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Natural Gas Feb '26 (NGG26)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Natural Gas Prices Recover Early Losses and Close Higher on Dollar Weakness

June Nymex natural gas (NGM19) on Friday closed up by +0.020 (+0.78%). Jun nat-gas prices on Friday recovered from early losses and closed higher after a decline in the dollar index to a 1-week low sparked short covering in nat-gas futures. Nat-gas prices had opened lower Friday on forecasts for normal temperatures to move into the U.S. South. The Commodity Weather Group forecasts that excessive heat in the South will ease and that average temperatures will move into the South in the first week of June. Over the shorter-term, however, Forecaster Maxar said that temperatures will be well above normal across the East Coast and South through May 29 and that record heat in the Southeast that will persist through June 3. AccuWeather forecasts a high for Atlanta on May 28 of 97 degrees Fahrenheit, 14 degrees above normal. The EIA reported on Thursday that U.S. nat-gas inventories rose by 100 bcf in the week of May 17, above the 5-year average for the week of +88 bcf and the eighth consecutive week that nat-gas inventories rose by more than the 5-year average. Another bearish factor is strong U.S. nat-gas production as Friday's data showed U.S. 48-state nat-gas production up by +8.5% y/y to 85.252 bcf. Another negative factor for nat-gas prices was the action by China on May 13 to raise tariffs on U.S. LNG exports to 25% from 10% as of June 1, which may further curb Chinese demand for U.S. nat-gas. Nat-gas supplies stood at a 3-1/4 month high of 1.753 bcf as of May 17, up +7.6% y/y but -13.5% below the 5-year average. Big Picture Natural Gas Market Factors: Bullish factors include (1) solid demand from Mexico for U.S. nat-gas after export data showed U.S. nat-gas deliveries to Mexico totaled 5.2 bcf on April 26, the highest seasonally since at least 2007, (2) strong global natural gas demand due to firm global economic growth and the need to substitute for coal to reduce global CO2 emissions, and (3) significant U.S. nat-gas export potential. Bearish factors include (1) the action by China to raise tariffs on U.S. LNG exports to 25% from 10% as of June 1, which may further curb Chinese demand for U.S. nat-gas, (2) the rise in U.S. nat-gas inventories by more than the 5-year weekly average in each of the last eight weeks through May 17, leaving inventories up +7.6% y/y (though -13.5% below the 5-year average), (3) near-record U.S. natural gas production and forecasts for production growth of +3% in 2019.

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$1,540/1,400
First Notice Date
01/29/26 (2440 days)
Expiration Date
01/28/26 (2439 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Feb '26
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Feb Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of May 21, 2019

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
635,942 (-18,369)
604,360 (-4,729)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
232,934 (+13,057)
293,912 (+136)
Producers - Long / Short
280,330 (-877)
319,754 (-108)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
190,705 (-8,287)
119,699 (+4,584)
Managed Money - Long / Short
173,291 (+872)
174,937 (+13,471)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
59,643 (+12,185)
118,975 (-13,335)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
3.190 +0.69%
on 05/22/19
3.232 -0.62%
on 05/21/19
+0.012 (+0.37%)
since 04/24/19
3-Month
3.132 +2.55%
on 02/26/19
3.255 -1.32%
on 04/09/19
+0.054 (+1.71%)
since 02/22/19
52-Week
2.988 +7.50%
on 09/04/18
3.255 -1.32%
on 04/09/19
+0.033 (+1.04%)
since 05/24/18

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Natural Gas Prices Recover Early Losses and Close Higher on Dollar Weakness

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June Nymex natural gas (NGM19) on Thursday closed up by +0.035 (+1.38%). Jun nat-gas prices moved higher Thursday after a smaller-than-expected build in weekly U.S. nat-gas supplies sparked a relief rally....

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 32% Sell with a Weakest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Longer term, the trend strength is Minimum.

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Key Turning Points

2nd Resistance Point 3.212
1st Resistance Point 3.212
Last Price 3.212s
1st Support Level 3.212
2nd Support Level 3.212

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52-Week High 3.255
Last Price 3.212s
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.153
Fibonacci 50% 3.122
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.090
52-Week Low 2.988

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