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Soybeans Jan '19 (ZSF19)

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Soybeans Futures Market News and Commentary

Soybeans Lower on Monday, Pressured by Weak Exports

Soybean futures saw 3 1/2 to 4 cent losses in the front months on Monday. Meal futures were down 70 cents/ton, with May soy oil 10 points lower. This morning’s Export Inspections report indicated 382,298 MT of soybeans shipped in the week that ended on 4/18. That was 19.73% lower than last week and 19.07% below a year ago. Just one cargo of 67,113 MT was destined for China. The weekly Crop Progress report showed that just 1% of the US soybean crop has been planted as of Sunday, lagging the 2% average. Ahead of Wednesday’s Stats Canada report, analysts estimate 2019 canola acreage to total 21.8 million acres, which would be down 1 million from last year. May 19 Soybeans closed at $8.77, down 3 1/2 cents, Jul 19 Soybeans closed at $8.90 3/4, down 3 1/2 cents, Aug 19 Soybeans closed at $8.96 1/4, down 3 3/4 cents, Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $9.09 3/4, down 3 3/4 cents, May 19 Soybean Meal closed at $302.50, down $0.70, May 19 Soybean Oil closed at $28.70, down $0.10 provided by Brugler Marketing & Management

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Soybean
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:20p.m. (Settles 1:15p.m.) (Sun-Fri) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$1,925/1,750
First Notice Date
12/31/18
Expiration Date
01/14/19 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Soybeans Jan '19
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jan Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Apr 16, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
416,120 (+17,959)
327,813 (-2,227)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
143,284 (-1,824)
200,190 (+16,439)
Producers - Long / Short
301,929 (+14,776)
294,472 (-5,285)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
89,923 (-1,011)
9,073 (-1,136)
Managed Money - Long / Short
72,985 (-4,072)
165,729 (+17,938)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
70,299 (+2,248)
34,461 (-1,499)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
867-0 +2.74%
on 12/27/18
915-6 -2.73%
on 01/07/19
-9-6 (-1.08%)
since 12/14/18
3-Month
844-4 +5.48%
on 10/31/18
928-0 -4.01%
on 12/12/18
+9-0 (+1.02%)
since 10/12/18
52-Week
826-2 +7.81%
on 09/18/18
1063-2 -16.22%
on 05/29/18
-100-6 (-10.16%)
since 01/12/18

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 8% Buy with a Average short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 896-6
1st Resistance Point 893-6
Last Price 890-6s
1st Support Level 889-2
2nd Support Level 887-6

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52-Week High 1063-2
Fibonacci 61.8% 972-6
Fibonacci 50% 944-6
Fibonacci 38.2% 916-6
Last Price 890-6s
52-Week Low 826-2

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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