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Gasoline RBOB Oct '13 (RBV13)

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cmdty Insider - Gasoline RBOB Market Commentary

Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ18) on Friday closed unchanged and Jan Brent crude (CBF19) closed up +$0.46 (+0.69%). Dec RBOB gasoline (RBZ18) closed up +2.04 cents a gallon (+1.31%). A slide in the dollar index Friday to a 1-week low was a positive factor for the energy complex. Also, confidence that OPEC+ will cut production to avert a global oil glut next year led to pre-weekend short covering after this week's rout took crude prices down to a 1-year low. Finally, geopolitical risks are on the rise after the U.S. on Thursday imposed sanctions against 17 Saudi officials over the death of U.S.-based journalist Khashoggi. Dec WTI crude oil prices gave up its gains and settled unchanged Friday after data from Baker Hughes showed active U.S. oil rigs rose by +2 rigs in the week ended Friday to a 3-1/2 year high of 888 rigs. Crude prices are still being undercut by Thursday's weekly EIA report, which showed that U.S. crude oil inventories surged by +10.27 million bbl to an 11-month high and that U.S. crude production in the week of Nov 9 rose +0.9% w/w to a new all-time high of 11.7 million bpd. U.S. crude oil inventories are currently 5.1% above the 5-year seasonal average, the highest such level since February.Big Picture Crude Oil Market Factors: Bullish factors include (1) the reinstatement of full U.S. sanctions on Iran as of Nov 5, although the U.S. gave waivers to 8 countries for up to 1.25 mln bpd of Iranian exports, (2) reduced global oil inventories due to the OPEC+ agreement that began in Jan 2017 to cut production by 1.8 million bpd (1.2 million for OPEC members), and (3) the 50% drop in Venezuelan production seen since 2016. Bearish factors include (1) the OPEC+ move on June 22 to boost production by up to 1 mln bpd to address over-compliance with its production cut agreement, (2) doubts about whether OPEC+ will adopt a large enough production cut agreement for 2019 to offset the expected global oil surplus, and (3) the surge in U.S. oil production to a record high of 11.7 million bpd.

Contract Specifications

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Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) CST
Point Value
First Notice Date
Expiration Date
09/30/13 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Oct '13
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Oct Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Nov 13, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
184,170 (+10,966)
263,904 (+3,056)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
137,269 (-399)
57,705 (+6,347)
Producers - Long / Short
107,671 (+8,146)
223,645 (-1,160)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
44,478 (-948)
8,238 (+448)
Managed Money - Long / Short
84,865 (+2,840)
32,437 (+7,760)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
52,404 (-3,239)
25,268 (-1,413)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
2.6066 +1.08%
on 09/24/13
2.9000 -9.15%
on 09/03/13
-0.2554 (-8.84%)
since 08/30/13
2.5755 +2.30%
on 07/01/13
2.9821 -11.65%
on 08/28/13
+0.0512 (+1.98%)
since 06/28/13

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Most Recent Stories

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Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ18) on Friday closed unchanged and Jan Brent crude (CBF19) closed up +$0.46 (+0.69%). Dec RBOB gasoline (RBZ18) closed up +2.04 cents a gallon (+1.31%). A slide in the dollar index...

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Crude and Gasoline Market Commentary

Dec WTI crude oil (CLZ18) this morning is up +$1.34 (+2.37%) per barrel and Jan Brent crude (CBF19) is up +$1.68 (+2.52%). Dec RBOB gasoline (RBZ18) is up +3.57 cents a gallon (+2.29%). A slide in the...

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 64% Sell with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Strong. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.6839
1st Resistance Point 2.6593
Last Price 2.6347s
1st Support Level 2.6150
2nd Support Level 2.5953

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52-Week High 2.9821
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.7838
Fibonacci 50% 2.7226
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.6614
Last Price 2.6347s
52-Week Low 2.4631

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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