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Spring Wheat Dec '20 (MWZ20)

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Spring Wheat Futures Market News and Commentary

Wheat Mixed After Tight Overnight Trade

Wheat prices are fractionally mixed ahead of the USDA data releases. Overnight the May SRW contract kept to a fairly tight 5 cent range, from +2 ¾ to -2 ¼ cents. KC wheat futures ended the day mixed within 1 ¾ cents of UNCH. The soft red winter wheat futures were 2 ½ to 4 cents higher and hard red spring wheat was 3 ¾ cents higher on the day. May SRW is sitting with a 7 ¼ cent loss for the week’s move into Thursday. The new crop SRW/HRW spread tightened to 7 ¼ cents. 

Pre-report surveys show analysts are looking for March 1 wheat stocks to come in at 1.05 bbu on average. The full range of ideas is from 1 billion to 1.08 billion bushels. That would be 106 mbu larger than Mar 1 stocks last year, following a 98 mbu looser yr/yr stockpile on Dec 1. Wheat acreage is estimated at 47.3 million acres vs 49.6m last year. Spring wheat is expected to be near 10.9m acres on average with ~1.7m expected for durum wheat. 

Ahead of the weekly Export Sales report, traders are looking for... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Hard Red Spring Wheat
Contract Size
5,000 bushels
Tick Size
1/4 cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Trading Hours
7:00p.m. - 7:45a.m. and 8:30a.m. - 1:30p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
MGEX
Point Value
$50
Margin/Maintenance
$2,750/2,500
First Notice Date
11/30/20
Expiration Date
12/14/20 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Spring Wheat Dec '20
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 19, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
36,350 (+932)
15,907 (+1,201)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
11,374 (+652)
32,208 (+1,735)
Producers - Long / Short
34,138 (+668)
15,118 (+959)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
1,948 (+266)
525 (+244)
Managed Money - Long / Short
8,501 (+527)
31,306 (+1,521)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
2,873 (+125)
902 (+214)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
527-6 +2.98%
on 12/08/20
557-2 -2.47%
on 11/25/20
-11-2 (-2.03%)
since 11/13/20
3-Month
522-4 +4.02%
on 09/15/20
587-6 -7.53%
on 10/21/20
+13-0 (+2.45%)
since 09/14/20
52-Week
506-4 +7.31%
on 08/12/20
600-0 -9.42%
on 01/22/20
-22-0 (-3.89%)
since 12/13/19

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Traders Await New News From Today’s All Important USDA Report.

Today’s USDA report is often regarded as one of the more meaningful reports of the year which often comes with volatile market reactions. Will we see the same this year?

Wheat Mixed After Tight Overnight Trade

Wheat prices are fractionally mixed ahead of the USDA data releases. Overnight the May SRW contract kept to a fairly tight 5 cent range, from +2 ¾ to -2 ¼ cents. KC wheat futures ended the day mixed...

ZWK24 : 556-6 (+1.69%)
ZWN24 : 572-4 (+1.73%)
KEK24 : 585-2 (+1.21%)
MWK24 : 652-0 (+0.15%)
Beans Weaker into Report Day

Current soybean prices are 4 to 3 ¾ cents lower ahead of the weekly Export Sales report and the USDA Grain Stocks and Planting Intentions reports scheduled for 11 AM CDT. Soy Oil futures closed more...

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ZMK24 : 336.1 (-0.86%)
ZSK24 : 1190-2 (-0.19%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 11.3290 (-0.20%)
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Corn Mostly UNCH this Morning

Corn futures traded from -¾ to +1 cent overnight, and are back to mostly UNCH +/- ¼ this morning for the weekly Export Sales report. The USDA Grain Stocks and Planting Intentions reports scheduled for...

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Soy Futures Fade into Thursday

Front month soy futures were weaker on Wednesday led by the soy oil futures. Soy Oil futures closed more than 70 points weaker with 1.5% losses. Beans were down by 4 ¾ to 7 ½ cents across the front...

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Wheat Closed Mixed on Wednesday

KC wheat futures ended the day mixed within 1 ¾ cents of UNCH. The soft red winter wheat futures were 2 ½ to 4 cents higher and hard red spring wheat was 3 ¾ cents higher on the day. May SRW is sitting...

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MWK24 : 652-0 (+0.15%)
Corn Falls ahead of Report Day

Nearby corn prices were 5 ¾ cents lower at the close on Wednesday, leaving the board 12 cents in the red for the week’s move. Open interest continues to rise ahead of Thursday’s reports, up 2,573...

ZCK24 : 438-4 (+2.75%)
ZCPAUS.CM : 4.1619 (+2.91%)
ZCN24 : 450-4 (+2.56%)
ZCU24 : 459-4 (+2.45%)
Corn Analysis With Downside Target

The recent rally from 78.6% at 410.00 based on the May continuation chart was stopped by the 442.75 major Gann square on 3/12/24 and 3/21/24.

ZCK24 : 438-4 (+2.75%)
Pure Hedge - Livestock and Grain

It will be a busy day tomorrow.

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Weak Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 543-4
1st Resistance Point 543-4
Last Price 543-4s
1st Support Level 543-4
2nd Support Level 543-4
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 600-0
Fibonacci 61.8% 564-2
Fibonacci 50% 553-2
Last Price 543-4s
Fibonacci 38.2% 542-2
52-Week Low 506-4

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