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Gasoline RBOB Dec '17 (RBZ17)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Energy Complex Slides on Dollar Strength and Trade Tensions

Oct WTI crude oil (CLU19) this morning is down by -0.80 (-1.43%), Oct Brent crude oil (CBV19) is down by -0.62 (-1.04%), and Oct RBOB gasoline (RBU19) is down by -0.0087 (-0.57%). The energy complex is weaker this morning on a stronger dollar and increased U.S./China trade tensions. The dollar index has rallied to a 2-week high today, which is negative for most commodities prices in dollars. Trade tensions increased after U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo said today that Huawei Technologies is not the only Chinese company that poses risks to the U.S. Trade tensions undercut stocks today and fueled concern that the trade war will derail the global economy and energy demand. The yuan is down -0.14% today to 7.0603 yuan/USD, near below last Tuesday's 11-1/4 year low of 7.0726 yuan/USD. On the bullish side, data today from the OPEC+ Joint Technical Committee showed that OPEC+ compliance with crude production cuts rose to 159% in July from 137% in June. Tensions between Iran and the U.S. remain high, which is supportive for crude prices, after Iran on Monday warned the U.S. today against seizing its oil tanker that was released by Gibraltar Sunday night. That tanker had been seized by UK special forces in early July and had been impounded in Gibraltar on suspicion of carrying oil to Syria in violation of U.S. sanctions. The markets will now be watching to see if Iran releases the U.K.-flagged tanker that it seized in retaliation for the U.K.'s seizure of the Iranian tanker. Crude oil prices also have support on expectations for Wednesday's weekly EIA crude inventories to fall -1.5 million bbl. Last Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of Aug 9 were +3.4% above the seasonal 5-year average, gasoline inventories were +3.6% above the 5-year average, and distillate inventories were -3.1% below the 5-year average. U.S. crude production was unchanged at 12.3 million bpd in the week of Aug 9, which was just slightly below May's record high of 12.4 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,950/4,500
First Notice Date
12/03/17
Expiration Date
11/29/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Dec '17
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Aug 13, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
196,477 (+7,853)
261,355 (-1,018)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
122,067 (-9,174)
60,102 (-654)
Producers - Long / Short
129,418 (+6,706)
218,232 (-2,895)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
45,502 (-1,073)
21,566 (-343)
Managed Money - Long / Short
79,348 (-11,303)
13,039 (+4,088)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
42,719 (+2,129)
47,063 (-4,742)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.7012 +1.60%
on 10/31/17
1.8402 -6.08%
on 11/08/17
+0.0152 (+0.89%)
since 10/30/17
3-Month
1.4490 +19.28%
on 08/31/17
1.8402 -6.08%
on 11/08/17
+0.2627 (+17.92%)
since 08/30/17
52-Week
1.2629 +36.86%
on 06/21/17
1.8402 -6.08%
on 11/08/17
+0.2785 (+19.21%)
since 11/28/16

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 16% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Soft. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.7704
1st Resistance Point 1.7494
Last Price 1.7284s
1st Support Level 1.7125
2nd Support Level 1.6966

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52-Week High 1.8402
Last Price 1.7284s
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.6197
Fibonacci 50% 1.5516
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.4834
52-Week Low 1.2629

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