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Natural Gas Apr '18 (NGJ18)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Market News and Commentary

Feb Nymex natural gas (NGG19) on Tuesday fell back from a 3-week high posted in overnight trade and closed down by -0.090 (-2.51%). A rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high Tuesday prompted profit-taking in nat-gas futures. Further losses may be limited on the outlook for much colder-than-normal temperatures for the lower-48 U.S. states later this month. Radiant Solutions forecasts "sizable changes in the colder direction" of below-normal temperatures from Jan 24-28 with freezing weather projected to reach as far south as Houston. Another positive for nat gas prices is reduced U.S. nat-gas output after Tuesday's data showed that U.S. lower-48 states nat-gas production fell to a 6-day low of 84.337 bcf. Thursday's weekly EIA inventory data is expected to show a decline of -71 bcf, a much smaller draw than the 5-year average for this time of year of -218 bcf. U.S. nat-gas inventories remained tight at -5.5% y/y at 2.614 bcf as of Jan 4, which is -15.1% below the 5-year average and the lowest for this time of year since 2003.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$6,270/5,700
First Notice Date
03/29/18
Expiration Date
03/27/18 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Apr '18
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 18, 2018

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
476,730 (-4,605)
536,370 (-12,808)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
324,408 (+13,079)
309,145 (+20,700)
Producers - Long / Short
161,838 (-789)
201,540 (-6,240)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
170,792 (-2,977)
190,730 (-5,729)
Managed Money - Long / Short
272,664 (+8,196)
58,572 (+14,815)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
51,744 (+4,883)
250,573 (+5,885)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.565 +4.91%
on 03/26/18
2.811 -4.27%
on 03/13/18
+0.008 (+0.30%)
since 02/27/18
3-Month
2.565 +4.91%
on 03/26/18
2.983 -9.79%
on 01/30/18
+0.056 (+2.13%)
since 12/27/17
52-Week
2.487 +8.20%
on 12/21/17
3.010 -10.60%
on 10/23/17
-0.215 (-7.40%)
since 03/27/17

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Most Recent Stories

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Natural Gas Market News and Commentary

Feb Nymex natural gas (NGG19) on Tuesday fell back from a 3-week high posted in overnight trade and closed down by -0.090 (-2.51%). A rally in the dollar index to a 1-week high Tuesday prompted profit-taking...

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Natural Gas Market News and Commentary

Feb Nymex natural gas (NGG19) this morning fell back from a 3-week high posted in overnight trade and is down by -0.004 (-0.07%). A stronger dollar has prompted profit-taking in nat-gas prices this morning....

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Weak. Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 2.758
1st Resistance Point 2.724
Last Price 2.691s
1st Support Level 2.640
2nd Support Level 2.590

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52-Week High 3.010
Fibonacci 61.8% 2.810
Fibonacci 50% 2.748
Last Price 2.691s
Fibonacci 38.2% 2.687
52-Week Low 2.487

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InsideFutures Commentary

InsideFutures is a twice weekly newsletter that features a selection of the latest and best commodities commentary appearing on Barchart.com. Delivered every Wednesday and Friday morning to your inbox.

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