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Sugar #11 Oct '18 (SBV18)

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cmdty Insider - Sugar #11 Market Commentary


March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) on Monday closed up +0.11 (+0.87%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) closed up +2.80 (+0.82%). Sugar prices moved higher Monday on signs of smaller sugar output from India, the world's second-largest sugar producer, after India's Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) reported India sugar production during Oct 1-Nov 15 fell -15% y/y to 1.16 MMT. Also, a weaker dollar was bullish for sugar prices as the index slid to a fresh 1-week low on Monday. Sugar prices still have carry-over support from the International Sugar Organization's (ISO) cut last Thursday in its global sugar surplus estimates. ISO cut its 2018/19 sugar surplus estimate to 2.2 MMT from an Aug estimate of 6.7 MMT and also cut its global 2017/18 sugar surplus estimate to 7.3 MMT from an Aug estimate of 8.6 MMT.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Sugar #11
Contract Size
112,000 pounds (50 long tonnes)
Tick Size
0.01 cents per pound ($11.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
2:30a.m. - 12:00p.m. CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$1,120
Margin/Maintenance
$1,047/952
First Notice Date
10/01/18
Expiration Date
09/28/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Sugar #11 Oct '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
427,590 (+31,366)
490,765 (+4,600)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
176,097 (-17,973)
135,246 (+2,017)
Producers - Long / Short
210,235 (+26,637)
432,188 (-1,621)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
197,229 (+1,108)
38,451 (+2,600)
Managed Money - Long / Short
141,237 (-17,153)
101,631 (+15,668)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
34,860 (-820)
33,615 (-13,651)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
9.83 +6.00%
on 09/27/18
11.80 -11.69%
on 09/13/18
+0.11 (+1.07%)
since 08/28/18
3-Month
9.83 +6.00%
on 09/27/18
12.29 -15.22%
on 06/29/18
-1.83 (-14.94%)
since 06/28/18
52-Week
9.83 +6.00%
on 09/27/18
15.49 -32.73%
on 11/27/17
-4.24 (-28.92%)
since 09/28/17

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Sugar Market Commentary

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) on Monday closed up +0.11 (+0.87%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) closed up +2.80 (+0.82%). Sugar prices moved higher Monday on signs of smaller sugar output...

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Sugar Market Commentary

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) this morning is up +0.01 (+0.08%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) is up +1.20 (+0.35%). Sugar prices are higher this morning on signs of smaller sugar output...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 10.78
1st Resistance Point 10.60
Last Price 10.42s
1st Support Level 10.12
2nd Support Level 9.82

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52-Week High 15.49
Fibonacci 61.8% 13.33
Fibonacci 50% 12.66
Fibonacci 38.2% 11.99
Last Price 10.42s
52-Week Low 9.83

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