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Soybean Mar '19 (ZSH19)

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Soybean Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybean Market News and Commentary

Soybean futures are up 2 to 3 1/4 cents in most contracts on Friday. Meal futures are up $1/ton in the nearby contract, with soy oil 2 points lower. This morning’s NOPA report indicated a record January crush by its members at 171.63 mbu. That was slightly lower than December but 5.22% larger than a year ago. Soy oil stocks were up month/month, but down 10.3% from last year at 1.549 billion pounds. According to trade sources, China’s soybean cancellations in yesterday’s 5-week delayed Export Sales report were likely private importers, which are still subject to the 25% tariff. Brazil’s SAFRAS soybean production estimate was trimmed by 0.3 MMT to 115.4 MMT on Friday. That is not as low as some firms have gone, as they cited a slight improvement to weather.Mar 19 Soybeans are at $9.06 1/2, up 3 cents,May 19 Soybeans are at $9.20 1/2, up 2 3/4 cents,Jul 19 Soybeans are at $9.34, up 2 3/4 cents,Aug 19 Soybeans are at $9.40, up 3 1/4 cents,Mar 19 Soybean Meal is at $306.50, up $1.00Mar 19 Soybean Oil is at $29.87, down $0.02--provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
02/28/19 (13 days)
Expiration Date
03/14/19 (27 days)

Seasonal Chart

Soybean Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 15, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
377,383 (+8,119)
337,791 (-6,345)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
127,580 (-8,860)
131,687 (+6,021)
Producers - Long / Short
249,103 (+8,833)
307,826 (-5,198)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
104,365 (+424)
6,050 (-9)
Managed Money - Long / Short
68,349 (-12,950)
85,047 (+8,462)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
59,231 (+4,090)
46,640 (-2,441)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
891-2 +1.74%
on 01/16/19
931-2 -2.63%
on 02/01/19
+13-4 (+1.51%)
since 01/15/19
3-Month
871-2 +4.07%
on 11/26/18
941-0 -3.64%
on 12/12/18
+4-4 (+0.50%)
since 11/15/18
52-Week
839-6 +7.98%
on 09/18/18
1054-4 -14.01%
on 04/02/18
-115-2 (-11.28%)
since 02/15/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Sell with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 923-4
1st Resistance Point 913-4
Last Price 907-6
1st Support Level 898-2
2nd Support Level 893-0

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52-Week High 1054-4
Fibonacci 61.8% 972-4
Fibonacci 50% 947-1
Fibonacci 38.2% 921-6
Last Price 907-6
52-Week Low 839-6

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InsideFutures Commentary

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