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Wheat Dec '18 (ZWZ18)

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cmdty Insider - Wheat Market Commentary

Fri Oct 19, 4:40PM CDT
Wheat futures were mostly steady to 4 cents higher on Friday, with MPLS the strongest. Front month CBT was down 0.48% on the week, with KC 1.53% lower and MPLS 1.22% in the red. Wheat export commitments are 18% smaller than last year at this time, but unshipped sales are down only 4%, so the picture looks a little better going forward. USDA stuck to their 1.025 bbu projection last week, while export commitments are 44% of that total and are normally 62% by this time. Money managers in Chicago wheat futures and options skimmed just 92 contracts from their net short position as of Tuesday to -16,793 contracts. In KC wheat futures and options, they added 2,361 contracts to that net long position of 28,174 contracts.Dec 18 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.14 3/4, up 1 3/4 cents,Dec 18 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.16 1/4, up 1 1/2 cents,Dec 18 MGEX Wheat closed at $5.88 3/4, up 3 3/4 cents--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management (402) 289-2330

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Chicago Soft Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,375/1,250
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (39 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (53 days)

Seasonal Chart

Wheat Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 16, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
178,171 (+4,199)
204,458 (+5,875)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
161,042 (-756)
128,157 (-712)
Producers - Long / Short
53,074 (-3,902)
158,580 (-446)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
84,962 (+1,616)
5,743 (-164)
Managed Money - Long / Short
83,934 (+2,175)
100,186 (+329)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
77,108 (-2,931)
27,971 (-1,041)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
505-2 +1.24%
on 10/02/18
531-2 -3.72%
on 09/24/18
-10-2 (-1.96%)
since 09/21/18
3-Month
495-2 +3.28%
on 09/13/18
613-0 -16.56%
on 08/02/18
-21-4 (-4.03%)
since 07/20/18
52-Week
468-2 +9.24%
on 12/12/17
613-0 -16.56%
on 08/02/18
+5-2 (+1.04%)
since 10/20/17

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Wheat Market Commentary

Wheat futures were mostly steady to 4 cents higher on Friday, with MPLS the strongest. Front month CBT was down 0.48% on the week, with KC 1.53% lower and MPLS 1.22% in the red. Wheat export commitments...

Soybeans Market Commentary

Soybean futures fell into the close on Friday to settle within 1/2 cent of the low, down 6 to 7 1/4 cents. Nearby Nov was down 1.24% from a week ago. Front month soy meal was $3.20/ton lower on the day,...

Corn Market Commentary

Corn futures ended the Friday session with most contracts 3 to 4 cents in the red. Nearby Dec wiped out all of last week’s gains, down 1.81% since last Friday. There was a little harvest pressure,...

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Surprise! Lower Placements!

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Harvest Pressure

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The 'ol greenback is suggesting...

Wheat Market Commentary

Wheat futures are trading 1 to 3 1/4 cents higher in most contracts on Friday. Wheat export commitments are 18% smaller than last year at this time, but unshipped sales are down only 4%, so the picture...

Soybeans Market Commentary

Soybean futures are mostly 3 to 3 1/2 cents lower in the nearby contracts. Front month soy meal is down $2.30/ton, with soy oil 31 points higher. USDA reported a total of 180,000 MT of net cancellations...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 522-3
1st Resistance Point 518-5
Last Price 511-2
1st Support Level 510-7
2nd Support Level 506-7

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52-Week High 613-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 557-6
Fibonacci 50% 540-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 523-4
Last Price 511-2
52-Week Low 468-2

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