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Gasoline RBOB Dec '17 (RBZ17)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Falls on Bearish Weeklyk EIA report

Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) on Thursday closed down -$0.20 (-0.35%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) closed down -$0.01 (-0.01%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) closed up +0.341 cents per gallon (+0.19%). Apr WTI crude fell back from a 3-month high posted in overnight trading on increased U.S. production and supplies. Thursday's EIA data showed a +0.8% w/w increase in U.S. crude production the week of Feb 15 to a record high of 12.0 million bpd and also showed that U.S. crude inventories rose +3.67 million bbl to a 1-1/4 year high of 454.5 million bbl, above expectations of +3.0 million bbl increase. In addition, crude stocks at Cushing, the delivery point for WTI crude oil futures, jumped +3.41 million bbl to a 13-month high. Weak global manufacturing data was another negative factor for energy prices after the Eurozone Feb Markit manufacturing PMI fell -1.3 to a 5-1/2 year low of 49.2, and the Japan Feb Nikkei manufacturing PMI fell -1.8 to a 2-1/2 year low of 48.5. Finally, concern about the U.S. economy kept pressure on energy prices after Thursday's Feb Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey fell -21.1 to a 2-3/4 year low of -4.1. Apr RBOB gasoline rallied to a new 3-month high Thursday after weekly EIA gasoline stockpiles fell -1.454 million bbl, a bigger decline than expectations of -500,000 bbl. Crude oil prices posted 3-month highs on Wednesday after the dollar index tumbled to a 2-week low along with positive carry-over from Tuesday's report that Saudi Arabian crude exports fell sharply by -1.3 million bpd in the first half of Feb compared with the same period last month. On the negative side is weaker compliance with crude output cuts as Jan OPEC+ compliance with crude production cuts was only 83%. In addition, the EIA on Tuesday raised its U.S. Feb shale oil production forecast by +1.6% to 8.31 million bpd from a prior estimate of 8.18 million bpd and raised its U.S. March shale oil production estimate by 84,000 bpd (+1.0%) to 8.4 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
12/04/17
Expiration Date
11/30/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Dec '17
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jan 29, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
194,378 (-11,898)
274,995 (-13,443)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
128,763 (-513)
49,041 (+2,095)
Producers - Long / Short
122,449 (-13,053)
242,306 (-11,614)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
43,483 (+1,995)
4,243 (-989)
Managed Money - Long / Short
82,948 (+1,516)
35,499 (+4,187)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
45,815 (-2,029)
13,542 (-2,092)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.7012 +1.60%
on 10/31/17
1.8402 -6.08%
on 11/08/17
+0.0152 (+0.89%)
since 10/30/17
3-Month
1.4490 +19.28%
on 08/31/17
1.8402 -6.08%
on 11/08/17
+0.2627 (+17.92%)
since 08/30/17
52-Week
1.2629 +36.86%
on 06/21/17
1.8402 -6.08%
on 11/08/17
+0.2785 (+19.21%)
since 11/28/16

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Crude Oil Falls on Bearish Weeklyk EIA report

Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) on Thursday closed down -$0.20 (-0.35%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) closed down -$0.01 (-0.01%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) closed up +0.341 cents per gallon (+0.19%)....

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Apr WTI crude oil (CLJ19) this morning is down -$0.27 (-0.47%) per barrel and Apr Brent crude (CBJ19) is down -$0.24 (-0.36%). Apr RBOB gasoline (RBJ19) is down -0.51 cents per gallon (-0.29%). Apr WTI...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.7704
1st Resistance Point 1.7494
Last Price 1.7284s
1st Support Level 1.7125
2nd Support Level 1.6966

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52-Week High 1.8402
Last Price 1.7284s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.6197
Fibonacci 50% 1.5516
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.4834
52-Week Low 1.2629

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