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Soybean Oil Dec '18 (ZLZ18)

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Commodity Profile

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Contract
Soybean Oil
Contract Size
60,000 pounds
Margin/Maintenance
$660/600
Tick Size
0.01 points ($6.00 per contract)
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$600
First Notice Date
11/30/18 (102 days)
Expiration Date
12/14/18 (116 days)

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 14, 2018

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Commercials - Long / Short
254,138 (+7,177)
202,510 (+3,927)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
114,676 (+4,178)
168,926 (+4,553)
Producers - Long / Short
142,680 (+8,570)
185,045 (+8,612)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
100,735 (-122)
6,742 (-3,414)
Managed Money - Long / Short
56,915 (+513)
153,602 (+6,232)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
57,761 (+3,665)
15,324 (-1,679)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
28.05 +3.03%
on 08/15/18
29.39 -1.67%
on 07/31/18
+0.36 (+1.26%)
since 07/20/18
3-Month
27.95 +3.40%
on 07/13/18
32.82 -11.94%
on 05/24/18
-2.85 (-8.98%)
since 05/18/18
52-Week
27.95 +3.40%
on 07/13/18
36.07 -19.88%
on 09/07/17
-5.27 (-15.42%)
since 08/18/17

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Agricharts Market Commentary

Mon Aug 20, 7:30AM CDT
Soybean futures are trading 12 to 13 cents higher this morning. They had 4 to 5 cent losses on Friday after a late rally. Longs had 3.61% gains for the week. A little buying came late in the day on reports that the US and China were planning a roadmap to end the trade dispute by mid-November. That, of course, presumes that they will agree with each other’s proposals! Nearby US soy meal was down $4.50/ton, with soy oil up 8 points on Friday. Chinese meal futures sank 1.8% on Monday due to another African swine fever outbreak in Jiangsu. The large spec funds in soybean futures and options added another 2,641 contracts to their net short position as of 8/14. That took their net position to -58,924 contracts. Soybean export commitments are now lagging last year by 4.3%, slipping a little from last week. Compared to the USDA full year projection, they are 102% complete vs. the 104% normal pace. Actual exports are 94% of that number lagging average by 3%, with 4.718 MMT in unshipped sales remaining.

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 48% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 28.92
1st Resistance Point 28.74
Last Price 28.89
1st Support Level 28.38
2nd Support Level 28.20

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52-Week High 36.07
Fibonacci 61.8% 32.97
Fibonacci 50% 32.01
Fibonacci 38.2% 31.05
Last Price 28.89
52-Week Low 27.95

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