 1 to 2 cents so far in the...

KEK25 : 602-4 (-0.04%)
MWH25 : 618-0 (-0.04%)
KEH25 : 592-0 (-0.13%)
ZWH25 : 577-0 (unch)
ZWK25 : 590-2 (+0.04%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Maximum Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 597-0
2nd Resistance Point 592-4
1st Resistance Point 584-6
Last Price 576-6
1st Support Level 572-4
2nd Support Level 568-0
3rd Support Level 560-2

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52-Week High 772-6
Fibonacci 61.8% 678-4
Fibonacci 50% 649-3
Fibonacci 38.2% 620-2
Last Price 576-6
52-Week Low 526-0

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