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White Sugar #5 Dec '18 (SWZ18)

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cmdty Insider - White Sugar #5 Market Commentary


March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) on Wednesday closed up +0.22 (+1.77%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) closed up +4.20 (+1.24%). Sugar prices on Wednesday gained on a weaker dollar and higher crude prices. Sugar prices on Tuesday fell to a 1-1/2 month low after crude oil prices sank to a 1-year low, which undercut ethanol prices and may prompt Brazil's sugar mills to divert more cane to making sugar instead of ethanol, thus boosting sugar supplies. Sugar prices also found support Wednesday on USDA estimates for smaller global output. The USDA's FAS lowered its global 2018/19 sugar production to 185.9 MMT from a May projection of 188.3 MMT, down -4.5% y/y. Gains were limited, though, as the USDA also projected that global 2018/19 sugar ending stocks will climb +2.7% y/y to a record 52.9 MMT as "massive" stock building in India outweighed lower ending stocks in China and the EU.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
White Sugar #5
Contract Size
50 metric tonnes
Tick Size
10 cents per metric tonne ($5.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:45a.m. - 6:30p.m. GMT
Exchange
ICE
Point Value
$50
Expiration Date
11/15/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

White Sugar #5 Dec '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
328.20 unch
on 11/15/18
390.70 -16.00%
on 10/24/18
-42.60 (-11.49%)
since 10/15/18
3-Month
302.80 +8.39%
on 08/22/18
390.70 -16.00%
on 10/24/18
+16.10 (+5.16%)
since 08/15/18
52-Week
302.80 +8.39%
on 08/22/18
411.30 -20.20%
on 11/24/17
-78.70 (-19.34%)
since 11/15/17

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Sugar Market Commentary

March NY world sugar #11 (SBH19) this morning is up +0.25 (+2.01%) and March ICE London white sugar (SWH19) is up +4.80 (+1.42%). A weaker dollar is fueling gains in sugar this morning along with USDA...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak.

The market is approaching oversold territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 351.80
1st Resistance Point 340.00
Last Price 328.20s
1st Support Level 322.30
2nd Support Level 316.40

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52-Week High 411.30
Fibonacci 61.8% 369.85
Fibonacci 50% 357.05
Fibonacci 38.2% 344.25
Last Price 328.20s
52-Week Low 302.80

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