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Gasoline RBOB Mar '17 (RBH17)

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Gasoline RBOB Futures Market News and Commentary

Crude Oil Retreats from 4-1/4 Month High on Demand Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) on Thursday closed down -$0.25 (-0.42%) per barrel and May Brent crude (CBJ19) closed down -$0.85 (-1.24%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed down -0.32 cents per gallon (-0.176%). The energy complex moved lower Thursday as May WTI crude and May Brent crude retreated from fresh 4-1/4 month highs posted in overnight trade. A stronger dollar Thursday undercut on energy prices as did U.S. economic concerns that weighed on energy demand prospects after the FOMC on Wednesday cut its U.S. 2019 GDP estimate to 2.1% from a Dec projection of 2.3%. Crude prices early Thursday rallied to a new 4-1/4 month high in overnight trade on positive carry-over from Wednesday's bullish EIA report. The EIA reported Wednesday that U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly plunged -9.59 million bbl last week, much weaker than expectations for a +1.75 million bbl build. Also, product supplies tumbled after EIA gasoline stockpiles fell -4.587 million bbl, a bigger decline than expectations of -2.5 million bbl, and distillate inventories fell -4.127 million bbl, much more than expectations of -1.5 million bbl. The energy complex still has support from Monday when Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih said that OPEC+ members are conforming well to the crude production cuts they agreed to in January and that compliance with the cuts will easily exceed 100 percent in March. In a bearish factor, however, Russia is insisting that OPEC+ delay a decision until June on extending the 1H production cuts into 2H, suggesting that Russia may be reluctant to extend its production cuts.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Gasoline Blendstock New York Harbor [RBOB]
Contract Size
42,000 gallons
Tick Size
$0.0001 (0.01 cent) per gallon ($4.20 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$42,000
Margin/Maintenance
$4,620/4,200
First Notice Date
03/02/17
Expiration Date
02/28/17 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Gasoline RBOB Mar '17
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Mar Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 12, 2019

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Commercials - Long / Short
178,264 (+3,935)
270,326 (+4,735)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
131,813 (+3,856)
47,522 (+3,431)
Producers - Long / Short
109,544 (+8,796)
237,467 (+9,997)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
44,548 (+716)
8,687 (+315)
Managed Money - Long / Short
95,102 (+1,785)
15,970 (-4,980)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
36,711 (+2,071)
31,552 (+8,411)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.4650 +3.21%
on 02/08/17
1.6134 -6.28%
on 02/10/17
-0.0398 (-2.56%)
since 01/27/17
3-Month
1.3939 +8.47%
on 11/29/16
1.7242 -12.31%
on 01/03/17
+0.0663 (+4.59%)
since 11/28/16
52-Week
1.1720 +29.01%
on 02/29/16
1.7242 -12.31%
on 01/03/17
+0.3613 (+31.40%)
since 02/26/16

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Natural Gas Closes Little Changed as Weekly EIA Inventories Show Expected Decline

Apr Nymex natural gas (NGJ19) on Thursday closed up by +0.001 (+0.04%). Nat-gas prices closed little changed Thursday after weekly EIA nat-gas inventories fell -47 bcf, close to expectations of -48 bcf,...

Crude Oil Retreats from 4-1/4 Month High on Demand Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) on Thursday closed down -$0.25 (-0.42%) per barrel and May Brent crude (CBJ19) closed down -$0.85 (-1.24%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) closed down -0.32 cents per gallon (-0.176%)....

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Natural Gas Falls Ahead of an Expected Smaller-than-Average Weekly EIA Inventory Drop

Apr Nymex natural gas (NGJ19) this morning is down by -0.020 (-0.71%). Nat-gas prices are lower this morning ahead of today's weekly EIA inventory report that is expected to show U.S. nat-gas supplies...

Crude Oil Retreats from 4-1/4 Month High on Demand Concerns

May WTI crude oil (CLK19) this morning is down -$0.19 (-0.32%) per barrel and May Brent crude (CBJ19) is down -$0.16 (-0.23%). May RBOB gasoline (RBK19) is down -0.50 cents per gallon (-0.26%). The energy...

Wake Up Call. The Energy Report 03/21/19

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) gave the energy world a wake-up call after reporting that U.S. commercial crude oil inventories plunged by 9.6 million barrels [...]

Forecast of Forex, Energies and Equity Index Markets

On EUR/USD we can expecting continuation of uptrend from support 1.1365 to resistance 1.1455. GOLD will continue uptrend as from support 1314, as from 1309, where further target will became resistance...

Trade suggestions

Here are all our playbooks for the Day Session.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators mostly agree with the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 1.5653
1st Resistance Point 1.5387
Last Price 1.5120s
1st Support Level 1.4794
2nd Support Level 1.4467

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52-Week High 1.7242
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.5133
Last Price 1.5120s
Fibonacci 50% 1.4481
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3829
52-Week Low 1.1720

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InsideFutures Commentary

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