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Gasoline RBOB Mar '19 (RBH19)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Energy Complex Settles Mixed as Demand Concerns Offset Increased Iran Tensions

Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ19) on Tuesday closed down -0.07 (-0.12%), and Aug Brent crude oil (CBQ19) closed up +0.19 (+0.29%). Aug RBOB gasoline (RBN19) closed up +0.0264 (+1.45%). The energy complex settled mixed on Tuesday. Aug WTI crude oil fell back from a 3-week high Tuesday and moved lower after weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data fueled concerns about an economic slowdown that would be negative for fuel demand. Tuesday's data showed that May new home sales unexpectedly fell -7.8% to a 5-month low of 626,000, weaker than expectations of +1.6% to 684,000. Also, the Conference Board's June U.S. consumer confidence index fell -9.8 to a 1-3/4 year low of 121.5, weaker than expectations of -3.1 to 131.0. Losses in crude were limited by increased Iran tensions after Iran said the action by the U.S. on Monday to impose additional sanctions on Iran has closed off any diplomatic means for a solution. President Trump then ratcheted up the rhetoric by saying that any attack by Iran on the U.S. or its interests will be answered with "great and overwhelming force." Gasoline prices still have support from supply concerns after a fire and explosion shuttered gasoline output last Friday at the Philadelphia Energy Solutions oil refinery, the largest refinery on the U.S. East Coast with processing capacity of 350,000 bpd of crude oil. Robust U.S. gasoline demand is supportive for prices after the EIA reported that U.S. gasoline demand rose +0.5% w/w for the week of June 14 to a record 9.928 million bpd. Another supportive factor was Tuesday afternoon’s weekly data from the API that showed U.S. crude stockpiles fell -7.55 million bbl last week. Expectations for Wednesday's EIA report is for crude inventories to fall -2.75 million bbl. Last Wednesday's EIA data showed that U.S. crude oil inventories as of June 14 were a hefty +8.3% above the 5-year average, gasoline inventories were +1.3% above the 5-year average, and distillate inventories were -5.3% below the 5-year average.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
03/04/19
Expiration Date
02/28/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Mar '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 18, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
164,677 (-5,485)
241,391 (-5,576)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
124,347 (-1,227)
51,223 (-2,057)
Producers - Long / Short
93,650 (-7,874)
202,465 (-9,704)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
47,840 (-543)
15,739 (+1,196)
Managed Money - Long / Short
82,733 (+304)
6,072 (-981)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
41,614 (-1,531)
45,151 (-1,076)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.3432 +21.30%
on 01/29/19
1.6490 -1.19%
on 02/28/19
+0.2775 (+20.53%)
since 01/28/19
3-Month
1.2424 +31.14%
on 12/26/18
1.6490 -1.19%
on 02/28/19
+0.2227 (+15.83%)
since 11/28/18
52-Week
1.2424 +31.14%
on 12/26/18
2.1730 -25.02%
on 10/03/18
-0.0475 (-2.83%)
since 02/28/18

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Energy Complex Settles Mixed as Demand Concerns Offset Increased Iran Tensions

Aug WTI crude oil (CLQ19) on Tuesday closed down -0.07 (-0.12%), and Aug Brent crude oil (CBQ19) closed up +0.19 (+0.29%). Aug RBOB gasoline (RBN19) closed up +0.0264 (+1.45%). The energy complex settled...

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Energy Complex is Mixed as Demand Concerns Offset Increased Iran Tensions

Aug WTI crude oil (CLN19) this morning is down -0.27 (-0.47%), and Aug Brent crude oil (CBQ19) is up +0.05 (+0.08%). Aug RBOB gasoline (RBN19) is up +0.0181 (+1.00%). The energy complex is mixed this...

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Good. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

The market is in highly overbought territory. Beware of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.6636
1st Resistance Point 1.6465
Last Price 1.6293s
1st Support Level 1.6147
2nd Support Level 1.6000

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52-Week High 2.1730
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.8175
Fibonacci 50% 1.7077
Last Price 1.6293s
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.5979
52-Week Low 1.2424

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