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Sugar #11 Oct '18 (SBV18)

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Sugar #11 Futures Market News and Commentary

Sugar Prices Move Lower for a Third Day on the Outlook for Ample Global Sugar Supply

October NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) on Wednesday closed down -0.09 (-0.70%) and Aug ICE London white sugar #5 (SWQ19) closed down -0.90 (-0.27%). Sugar prices moved lower for a third day Wednesday as Oct NY sugar fell to a 1-week low. Negative carry-over from Monday's comment from the CEO of sugar producer Copersucar, one of Brazil's top sugar exporters, weighed on sugar prices when he said that global sugar inventories are still high and that recent weather in Brazil has benefited fields and encouraged sugar cane plantings. Also, weakness in the Brazilian real versus the dollar Wednesday weighed on sugar prices since a weaker real encourages export selling by Brazil’s sugar producers. Last Friday's report from the Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) continues to undercut sugar prices on the prospects for India's sugar mills expect to export a record 7 million MT of sugar in 2019/20 to reduce its huge stockpiles, up from 3 million MT in 2018/19. A possible bearish factor for London sugar was last Friday's news that money managers cut their net short position by 1,759 to a 6-week low of 17,055 contracts in the week ended June 11, which reduces the chances of a short-covering squeeze.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Sugar #11
Contract Size
112,000 pounds (50 long tonnes)
Tick Size
0.01 cents per pound ($11.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
2:30a.m. - 12:00p.m. (Settles 11:55a.m.) CST
Exchange
ICE/US
Point Value
$1,120
Margin/Maintenance
$1,047/952
First Notice Date
10/01/18
Expiration Date
09/28/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Sugar #11 Oct '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 11, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
567,201 (+3,620)
505,663 (+25,611)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
205,247 (-12,155)
281,635 (-36,836)
Producers - Long / Short
364,100 (+7,116)
456,719 (+34,096)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
173,133 (+6,314)
18,976 (+1,325)
Managed Money - Long / Short
153,389 (+14)
267,174 (-35,641)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,858 (-12,169)
14,461 (-1,195)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
9.83 +6.00%
on 09/27/18
11.80 -11.69%
on 09/13/18
+0.11 (+1.07%)
since 08/28/18
3-Month
9.83 +6.00%
on 09/27/18
12.29 -15.22%
on 06/29/18
-1.83 (-14.94%)
since 06/28/18
52-Week
9.83 +6.00%
on 09/27/18
15.49 -32.73%
on 11/27/17
-4.24 (-28.92%)
since 09/28/17

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October NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) on Wednesday closed down -0.09 (-0.70%) and Aug ICE London white sugar #5 (SWQ19) closed down -0.90 (-0.27%). Sugar prices moved lower for a third day Wednesday as Oct...

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October NY world sugar #11 (SBV19) this morning is down -0.13 (-1.01%) and Aug ICE London white sugar #5 (SWQ19) is down -0.40 (-0.12%). Sugar prices are lower for a third day this morning with Oct NY...

Arabica Coffee Prices are Boosted by Threat of Heavy Rain and Wind in Brazil

September arabica coffee (KCU19) this morning is up by +0.45 (+0.47%), and Sep ICE robusta coffee (RMU19) is down -7 (-0.51%). Coffee prices are mixed this morning with Sep robusta coffee at a 4-week...

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September ICE NY cocoa (CCU19) this morning is up by +5 (+0.20%) and September ICE London cocoa #7 (CAU19) is up +3 (+0.16%). Cocoa prices are higher for a second day on carry-over support from Tuesday...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Average. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 10.78
1st Resistance Point 10.60
Last Price 10.42s
1st Support Level 10.12
2nd Support Level 9.82

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52-Week High 15.49
Fibonacci 61.8% 13.33
Fibonacci 50% 12.66
Fibonacci 38.2% 11.99
Last Price 10.42s
52-Week Low 9.83

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