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Gasoline RBOB May '19 (RBK19)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Falls on Larger-Than-Expected Build in EIA Crude Inventories

Jun WTI crude oil (CLM19) on Wednesday closed down by -0.41 (-0.62%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) closed up by +0.06 (+0.08%). Jun RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed down by -0.0074 (-0.36%). The energy complex settled mostly lower Wednesday on dollar strength and on the much larger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude stockpiles. The dollar index on Wednesday rallied to a 1-3/4 year high and weekly EIA crude oil inventories rose by +5.48 million bbl to a 1-1/2 year high, much more than expectations of +1.0 million bbl. A bullish factor for gasoline was a -2.129 million bbl decline in EIA gasoline inventories, more than expectations for a -1.75 million bbl decline. Also, comments from Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih were supportive for crude oil when he said that he sees "no immediate action" in response to tighter U.S. sanctions on Iran. Jun WTI crude and Jun Brent crude rallied to fresh 5-3/4 month highs Tuesday on carry-over support from Monday when the Trump administration announced that the U.S. will not renew waivers that let countries buy Iranian oil without facing U.S. sanctions. The current set of waivers that were issued to China, Greece, India, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Turkey expire on May 2 and the U.S. wants to completely shut down Iranian crude exports. Ramped up geopolitical concerns also support higher crude prices after Iran on Monday threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20% of the world's crude exports, if they are unable to export crude oil. Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of Apr 19 were +0.7% above the 5-year average, gasoline supplies were -2.1% below the 5-year average, and distillate stockpiles were -6.0% below the 5-year average. U.S. crude production in the week ended Apr 19 was up +0.8% w/w and matched its record high at 12.2 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
05/02/19 (8 days)
Expiration Date
04/30/19 (6 days)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB May '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior May Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
197,053 (+2,627)
307,911 (+11,991)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
158,939 (+10,987)
62,141 (+2,690)
Producers - Long / Short
129,789 (+3,617)
270,774 (+8,440)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
45,902 (-703)
15,775 (+3,838)
Managed Money - Long / Short
117,587 (+9,070)
3,046 (-1,082)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
41,352 (+1,917)
59,095 (+3,772)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.8147 +17.52%
on 03/28/19
2.1489 -0.76%
on 04/22/19
+0.2433 (+12.88%)
since 03/25/19
3-Month
1.5704 +35.80%
on 01/28/19
2.1489 -0.76%
on 04/22/19
+0.5020 (+30.79%)
since 01/25/19
52-Week
1.4337 +48.75%
on 12/26/18
2.3533 -9.38%
on 10/03/18
+0.1152 (+5.71%)
since 04/25/18

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Jun WTI crude oil (CLM19) on Wednesday closed down by -0.41 (-0.62%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) closed up by +0.06 (+0.08%). Jun RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed down by -0.0074 (-0.36%). The energy...

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Crude Oil Slightly Higher Ahead of Weekly EIA Inventory Data

Jun WTI crude oil (CLM19) this morning is up by +0.05 (+0.08%) and Jun Brent crude oil (CBM19) is up by +0.09 (+0.12%). Jun RBOB gasoline (RBK19) is down by -0.0190 (-0.91%). The energy complex is mixed...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 96% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Maximum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.1528
1st Resistance Point 2.1406
Last Price 2.1326
1st Support Level 2.1089
2nd Support Level 2.0894

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52-Week High 2.3533
Last Price 2.1326
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.0020
Fibonacci 50% 1.8935
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.7850
52-Week Low 1.4337

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InsideFutures Commentary

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