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Live Cattle Aug '19 (LEQ19)

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Live Cattle Futures Market News and Commentary

Cattle Lower on Friday

Live cattle futures were down 27.5 to 80 cents in most contracts on Friday, as June was up 1.73% this week. Feeder cattle futures were down 70 cents to $1.175, as August lost 1.26% on the week. The CME feeder cattle index was down $1.11 to $132.25 on June 13. Wholesale boxed beef prices were mixed on Friday afternoon, with the Ch/Se spread jumping out to $19.47. Choice boxes were up 13 cents at $222.23 with Select boxes $1.95 lower @ $202.76. USDA estimated week to date FI cattle slaughter @ 665,000 head. That is 17,000 head larger than the same point last year and up 3,000 from last week. A few dressed sales of $186 were reported in NE this week, with scattered cash trade of $112-114 in the south. Spec traders in live cattle futures and options trimmed another 6,704 contracts from their net long position to 41,138 contracts, the smallest net long position since last July. Jun 19 Cattle closed at $108.775, down $0.275, Aug 19 Cattle closed at $104.275, down $0.450, Oct 19 Cattle closed at $105.475, down $0.675, Aug 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $135.525, down $0.700 Sep 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $135.800, down $0.700 Oct 19 Feeder Cattle closed at $135.750, down $0.725 --provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Live Cattle
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.025 cents per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
08/05/19 (49 days)
Expiration Date
08/30/19 (74 days)

Seasonal Chart

Live Cattle Aug '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Aug Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 11, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
129,564 (+2,262)
188,522 (-10,464)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
113,250 (-11,193)
44,311 (+1,786)
Producers - Long / Short
41,011 (+5,363)
181,124 (-7,664)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
86,764 (-1,434)
5,609 (-1,133)
Managed Money - Long / Short
73,856 (-2,517)
33,521 (+2,521)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
39,394 (-8,676)
10,790 (-735)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
102.300 +1.93%
on 05/31/19
109.775 -5.01%
on 05/17/19
-2.450 (-2.30%)
since 05/14/19
3-Month
102.300 +1.93%
on 05/31/19
121.150 -13.93%
on 03/22/19
-12.175 (-10.46%)
since 03/14/19
52-Week
102.300 +1.93%
on 05/31/19
121.150 -13.93%
on 03/22/19
-2.825 (-2.64%)
since 06/14/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 105.758
1st Resistance Point 105.017
Last Price 104.275s
1st Support Level 103.842
2nd Support Level 103.408

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52-Week High 121.150
Fibonacci 61.8% 113.949
Fibonacci 50% 111.725
Fibonacci 38.2% 109.501
Last Price 104.275s
52-Week Low 102.300

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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