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Soybean Mar '19 (ZSH19)

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Soybean Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybean Market Pressured by Losses in the Grains

Soybean futures settled with 6 3/4 cent losses in all 2019 contracts on Wednesday. Spillover from the grains pressured the market lower. Meal futures were 60 cents/ton lower, with May soy oil 14 points in negative territory. May options expire on Friday. Old crop soybean export bookings are seen at 300,000-700,000 MT in tomorrow’s Export Sales report, with 0-50,000 MT for new crop. Canadian Canola acreage is expected to be down 6.6% from last year at 21.314 million acres, based off Stats Canada data released this morning. That was expected heading into today. Soybean acreage is also seen down 10.7% yr/yr at 5.64 million acres. Weakness in the Brazilian Real vs. the dollar was also seen as pressure on Wednesday. May 19 Soybeans closed at $8.55 1/4, down 6 3/4 cents, Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $8.68 3/4, down 6 3/4 cents, Aug 19 Soybeans closed at $8.74 3/4, down 6 3/4 cents, Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.89 1/2, down 6 3/4 cents, May 19 Soybean Meal closed at $300.40, down $0.60, May 19 Soybean Oil closed at $27.92, down $0.14 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
02/28/19
Expiration Date
03/14/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybean Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
416,120 (+17,959)
327,813 (-2,227)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
143,284 (-1,824)
200,190 (+16,439)
Producers - Long / Short
301,929 (+14,776)
294,472 (-5,285)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
89,923 (-1,011)
9,073 (-1,136)
Managed Money - Long / Short
72,985 (-4,072)
165,729 (+17,938)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
70,299 (+2,248)
34,461 (-1,499)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
877-6 +1.34%
on 03/11/19
921-0 -3.42%
on 02/25/19
-14-0 (-1.55%)
since 02/14/19
3-Month
877-6 +1.34%
on 03/11/19
931-2 -4.48%
on 02/01/19
-24-2 (-2.65%)
since 12/14/18
52-Week
839-6 +5.92%
on 09/18/18
1054-4 -15.65%
on 04/02/18
-140-0 (-13.60%)
since 03/14/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 889-4
1st Resistance Point 889-4
Last Price 889-4s
1st Support Level 889-4
2nd Support Level 889-4

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52-Week High 1054-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 972-4
Fibonacci 50% 947-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 921-6
Last Price 889-4s
52-Week Low 839-6

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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