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Hard Red Wheat Mar '25 (KEH25)

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Hard Red Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Slide Continues into Tuesday

The wheat complex posted another round of losses across the three exchanges on Tuesday. Chicago SRW futures were down 5 to 7 cents on the day. KC HRW contracts were 7 to 8 cents lower. MPLS spring wheat fell another 9 to 11 cents. 

A private export sale of 120,000 MT of SRW wheat was reported to Mexico this morning for 2024/25 delivery.

Crop Progress data showed the winter wheat planting pace at 64 complete as of October 13, which is 2% back of the average pace. Emergence was pegged at 35% , vs. the 5-year average pace of 38%.

The weekly Export Inspections report from the FGIS totaled 371,004 MT (13.63 mbu) of wheat shipped in the week ending on October 10. Of that total 86,158 MT was headed to Mexico, with 60,290 MT shipped to Japan. Marketing year sales have totaled 8.98 MMT (330 mbu) so far in the marketing year, which is 33% above the same period last year.

The French soft wheat crop is estimated at 25.43 MMT according to the country’s farm ministry, a dr... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
KC Hard Red Winter Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
KCBT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,090/1,900
First Notice Date
02/28/25 (136 days)
Expiration Date
03/14/25 (150 days)

Seasonal Chart

Hard Red Wheat Mar '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Oct 8, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
97,394 (-6,398)
97,573 (+2,178)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
62,694 (-7,209)
57,784 (-16,108)
Producers - Long / Short
29,554 (-8,119)
85,574 (+2,895)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
63,162 (+1,507)
7,321 (-931)
Managed Money - Long / Short
42,921 (-5,014)
48,935 (-14,167)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
19,773 (-2,195)
8,849 (-1,941)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
575-0 +4.13%
on 09/20/24
638-2 -6.19%
on 10/03/24
-14-0 (-2.28%)
since 09/13/24
3-Month
541-0 +10.67%
on 08/26/24
638-2 -6.19%
on 10/03/24
+11-6 (+2.00%)
since 07/15/24
52-Week
541-0 +10.67%
on 08/26/24
786-2 -23.85%
on 05/28/24
-118-2 (-16.49%)
since 10/13/23

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Wheat Slide Continues into Tuesday

The wheat complex posted another round of losses across the three exchanges on Tuesday. Chicago SRW futures were down 5 to 7 cents on the day. KC HRW contracts were 7 to 8 cents lower. MPLS spring wheat...

KEH25 : 598-6s (-1.20%)
MWZ24 : 616-2s (-1.64%)
KEZ24 : 583-0s (-1.19%)
ZWZ24 : 579-4s (-0.98%)
ZWH25 : 600-6s (-1.07%)
Soybeans Extend Losses into Tuesday, as Jan Fights to Hold $10

Soybeans closed out the Tuesday session with contracts down 5 to 9 cents across most months. CmdtyView’s national front month Cash Bean price was down 4 1/4 cents at $9.30 1/2. Soymeal futures were...

ZLZ24 : 42.45s (+1.31%)
ZMZ24 : 311.8s (-1.11%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 9.3065 (-0.42%)
ZSX24 : 991-0s (-0.50%)
ZSX24 : 991-0s (-0.50%)
ZSF25 : 1003-4s (-0.79%)
Corn Weakness Continues on Tuesday

Corn futures ended the Tuesday trading session with contracts down 6 to 7 ¼ cents across most months. The national average Cash Corn price from cmdtyView was down 6 3/4 cents at $3.69 3/4 per bu. The...

ZCPAUS.CM : 3.6888 (-1.77%)
ZCZ24 : 401-2s (-1.71%)
ZCZ24 : 401-2s (-1.71%)
ZCH25 : 417-4s (-1.71%)
Grain Markets Lower on Buyers Strike

Grain markets were lower again, trading back down to what may prove to be some “MUST HOLD” trading levels. Will support hold?

Crop Progress

Crop Progress - 2024-10-15

MWZ24 : 616-2s (-1.64%)
ZSX24 : 991-0s (-0.50%)
XBH25 : 217.00s (-1.59%)
XEX24 : 68.58 (-0.04%)
SWH25 : 585.20s (+0.98%)
ZSBAUS.CM : -0.6035 (+1.74%)
ZOZ24 : 377-0s (+1.14%)
ZRX24 : 15.040s (-0.43%)
MLZ24 : 226.25s (-1.09%)
Y2X24 : 2,662s (unch)
ZCZ24 : 401-2s (-1.71%)
ZCDAUS-BIW.CM : 15,671,136 (unch)
Shootin' the Bull about recommendations

I recommend you have every marketing aspect cleaned up, out to the first quarter.

Soybeans Pull Off Lows Following NOPA Release

Soybeans are getting a midday bounce, with contracts off the lows but still down 5 to 9 cents. CmdtyView’s national front month Cash Bean price was down 5 1/2 cents at $9.29 ¼. Soymeal futures are...

ZLZ24 : 42.45s (+1.31%)
ZMZ24 : 311.8s (-1.11%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 9.3065 (-0.42%)
ZSX24 : 991-0s (-0.50%)
ZSX24 : 991-0s (-0.50%)
ZSF25 : 1003-4s (-0.79%)
Wheat Showing Midday Losses

The wheat complex is posting another round of losses across the three exchanges on Tuesday. Chicago SRW futures are down 5 to 7 cents on the day. KC HRW contracts re 6 to 7 cents lower. MPLS spring wheat...

KEH25 : 598-6s (-1.20%)
MWZ24 : 616-2s (-1.64%)
KEZ24 : 583-0s (-1.19%)
ZWZ24 : 579-4s (-0.98%)
ZWH25 : 600-6s (-1.07%)
Corn Losses Continue at Tuesday’s Midday

Corn futures are trading the Tuesday session with losses of 5 to 6 cents. The national average Cash Corn price from cmdtyView is down 5 1/2 cents at $3.70 per bu. The average close for December corn futures,...

ZCPAUS.CM : 3.6888 (-1.77%)
ZCZ24 : 401-2s (-1.71%)
ZCZ24 : 401-2s (-1.71%)
ZCH25 : 417-4s (-1.71%)

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Soft Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 615-7
2nd Resistance Point 611-7
1st Resistance Point 605-3
Last Price 598-6s
1st Support Level 594-7
2nd Support Level 590-7
3rd Support Level 584-3

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52-Week High 786-2
Fibonacci 61.8% 692-5
Fibonacci 50% 663-5
Fibonacci 38.2% 634-5
Last Price 598-6s
52-Week Low 541-0

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